George Sugihara - Publications

Affiliations: 
Oceanography University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 
Area:
Oceanography Biology, Ecology Biology, Statistics, Fisheries and Aquaculture Agriculture, Biostatistics Biology

89 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2023 Merz E, Saberski E, Gilarranz LJ, Isles PDF, Sugihara G, Berger C, Pomati F. Disruption of ecological networks in lakes by climate change and nutrient fluctuations. Nature Climate Change. 13: 389-396. PMID 37038592 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01615-6  0.79
2022 Deyle ER, Bouffard D, Frossard V, Schwefel R, Melack J, Sugihara G. A hybrid empirical and parametric approach for managing ecosystem complexity: Water quality in Lake Geneva under nonstationary futures. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 119: e2102466119. PMID 35733249 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2102466119  0.747
2022 Ushio M, Hsieh CH, Masuda R, Deyle ER, Ye H, Chang CW, Sugihara G, Kondoh M. Author Correction: Fluctuating interaction network and time-varying stability of a natural fish community. Nature. PMID 35523999 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04810-1  0.769
2021 Saberski E, Bock AK, Goodridge R, Agarwal V, Lorimer T, Rifkin SA, Sugihara G. Networks of Causal Linkage Between Eigenmodes Characterize Behavioral Dynamics of Caenorhabditis elegans. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1009329. PMID 34506477 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009329  0.778
2021 Park J, Saberski E, Stabenau E, Sugihara G. Dynamics of Florida milk production and total phosphate in Lake Okeechobee. Plos One. 16: e0248910. PMID 34351917 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248910  0.769
2021 Lorimer T, Goodridge R, Bock AK, Agarwal V, Saberski E, Sugihara G, Rifkin SA. Tracking changes in behavioural dynamics using prediction error. Plos One. 16: e0251053. PMID 33979384 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251053  0.807
2020 Nova N, Deyle ER, Shocket MS, MacDonald AJ, Childs ML, Rypdal M, Sugihara G, Mordecai EA. Susceptible host availability modulates climate effects on dengue dynamics. Ecology Letters. PMID 33300663 DOI: 10.1111/ele.13652  0.77
2020 Choi ES, Saberski E, Lorimer T, Smith C, Kandage-Don U, Burton RS, Sugihara G. The importance of making testable predictions: A cautionary tale. Plos One. 15: e0236541. PMID 33290401 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236541  0.808
2020 Natsukawa H, Deyle ER, Pao GM, Koyamada K, Sugihara G. A Visual Analytics Approach for Ecosystem Dynamics based on Empirical Dynamic Modeling. Ieee Transactions On Visualization and Computer Graphics. PMID 33026998 DOI: 10.1109/TVCG.2020.3028956  0.794
2020 Chang CW, Ye H, Miki T, Deyle ER, Sami S, Anneville O, Adrian R, Chiang YR, Ichise S, Kumagai M, Matsuzaki SS, Shiah FK, Wu JT, Hsieh CH, Sugihara G. Long-term warming destabilizes aquatic ecosystems through weakening biodiversity-mediated causal networks. Global Change Biology. PMID 32869344 DOI: 10.1111/Gcb.15323  0.809
2020 Giron-Nava A, Munch SB, Johnson AF, Deyle E, James CC, Saberski E, Pao GM, Aburto-Oropeza O, Sugihara G. Circularity in fisheries data weakens real world prediction. Scientific Reports. 10: 6977. PMID 32332835 DOI: 10.1038/S41598-020-63773-3  0.752
2020 Cenci S, Medeiros LP, Sugihara G, Saavedra S. Assessing the predictability of nonlinear dynamics under smooth parameter changes. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 17: 20190627. PMID 31964271 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2019.0627  0.448
2019 Runge J, Bathiany S, Bollt E, Camps-Valls G, Coumou D, Deyle E, Glymour C, Kretschmer M, Mahecha MD, Muñoz-Marí J, van Nes EH, Peters J, Quax R, Reichstein M, Scheffer M, ... ... Sugihara G, et al. Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences. Nature Communications. 10: 2553. PMID 31201306 DOI: 10.1038/S41467-019-10105-3  0.749
2019 Rypdal M, Sugihara G. Inter-outbreak stability reflects the size of the susceptible pool and forecasts magnitudes of seasonal epidemics. Nature Communications. 10: 2374. PMID 31147545 DOI: 10.1038/S41467-019-10099-Y  0.377
2019 Cenci S, Sugihara G, Saavedra S. Regularized S‐map for inference and forecasting with noisy ecological time series Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 10: 650-660. DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.13150  0.358
2019 Munch SB, Brias A, Sugihara G, Rogers TL. Frequently asked questions about nonlinear dynamics and empirical dynamic modelling Ices Journal of Marine Science. 77: 1463-1479. DOI: 10.1093/Icesjms/Fsz209  0.43
2019 Sguotti C, Otto SA, Cormon X, Werner KM, Deyle E, Sugihara G, Möllmann C. Non-linearity in stock–recruitment relationships of Atlantic cod: insights from a multi-model approach Ices Journal of Marine Science. 77: 1492-1502. DOI: 10.1093/Icesjms/Fsz113  0.777
2018 Ushio M, Hsieh CH, Masuda R, Deyle ER, Ye H, Chang CW, Sugihara G, Kondoh M. Fluctuating interaction network and time-varying stability of a natural fish community. Nature. PMID 29414940 DOI: 10.1038/Nature25504  0.802
2018 Munch SB, Giron-Nava A, Sugihara G. Nonlinear dynamics and noise in fisheries recruitment: A global meta-analysis Fish and Fisheries. 19: 964-973. DOI: 10.1111/Faf.12304  0.44
2018 Deyle E, Schueller AM, Ye H, Pao GM, Sugihara G. Ecosystem-based forecasts of recruitment in two menhaden species Fish and Fisheries. 19: 769-781. DOI: 10.1111/Faf.12287  0.803
2018 Sugihara G, Criddle KR, McQuown M, Giron-Nava A, Deyle E, James C, Lee A, Pao G, Saberski E, Ye H. Comprehensive incentives for reducing Chinook salmon bycatch in the Bering Sea walleye Pollock fishery: Individual tradable encounter credits Regional Studies in Marine Science. 22: 70-81. DOI: 10.1016/J.Rsma.2018.06.002  0.764
2017 Telschow A, Grziwotz F, Crain P, Miki T, Mains JW, Sugihara G, Dobson SL, Hsieh CH. Infections of Wolbachia may destabilize mosquito population dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology. PMID 28579427 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2017.05.016  0.476
2017 Sugihara G, Deyle ER, Ye H. Reply to Baskerville and Cobey: Misconceptions about causation with synchrony and seasonal drivers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 28298533 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1700998114  0.79
2017 McGowan JA, Deyle ER, Ye H, Carter ML, Perretti CT, Seger KD, de Verneil A, Sugihara G. Predicting Coastal Algal Blooms in Southern California. Ecology. PMID 28295286 DOI: 10.1002/Ecy.1804  0.814
2017 Dakos V, Glaser SM, Hsieh CH, Sugihara G. Elevated nonlinearity as an indicator of shifts in the dynamics of populations under stress. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 14. PMID 28250096 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2016.0845  0.782
2017 Giron-Nava A, James C, Johnson A, Dannecker D, Kolody B, Lee A, Nagarkar M, Pao G, Ye H, Johns D, Sugihara G. Quantitative argument for long-term ecological monitoring Marine Ecology Progress Series. 572: 269-274. DOI: 10.3354/Meps12149  0.755
2016 Deyle ER, Maher MC, Hernandez RD, Basu S, Sugihara G. Global environmental drivers of influenza. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 27799563 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1607747113  0.732
2016 Ye H, Sugihara G. Information leverage in interconnected ecosystems: Overcoming the curse of dimensionality. Science (New York, N.Y.). 353: 922-5. PMID 27563095 DOI: 10.1126/Science.Aag0863  0.626
2016 Deyle ER, May RM, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Tracking and forecasting ecosystem interactions in real time. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 283. PMID 26763700 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2015.2258  0.809
2015 Ye H, Deyle ER, Gilarranz LJ, Sugihara G. Distinguishing time-delayed causal interactions using convergent cross mapping. Scientific Reports. 5: 14750. PMID 26435402 DOI: 10.1038/Srep14750  0.798
2015 Ye H, Sugihara G, Deyle ER, May RM, Swanson K, Tsonis AA. Reply to Luo et al.: Robustness of causal effects of galactic cosmic rays on interannual variation in global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 26283406 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1511080112  0.755
2015 Clark T, Ye H, Isbell F, Deyle ER, Cowles J, Tilman GD, Sugihara G. Spatial convergent cross mapping to detect causal relationships from short time series. Ecology. 96: 1174-81. PMID 26236832 DOI: 10.1890/14-1479.1  0.788
2015 Tsonis AA, Deyle ER, May RM, Sugihara G, Swanson K, Verbeten JD, Wang G. Dynamical evidence for causality between galactic cosmic rays and interannual variation in global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: 3253-6. PMID 25733877 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1420291112  0.771
2015 Ye H, Beamish RJ, Glaser SM, Grant SC, Hsieh CH, Richards LJ, Schnute JT, Sugihara G. Equation-free mechanistic ecosystem forecasting using empirical dynamic modeling. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: E1569-76. PMID 25733874 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1417063112  0.825
2015 Van Nes EH, Scheffer M, Brovkin V, Lenton TM, Ye H, Deyle E, Sugihara G. Causal feedbacks in climate change Nature Climate Change. 5: 445-448. DOI: 10.1038/Nclimate2568  0.79
2014 Glaser SM, Ye H, Sugihara G. A nonlinear, low data requirement model for producing spatially explicit fishery forecasts Fisheries Oceanography. 23: 45-53. DOI: 10.1111/Fog.12042  0.799
2014 Glaser SM, Fogarty MJ, Liu H, Altman I, Hsieh CH, Kaufman L, Maccall AD, Rosenberg AA, Ye H, Sugihara G. Complex dynamics may limit prediction in marine fisheries Fish and Fisheries. 15: 616-633. DOI: 10.1111/Faf.12037  0.834
2014 Liu H, Fogarty MJ, Hare JA, Hsieh Ch, Glaser SM, Ye H, Deyle E, Sugihara G. Modeling dynamic interactions and coherence between marine zooplankton and fishes linked to environmental variability Journal of Marine Systems. 131: 120-129. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jmarsys.2013.12.003  0.817
2013 Perretti CT, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Reply to Hartig and Dormann: The true model myth. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 110: E3976-7. PMID 24278967 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1312461110  0.757
2013 Deyle ER, Fogarty M, Hsieh CH, Kaufman L, MacCall AD, Munch SB, Perretti CT, Ye H, Sugihara G. Predicting climate effects on Pacific sardine. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 110: 6430-5. PMID 23536299 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1215506110  0.803
2013 Perretti CT, Munch SB, Sugihara G. Model-free forecasting outperforms the correct mechanistic model for simulated and experimental data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 110: 5253-7. PMID 23440207 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1216076110  0.802
2013 Perretti CT, Sugihara G, Munch SB. Nonparametric forecasting outperforms parametric methods for a simulated multispecies system Ecology. 94: 794-800. DOI: 10.1890/12-0904.1  0.789
2012 Sugihara G, May R, Ye H, Hsieh CH, Deyle E, Fogarty M, Munch S. Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science (New York, N.Y.). 338: 496-500. PMID 22997134 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1227079  0.805
2012 Liu H, Fogarty MJ, Glaser SM, Altman I, Hsieh CH, Kaufman L, Rosenberg AA, Sugihara G. Nonlinear dynamic features and co-predictability of the Georges Bank fish community Marine Ecology Progress Series. 464: 195-207. DOI: 10.3354/Meps09868  0.803
2011 Sugihara G, Beddington J, Hsieh CH, Deyle E, Fogarty M, Glaser SM, Hewitt R, Hollowed A, May RM, Munch SB, Perretti C, Rosenberg AA, Sandin S, Ye H. Are exploited fish populations stable? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 108: E1224-5; author repl. PMID 22089231 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1112033108  0.792
2011 Deyle ER, Sugihara G. Generalized theorems for nonlinear state space reconstruction. Plos One. 6: e18295. PMID 21483839 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0018295  0.76
2011 Glaser SM, Ye H, Maunder M, MacCall A, Fogarty M, Sugihara G. Detecting and forecasting complex nonlinear dynamics in spatially structured catch-per-uniteffort time series for North Pacific albacore (Thunnus alalunga) Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 68: 400-412. DOI: 10.1139/F10-160  0.766
2010 Tsonis AA, Swanson KL, Sugihara G, Tsonis PA. Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization Climate of the Past. 6: 525-530. DOI: 10.5194/Cp-6-525-2010  0.368
2009 Swanson KL, Sugihara G, Tsonis AA. Long-term natural variability and 20th century climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 106: 16120-3. PMID 19805268 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0908699106  0.337
2009 Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, Brovkin V, Carpenter SR, Dakos V, Held H, van Nes EH, Rietkerk M, Sugihara G. Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature. 461: 53-9. PMID 19727193 DOI: 10.1038/Nature08227  0.362
2009 Sugihara G, Ye H. Complex systems: Cooperative network dynamics. Nature. 458: 979-80. PMID 19396133 DOI: 10.1038/458979A  0.599
2009 Hsieh CH, Kim HJ, Watson W, Di Lorenzo E, Sugihara G. Climate-driven changes in abundance and distribution of larvae of oceanic fishes in the southern California region Global Change Biology. 15: 2137-2152. DOI: 10.1111/J.1365-2486.2009.01875.X  0.496
2009 Kilcik A, Anderson CNK, Rozelot JP, Ye H, Sugihara G, Ozguc A. NONLINEAR PREDICTION OF SOLAR CYCLE 24 The Astrophysical Journal. 693: 1173-1177. DOI: 10.1088/0004-637X/693/2/1173  0.608
2008 Anderson CN, Hsieh CH, Sandin SA, Hewitt R, Hollowed A, Beddington J, May RM, Sugihara G. Why fishing magnifies fluctuations in fish abundance. Nature. 452: 835-9. PMID 18421346 DOI: 10.1038/Nature06851  0.628
2008 May RM, Levin SA, Sugihara G. Complex systems: ecology for bankers. Nature. 451: 893-5. PMID 18288170 DOI: 10.1038/451893A  0.487
2008 Hsieh CH, Anderson C, Sugihara G. Extending nonlinear analysis to short ecological time series. The American Naturalist. 171: 71-80. PMID 18171152 DOI: 10.1086/524202  0.551
2008 Hsieh CH, Reiss CS, Hewitt RP, Sugihara G. Spatial analysis shows that fishing enhances the climatic sensitivity of marine fishes Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 65: 947-961. DOI: 10.1139/F08-017  0.512
2007 Maye A, Hsieh CH, Sugihara G, Brembs B. Order in spontaneous behavior. Plos One. 2: e443. PMID 17505542 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0000443  0.444
2007 Maye A, Hsieh C, Sugihara G, Brembs B. Long-range correlations in fly ISIs Plos One. DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0000443.G005  0.444
2007 Maye A, Hsieh C, Sugihara G, Brembs B. Spontaneous behavior is not simply random. Plos One. DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0000443.G003  0.42
2007 Maye A, Hsieh C, Sugihara G, Brembs B. Alternative models conceptualizing the open-loop experiment. Plos One. DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0000443.G001  0.42
2006 Hsieh CH, Reiss CS, Hunter JR, Beddington JR, May RM, Sugihara G. Fishing elevates variability in the abundance of exploited species. Nature. 443: 859-62. PMID 17051218 DOI: 10.1038/Nature05232  0.634
2006 Southwood TR, May RM, Sugihara G. Observations on related ecological exponents. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 103: 6931-3. PMID 16641099 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0600988103  0.487
2005 Hsieh CH, Glaser SM, Lucas AJ, Sugihara G. Distinguishing random environmental fluctuations from ecological catastrophes for the North Pacific Ocean. Nature. 435: 336-40. PMID 15902256 DOI: 10.1038/Nature03553  0.795
2005 Hsieh CH, Reiss C, Watson W, Allen MJ, Hunter JR, Lea RN, Rosenblatt RH, Smith PE, Sugihara G. A comparison of long-term trends and variability in populations of larvae of exploited and unexploited fishes in the Southern California region: A community approach Progress in Oceanography. 67: 160-185. DOI: 10.1016/J.Pocean.2005.05.002  0.54
2003 Sugihara G, Bersier LF, Southwood TRE, Pimm SL, May RM. Predicted correspondence between species abundances and dendrograms of niche similarities Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 100: 5246-5251. PMID 12702773 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0831096100  0.742
2000 Courchamp F, Langlais M, Sugihara G. Rabbits killing birds: Modelling the hyperpredation process Journal of Animal Ecology. 69: 154-164. DOI: 10.1046/J.1365-2656.2000.00383.X  0.607
1999 Bersier LF, Dixon P, Sugihara G. Scale-Invariant or Scale-Dependent Behavior of the Link Density Property in Food Webs: A Matter of Sampling Effort? The American Naturalist. 153: 676-682. PMID 29585644 DOI: 10.1086/303200  0.652
1999 Sugihara G, Casdagli M, Habjan E, Hess D, Dixon P, Holland G. Residual delay maps unveil global patterns of atmospheric nonlinearity and produce improved local forecasts Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 96: 14210-14215. PMID 10588685 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.96.25.14210  0.798
1999 Courchamp F, Sugihara G. Modeling the biological control of an alien predator to protect island species from extinction Ecological Applications. 9: 112-123. DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(1999)009[0112:Mtbcoa]2.0.Co;2  0.571
1999 Dixon PA, Milicich MJ, Sugihara G. Episodic fluctuations in larval supply Science. 283: 1528-1530. DOI: 10.1126/Science.283.5407.1528  0.4
1999 Bersier LF, Dixon P, Sugihara G. Scale-invariant or scale-dependent behavior of the link density property in food webs: A matter of sampling effort? American Naturalist. 153: 676-682. DOI: 10.1086/303200  0.617
1999 Courchamp F, Langlais M, Sugihara G. Cats protecting birds: Modelling the mesopredator release effect Journal of Animal Ecology. 68: 282-292. DOI: 10.1046/J.1365-2656.1999.00285.X  0.603
1999 Courchamp F, Langlais M, Sugihara G. Control of rabbits to protect island birds from cat predation Biological Conservation. 89: 219-225. DOI: 10.1016/S0006-3207(98)00131-1  0.574
1998 Segundo JP, Sugihara G, Dixon P, Stiber M, Bersier LF. The spike trains of inhibited pacemaker neurons seen through the magnifying glass of nonlinear analyses. Neuroscience. 87: 741-66. PMID 9759964 DOI: 10.1016/S0306-4522(98)00086-4  0.719
1997 Sugihara G, Bersier LF, Schoenly K. Effects of taxonomic and trophic aggregation on food web properties. Oecologia. 112: 272-284. PMID 28307580 DOI: 10.1007/S004420050310  0.665
1997 Bersier LF, Sugihara G. Scaling regions for food web properties. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 94: 1247-51. PMID 11038600 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.94.4.1247  0.661
1997 Bersier LF, Sugihara G. Species abundance patterns: The problem of testing stochastic models Journal of Animal Ecology. 66: 769-774. DOI: 10.2307/5927  0.684
1995 Sugihara G, Hobday A. One thousand words = one millipicture Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 10: 89-90. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-5347(00)88992-2  0.44
1995 DIXON P, HOBDAY A, SUGIHARA G. Armin Bunde and Shlomo Havlin, Editors, Fractals in Science, Springer-Verlag, Oxford (1994). Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 57: 939-941. DOI: 10.1016/S0092-8240(95)80009-3  0.445
1995 Dixon P, Hobday A, Sugihara G. Fractals in science Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 57: 939-941. DOI: 10.1007/Bf02458302  0.445
1994 Sugihara G. Nonlinear Forecasting for the Classification of Natural Time Series Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A. 348: 477-495. DOI: 10.1098/Rsta.1994.0106  0.418
1992 Sugihara G, May R. How predictable is chaos? Nature. 355: 26. DOI: 10.1038/355026A0  0.494
1990 Sugihara G, May RM. Nonlinear forecasting as a way of distinguishing chaos from measurement error in time series Nature. 344: 734-741. PMID 2330029 DOI: 10.1038/344734A0  0.555
1990 Sugihara G, Grenfell B, May RM. Distinguishing error from chaos in ecological time series Philosophical Transactions - Royal Society of London, B. 330: 235-251. DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.1990.0195  0.342
1990 Sugihara G, M. May R. Applications of fractals in ecology Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 5: 79-86. DOI: 10.1016/0169-5347(90)90235-6  0.326
1986 Sugihara G. Shuffled Sticks: On Calculating Nonrandom Niche Overlaps The American Naturalist. 127: 554-560. DOI: 10.1086/284502  0.345
1984 Livdahl TP, Sugihara G. Non-linear interactions of populations and the importance of estimating per capita rates of change. Journal of Animal Ecology. 53: 573-580. DOI: 10.2307/4535  0.697
1980 Sugihara G. Minimal Community Structure: An Explanation of Species Abundance Patterns. The American Naturalist. 116: 770-787. PMID 29513556 DOI: 10.1086/283669  0.341
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