James B. Elsner - Publications

Affiliations: 
Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States 
Area:
Physical Geography, Geography

133 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2023 Kang N, Jang CJ, Elsner JB. More than unfamiliar environmental connection to super typhoon climatology. Scientific Reports. 13: 6372. PMID 37076515 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-33104-3  0.3
2020 Schroder Z, Elsner JB. Quantifying relationships between environmental factors and power dissipation on the most prolific days in the largest tornado “outbreaks” International Journal of Climatology. 40: 3150-3160. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.6388  0.308
2019 Kang NY, Kim D, Elsner JB. The contribution of super typhoons to tropical cyclone activity in response to ENSO. Scientific Reports. 9: 5046. PMID 30911030 DOI: 10.1038/S41598-019-41561-Y  0.614
2019 Burris G, Washburn J, Lasheen O, Dorribo S, Elsner JB, Doel RE. Extracting Weather Information from a Plantation Document Climate of the Past. 15: 477-492. DOI: 10.5194/Cp-15-477-2019  0.432
2019 Kang N, Elsner JB. Influence of global warming on the rapid intensification of western North Pacific tropical cyclones Environmental Research Letters. 14: 44027. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/Ab0B50  0.632
2018 Yang S, Kang N, Elsner JB, Chun Y. Influence of Global Warming on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensities during 2015 Journal of Climate. 31: 919-925. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-17-0143.1  0.641
2017 Fricker T, Elsner JB, Mesev V, Jagger TH. A dasymetric method to spatially apportion tornado casualty counts Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk. 8: 1768-1782. DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2017.1386724  0.38
2017 Humphreys JM, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Pau S. A Bayesian geostatistical approach to modeling global distributions of Lygodium microphyllum under projected climate warming Ecological Modelling. 363: 192-206. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2017.09.005  0.394
2016 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Fricker T. Statistical Models for Tornado Climatology: Long and Short-Term Views. Plos One. 11: e0166895. PMID 27875581 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0166895  0.38
2016 Fraza E, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. A space–time statistical climate model for hurricane intensification in the North Atlantic basin Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography. 2: 105-114. DOI: 10.5194/ASCMO-2-105-2016  0.369
2016 Elsner JB, Fricker T, Jagger TH, Mesev V. Statistical models for predicting tornado rates: Case studies from Oklahoma and the Mid South USA International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering. 6: 1-9. DOI: 10.2495/Safe-V6-N1-1-9  0.427
2016 Kang NY, Lim MS, Elsner JB, Shin DH. Bayesian updating of track-forecast uncertainty for tropical cyclones Weather and Forecasting. 31: 621-626. DOI: 10.1175/Waf-D-15-0140.1  0.56
2016 Kang NY, Elsner JB. Climate mechanism for stronger typhoons in a warmer world Journal of Climate. 29: 1051-1057. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0585.1  0.608
2016 Elsner JB, Fricker T, Widen HM, Castillo CM, Humphreys J, Jung J, Rahman S, Richard A, Jagger TH, Bhatrasataponkul T, Gredzens C, Dixon PG. The relationship between elevation roughness and tornado activity: A spatial statistical model fit to data from the central great plains Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 55: 849-859. DOI: 10.1175/Jamc-D-15-0225.1  0.414
2016 Humphreys JM, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Mahjoor A. Disaggregating the Patchwork: Wetlands. 37: 205-219. DOI: 10.1007/S13157-016-0859-Z  0.372
2016 Strazzo SE, Elsner JB, LaRow TE, Murakami H, Wehner M, Zhao M. The influence of model resolution on the simulated sensitivity of North Atlantic tropical cyclone maximum intensity to sea surface temperature Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 8: 1037-1054. DOI: 10.1002/2016Ms000635  0.453
2015 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Widen HM. A Statistical Model for Regional Tornado Climate Studies. Plos One. 10: e0131876. PMID 26244881 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0131876  0.421
2015 Fricker T, Elsner JB. Kinetic Energy of Tornadoes in the United States. Plos One. 10: e0131090. PMID 26132830 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0131090  0.304
2015 Walsh KJE, Camargo SJ, Vecchi GA, Daloz AS, Elsner J, Emanuel K, Horn M, Lim YK, Roberts M, Patricola C, Scoccimarro E, Sobel AH, Strazzo S, Villarini G, Wehner M, et al. Hurricanes and climate: The U.S. Clivar working group on hurricanes Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 96: 997-1017. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-15-00232.1  0.341
2015 Walsh KJE, Camargo SJ, Vecchi GA, Daloz AS, Elsner J, Emanuel K, Horn M, Lim Y, Roberts M, Patricola C, Scoccimarro E, Sobel AH, Strazzo S, Villarini G, Wehner M, et al. Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 96: 997-1017. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-13-00242.1  0.458
2015 Widen HM, Fricker T, Elsner JB. New methods in tornado climatology Geography Compass. 9: 157-168. DOI: 10.1111/Gec3.12205  0.352
2015 Fraza E, Elsner JB. A climatological study of the effect of sea-surface temperature on North Atlantic hurricane intensification Physical Geography. 36: 395-407. DOI: 10.1080/02723646.2015.1066146  0.464
2015 Trepanier JC, Needham HF, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Combining Surge and Wind Risk from Hurricanes Using a Copula Model: An Example from Galveston, Texas Professional Geographer. 67: 52-61. DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2013.866437  0.692
2015 Kang NY, Elsner JB. Trade-off between intensity and frequency of global tropical cyclones Nature Climate Change. 5: 661-664. DOI: 10.1038/Nclimate2646  0.576
2015 Strazzo SE, Elsner JB, Larow TE. Quantifying the sensitivity of maximum, limiting, and potential tropical cyclone intensity to SST: Observations versus the FSU/COAPS global climate model Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: 10.1002/2015Ms000432  0.46
2014 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Elsner IJ. Tornado intensity estimated from damage path dimensions. Plos One. 9: e107571. PMID 25229242 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0107571  0.359
2014 Elsner JB, Widen HM. Predicting spring tornado activity in the central great plains by 1 march Monthly Weather Review. 142: 259-267. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-13-00014.1  0.447
2014 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Widen HM, Chavas DR. Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States Environmental Research Letters. 9. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/2/024018  0.386
2014 Hodges RE, Jagger TH, Elsner JB. The sun-hurricane connection: Diagnosing the solar impacts on hurricane frequency over the North Atlantic basin using a space-time model Natural Hazards. 73: 1063-1084. DOI: 10.1007/S11069-014-1120-9  0.636
2014 Elsner JB, Elsner SC, Jagger TH. The increasing efficiency of tornado days in the United States Climate Dynamics. 45: 651-659. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-014-2277-3  0.337
2014 Fraza E, Elsner JB. A spatial climatology of North Atlantic hurricane intensity change International Journal of Climatology. 34: 2918-2924. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.3884  0.426
2014 Fricker T, Elsner JB, Camp P, Jagger TH. Empirical estimates of kinetic energy fromsome recent U.S. tornadoes Geophysical Research Letters. 41: 4340-4346. DOI: 10.1002/2014Gl060441  0.301
2014 Elsner J, Guishard M. Understanding How Climate Change Could Affect Tornadoes Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 95: 412-412. DOI: 10.1002/2014Eo450006  0.407
2013 Smith EA, Leung HWY, Elsner JB, Mehta AV, Tripoli GJ, Casella D, Dietrich S, Mugnai A, Panegrossi G, Sanò P. Transitioning from CRD to CDRD in Bayesian retrieval of rainfall from satellite passive microwave measurements: Part 3-Identification of optimal meteorological tags Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. 13: 1185-1208. DOI: 10.5194/Nhess-13-1185-2013  0.392
2013 Elsner JB, Michaels LE, Scheitlin KN, Elsner IJ. The decreasing population bias in tornado reports across the central plains Weather, Climate, and Society. 5: 221-232. DOI: 10.1175/Wcas-D-12-00040.1  0.333
2013 Strazzo S, Elsner JB, Larow T, Halperin DJ, Zhao M. Observed versus GCM-generated local tropical cyclone frequency: Comparisons using a spatial lattice Journal of Climate. 26: 8257-8268. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-12-00808.1  0.473
2013 Elsner JB, Strazzo SE, Jagger TH, Larow T, Zhao M. Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to SST in the atlantic from observations and GCMs Journal of Climate. 26: 5949-5957. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-12-00433.1  0.412
2013 Das O, Wang Y, Donoghue J, Xu X, Coor J, Elsner J, Xu Y. Reconstruction of paleostorms and paleoenvironment using geochemical proxies archived in the sediments of two coastal lakes in northwest Florida Quaternary Science Reviews. 68: 142-153. DOI: 10.1016/J.Quascirev.2013.02.014  0.344
2013 Scheitlin KN, Mesev V, Elsner JB. Polyline averaging using distance surfaces: A spatial hurricane climatology Computers and Geosciences. 52: 126-131. DOI: 10.1016/J.Cageo.2012.10.012  0.362
2013 Elsner JB, Murnane RJ, Jagger TH, Widen HM. A Spatial Point Process Model for Violent Tornado Occurrence in the US Great Plains Mathematical Geosciences. 45: 667-679. DOI: 10.1007/S11004-013-9458-1  0.36
2013 Strazzo S, Elsner JB, Trepanier JC, Emanuel KA. Frequency, intensity, and sensitivity to sea surface temperature of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in best-track and simulated data Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 5: 500-509. DOI: 10.1002/Jame.20036  0.712
2013 Strikas OM, Elsner JB. Enhanced cloud-to-ground lightning frequency in the vicinity of coal plants and highways in Northern Georgia, USA Atmospheric Science Letters. 14: 243-248. DOI: 10.1002/Asl2.446  0.311
2012 Hodges RE, Elsner JB. The Spatial Pattern of the Sun-Hurricane Connection across the North Atlantic Isrn Meteorology. 2012: 1-9. DOI: 10.5402/2012/517962  0.639
2012 Kang NY, Elsner JB. Consensus on climate trends in Western North pacific tropical cyclones Journal of Climate. 25: 7564-7573. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-11-00735.1  0.639
2012 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Hurricane clusters in the vicinity of Florida Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 51: 869-877. DOI: 10.1175/Jamc-D-11-0107.1  0.39
2012 Hodges RE, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Predictive models for time to acceptance: An example using "Hurricane" articles in AMS journals Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 93: 879-882. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-11-00133.1  0.572
2012 Elsner JB, Trepanier JC, Strazzo SE, Jagger TH. Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to ocean warmth Geophysical Research Letters. 39. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl053002  0.721
2012 Murnane RJ, Elsner JB. Maximum wind speeds and US hurricane losses Geophysical Research Letters. 39. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl052740  0.314
2012 Kang NY, Elsner JB. An empirical framework for tropical cyclone climatology Climate Dynamics. 39: 669-680. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-011-1231-X  0.641
2012 Elsner JB, Hodges RE, Jagger TH. Spatial grids for hurricane climate research Climate Dynamics. 39: 21-36. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-011-1066-5  0.667
2011 Convertino M, Elsner JB, Muñoz-Carpena R, Kiker GA, Martinez CJ, Fischer RA, Linkov I. Do tropical cyclones shape shorebird habitat patterns? Biogeoclimatology of snowy plovers in Florida. Plos One. 6: e15683. PMID 21264268 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0015683  0.311
2011 Elsner JB, Lewers SW, Malmstadt JC, Jagger TH. Estimating contemporary and future wind-damage losses from hurricanes Affecting Eglin Air Force Base, Florida Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 50: 1514-1526. DOI: 10.1175/2011Jamc2658.1  0.402
2011 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Burch KK. Climate and solar signals in property damage losses from hurricanes affecting the United States Natural Hazards. 58: 541-557. DOI: 10.1007/S11069-010-9685-4  0.407
2011 Scheitlin KN, Elsner JB, Lewers SW, Malmstadt JC, Jagger TH. Risk assessment of hurricane winds for Eglin air force base in northwestern Florida, USA Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 105: 287-296. DOI: 10.1007/S00704-010-0386-4  0.369
2011 Hodges RE, Elsner JB. Evidence linking solar variability with US hurricanes International Journal of Climatology. 31: 1897-1907. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.2196  0.647
2010 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. A consensus model for seasonal hurricane prediction Journal of Climate. 23: 6090-6099. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jcli3686.1  0.445
2010 Malmstadt JC, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 49: 2121-2132. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jamc2420.1  0.325
2010 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Hodges RE. Daily tropical cyclone intensity response to solar ultraviolet radiation Geophysical Research Letters. 37. DOI: 10.1029/2010Gl043091  0.624
2010 Scheitlin KN, Elsner JB, Malmstadt JC, Hodges RE, Jagger TH. Toward increased utilization of historical hurricane chronologies Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 115. DOI: 10.1029/2009Jd012424  0.641
2010 Fogarty EA, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Tsonis AA. Network analysis of U.S. hurricanes Hurricanes and Climate Change. 153-167. DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-09410-6_9  0.679
2010 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Statistical link between united states tropical cyclone activity and the solar cycle Hurricanes and Climate Change. 61-71. DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-09410-6_4  0.35
2009 Malmstadt J, Scheitlin K, Elsner J. Florida Hurricanes and Damage Costs Southeastern Geographer. 49: 108-131. DOI: 10.1353/Sgo.0.0045  0.336
2009 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Fogarty EA. Visibility network of United States hurricanes Geophysical Research Letters. 36. DOI: 10.1029/2009Gl039129  0.706
2009 Kara AB, Helber RW, Boyer TP, Elsner JB. Mixed layer depth in the Aegean, Marmara, Black and Azov Seas: Part I: General features Journal of Marine Systems. 78. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jmarsys.2009.01.022  0.383
2009 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Modeling tropical cyclone intensity with quantile regression International Journal of Climatology. 29: 1351-1361. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.1804  0.475
2008 Elsner JB, Kossin JP, Jagger TH. The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature. 455: 92-5. PMID 18769438 DOI: 10.1038/Nature07234  0.457
2008 Elsner JB. Hurricanes and climate change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 89: 677-679. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-89-5-677  0.445
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Dickinson M, Rowe D. Improving multiseason forecasts of North Atlantic hurricane activity Journal of Climate. 21: 1209-1219. DOI: 10.1175/2007Jcli1731.1  0.417
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Liu KB. Comparison of hurricane return levels using historical and geological records Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 47: 368-374. DOI: 10.1175/2007Jamc1692.1  0.38
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle Geophysical Research Letters. 35. DOI: 10.1029/2008Gl034431  0.45
2008 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Saunders MA. Forecasting us insured hurricane losses Climate Extremes and Society. 189-208. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511535840.012  0.322
2008 Kavlakov S, Elsner JB, Pérez-Peraza J. A statistical link between tropical cyclone intensification and major geomagnetic disturbances Geofisica Internacional. 47: 207-213.  0.334
2007 Elsner JB. Climatology: Tempests in time. Nature. 447: 647-9. PMID 17554294 DOI: 10.1038/447647A  0.364
2007 Elsner JB. Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes Tellus, Series a: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography. 59: 476-485. DOI: 10.1111/J.1600-0870.2007.00244.X  0.472
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Comparison of hindcasts anticipating the 2004 Florida hurricane season Weather and Forecasting. 21: 182-192. DOI: 10.1175/Waf916.1  0.47
2006 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Climatology models for extreme hurricane winds near the United States Journal of Climate. 19: 3220-3236. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3913.1  0.432
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Prediction models for annual U.S. hurricane counts Journal of Climate. 19: 2935-2952. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3729.1  0.412
2006 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA, Jagger TH. High-frequency variability in hurricane power dissipation and its relationship to global temperature Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 87: 763-768. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-87-6-763  0.377
2006 Elsner JB. Evidence in support of the climate change-Atlantic hurricane hypothesis Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2006Gl026869  0.456
2006 Elsner JB, Murnane RJ, Jagger TH. Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2006Gl025693  0.492
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Tsonis AA. Estimated return periods for Hurricane Katrina Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2005Gl025452  0.428
2006 Fogarty EA, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Liu KB, Louie KS. Variations in typhoon landfalls over China Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 23: 665-677. DOI: 10.1007/S00376-006-0665-2  0.754
2005 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB, Hunt AG, Jagger TH. Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO Geophysical Research Letters. 32: 1-4. DOI: 10.1029/2005Gl022875  0.403
2004 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. A hierarchical Bayesian approach to seasonal hurricane modeling Journal of Climate. 17: 2813-2827. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2813:Ahbats>2.0.Co;2  0.472
2004 Elsner JB, Niu X, Jagger TH. Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach Journal of Climate. 17: 2652-2666. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2652:Dsihru>2.0.Co;2  0.44
2004 Bossak BH, Elsner JB. Plotting early nineteenth-century hurricane information Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. 85: 199-199. DOI: 10.1029/2004Eo200007  0.745
2003 Elsner JB, Liu KB. Examining the ENSO-typhoon hypothesis Climate Research. 25: 43-54. DOI: 10.3354/Cr025043  0.438
2003 Tsonis AA, Hunt AG, Elsner JB. On the relation between ENSO and global climate change Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 84: 229-242. DOI: 10.1007/S00703-003-0001-7  0.424
2003 Elsner JB. What seasonal hurricane forecasts mean to the residents of Florida Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 84: 556-558.  0.332
2002 Jagger TH, Niu X, Elsner JB. A space-time model for seasonal hurricane prediction International Journal of Climatology. 22: 451-465. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.755  0.408
2001 Jagger T, Elsner JB, Niu X. A dynamic probability model of hurricane winds in coastal counties of the United States Journal of Applied Meteorology. 40: 853-863. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(2001)040<0853:Adpmoh>2.0.Co;2  0.418
2001 Elsner JB, Bossak BH. Bayesian analysis of U.S. hurricane climate Journal of Climate. 14: 4341-4350. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4341:Baoush>2.0.Co;2  0.765
2001 Elsner JB, Bossak BH, Niu XF. Secular changes to the ENSO-U.S. hurricane relationship Geophysical Research Letters. 28: 4123-4126. DOI: 10.1029/2001Gl013669  0.759
2001 Elsner JB. Reply to “Comment on changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century” Geophysical Research Letters. 28: 2873-2874. DOI: 10.1029/2001Gl013433  0.312
2001 Elsner JB, Kavlakov SP. Hurricane intensity changes associated with geomagnetic variation Atmospheric Science Letters. 2. DOI: 10.1006/Asle.2001.0040  0.45
2000 Elsner JB, Liu K, Kocher B. Spatial variations in major U.S. hurricane activity: Statistics and a physical mechanism Journal of Climate. 13: 2293-2305. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2293:Svimus>2.0.Co;2  0.474
2000 Elsner JB, Jagger T, Niu XF. Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century Geophysical Research Letters. 27: 1743-1746. DOI: 10.1029/2000Gl011453  0.399
2000 Elsner JB, Kocher B. Global tropical cyclone activity: A link to the North Atlantic Oscillation Geophysical Research Letters. 27: 129-132. DOI: 10.1029/1999Gl010893  0.434
2000 Carter MM, Elsner JB, Bennett SP. A quantitative precipitation forecast experiment for Puerto Rico Journal of Hydrology. 239: 162-178. DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00349-8  0.395
1999 Tsonis AA, Roebber PJ, Elsner JB. Long-range correlations in the extratropical atmospheric circulation: Origins and implications Journal of Climate. 12: 1534-1541. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1534:Lrcite>2.0.Co;2  0.386
1999 Elsner JB, Kara AB, Owens MA. Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricane frequency Journal of Climate. 12: 427-437. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<0427:Finahf>2.0.Co;2  0.451
1998 Bove MC, Elsner JB, Landsea CW, Niu X, O'Brien JJ. Effect of El Niño on U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes, Revisited Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 79: 2477-2482. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<2477:Eoenoo>2.0.Co;2  0.418
1998 Kara AB, Elsner JB, Ruscher PH. Physical mechanism for the Tallahassee, Florida, minimum temperature anomaly Journal of Applied Meteorology. 37: 101-113. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(1998)037<0101:Pmfttf>2.0.Co;2  0.356
1998 Kimberlain TB, Elsner JB. The 1995 and 1996 North Atlantic hurricane seasons: A return of the tropical-only hurricane Journal of Climate. 11: 2062-2069. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442-11.8.2062  0.455
1998 Kara AB, Elsner JB, Ruscher PH. Numerical models of boundary layer processes over and around the Gulf of Mexico during a return-flow event Weather and Forecasting. 13: 921-933. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1998)013<0921:Nmoblp>2.0.Co;2  0.36
1998 Tsonis AA, Roebber PJ, Elsner JB. A characteristic time scale in the global temperature record Geophysical Research Letters. 25: 2821-2823. DOI: 10.1029/98Gl02055  0.322
1998 Elsner JB, Niu X, Tsonis AA. Multi-year prediction model of North Atlantic hurricane activity Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 68: 43-51. DOI: 10.1007/Bf01025383  0.376
1997 Roebber PJ, Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. Do climate simulations from models forced by averaged sea surface temperatures represent actual dynamics? Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. 4: 93-100. DOI: 10.5194/Npg-4-93-1997  0.422
1997 Lehmiller GS, Kimberlain TB, Elsner JB. Seasonal prediction models for North Atlantic basin hurricane location Monthly Weather Review. 125: 1780-1791. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<1780:Spmfna>2.0.Co;2  0.441
1997 Carter MM, Elsner JB. A statistical method for forecasting rainfall over Puerto Rico Weather and Forecasting. 12: 515-525. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1997)012<0515:Asmffr>2.0.Co;2  0.439
1997 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. Global temperature as a regulator of climate predictability Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 108: 191-196. DOI: 10.1016/S0167-2789(97)82013-1  0.42
1996 Elsner JB, Fuelberg HE, Deal RL, Orrock JA, Lehmiller GS, Ruscher PH. Tallahassee, Florida, Minimum Temperature Anomaly: Description and Speculations Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 77: 721-728. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0721:Tfmtad>2.0.Co;2  0.364
1996 Elsner JB, Lehmiller GS, Kimberlain TB. Objective classification of Atlantic hurricanes Journal of Climate. 9: 2880-2889. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2880:Ocoah>2.0.Co;2  0.355
1996 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. Mapping the channels of communication between the tropics and higher latitudes in the atmosphere Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 92: 237-244. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2789(95)00265-0  0.411
1996 Carter MM, Elsner JB. Convective rainfall regions of Puerto Rico International Journal of Climatology. 16: 1033-1043. DOI: 10.1002/(Sici)1097-0088(199609)16:9<1033::Aid-Joc77>3.0.Co;2-H  0.384
1995 Hess JC, Elsner JB, Laseur NE. Improving seasonal hurricane predictions for the Atlantic Basin Weather &Amp; Forecasting. 10: 425-446. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1995)010<0425:Ishpft>2.0.Co;2  0.457
1994 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA. Empirically derived climate predictability over the extratropical northern hemisphere Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. 1: 41-44. DOI: 10.5194/Npg-1-41-1994  0.417
1994 Hess JC, Elsner JB. Historical developments leading to current forecast models of annual Atlantic hurricane activity Bulletin - American Meteorological Society. 75: 1611-1620. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1994)075<1611:Hdltcf>2.0.Co;2  0.407
1994 Elsner JB, Schmertmann CP. Assessing forecast skill through cross validation Weather &Amp; Forecasting. 9: 619-624. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1994)009<0619:Afstcv>2.0.Co;2  0.315
1994 Hess JC, Elsner JB. Extended-range hindcasts of tropical-origin Atlantic hurricane activity Geophysical Research Letters. 21: 365-368. DOI: 10.1029/94Gl00008  0.391
1993 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB, Georgakakos KP. Estimating the dimension of weather and climate attractors: important issues about the procedure and interpretation Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 50: 2549-2555. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1993)050<2549:Etdowa>2.0.Co;2  0.327
1993 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA. Complexity and predictability of hourly precipitation Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 50: 400-405. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1993)050<0400:Capohp>2.0.Co;2  0.371
1993 Elsner JB, Schmertmann CP. Improving extended-range seasonal predictions of intense Atlantic hurricane activity Weather &Amp; Forecasting. 8: 345-351. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0345:Ierspo>2.0.Co;2  0.408
1992 Elsner JB. A description of low-frequency atmospheric oscillations over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere using singular spectrum analysis Geophysical Research Letters. 19: 1775-1778. DOI: 10.1029/92Gl01880  0.401
1991 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA. Do bidecadal oscillations exist in the global temperature record? Nature. 353: 551-553. DOI: 10.1038/353551A0  0.418
1991 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA. Comparisons of observed Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature records Geophysical Research Letters. 18: 1229-1232. DOI: 10.1029/91Gl00707  0.41
1991 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA. A note on the spatial structure of the covariability of observed Northern Hemisphere surface air temperatures Pure and Applied Geophysics Pageoph. 137: 133-146. DOI: 10.1007/Bf00876893  0.372
1990 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. Comments on “Dimension Analysis of Climatic Data" Journal of Climate. 3: 1502-1505. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1990)003<1502:Coaocd>2.0.Co;2  0.342
1989 Elsner JB, Drag WH. Synoptic Weather Patterns Associated with the Milwaukee, Wisconsin Flash Flood of 6 August 1986 Weather and Forecasting. 4: 537-554. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1989)004<0537:Swpawt>2.0.Co;2  0.391
1989 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. Testing the global warming hypothesis Geophys. Res. Lett.. 16: 795-797. DOI: 10.1029/Gl016I008P00795  0.392
1988 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB. The weather attractor over very short timescales Nature. 333: 545-547. DOI: 10.1038/333545A0  0.373
1987 Sikdar DN, Elsner JB. Intra-seasonal variability of rainfall and atmospheric energetics over northeast Brazil during the rainy season of 1979 Tellus, Series A. 39: 49-60. DOI: 10.3402/Tellusa.V39I1.11739  0.446
1987 Sikdar DN, Elsner JB. Large-scale circulation departures related to wet episodes in north-east Brazil Quarterly Journal - Royal Meteorological Society. 113: 567-580. DOI: 10.1002/Qj.49711347608  0.395
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