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82 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2014 Bunn O, Staal A, Zhuang J, Lazanas A, Ural C, Shiller R. Es-cape-ing from overvalued sectors: Sector selection based on the cyclically adjusted price-earnings (CAPE) ratio Journal of Portfolio Management. 41: 16-33. DOI: 10.3905/Jpm.2014.41.1.016  0.92
2014 Bunn OD, Shiller RJ. Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013 National Bureau of Economic Research. DOI: 10.2139/Ssrn.2447654  1
2014 Shiller RJ. Speculative asset prices American Economic Review. 104: 1486-1517. DOI: 10.1257/Aer.104.6.1486  0.92
2014 Shiller RJ. Why is housing finance still stuck in such a primitive stage? American Economic Review. 104: 73-76. DOI: 10.1257/Aer.104.5.73  0.92
2013 Shiller RJ. Capitalism and financial innovation Financial Analysts Journal. 69: 21-25. DOI: 10.2469/Faj.V69.N1.4  0.92
2013 Shiller RJ. Reflections on finance and the good society American Economic Review. 103: 402-405. DOI: 10.1257/Aer.103.3.402  0.92
2013 Baily MN, Campbell JY, Cochrane JH, Diamond DW, Duffie D, French KR, Kashyap AK, Mishkin FS, Rajan R, Scharfstein DS, Shiller RJ, Slaughter MJ, Shin HS, Stein J, Stulz RM. Aligning Incentives at Systemically Important Financial Institutions: A Proposal by the Squam Lake Group Journal of Applied Corporate Finance. 25: 37-40. DOI: 10.1111/Jacf.12040  1
2013 Shiller RJ. Finance contributing to the good society Business Economics. 48: 77-80. DOI: 10.1057/Be.2012.31  0.92
2013 Shiller RJ. Irving fisher, debt deflation, and crises Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 35: 179-183. DOI: 10.1017/S1053837213000059  0.92
2013 Shiller RJ, Wojakowski RM, Ebrahim MS, Shackleton MB. Mitigating financial fragility with Continuous Workout Mortgages Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 85: 269-285. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jebo.2012.04.010  0.92
2013 Shiller RJ. Finance and the good society Finance and the Good Society. 1-288.  0.92
2012 Case KE, Shiller RJ, Thompson AK. What have they been thinking? Homebuyer behavior in hot and cold markets Brookings Papers On Economic Activity. 265-315. DOI: 10.2139/Ssrn.2149000  0.92
2012 Fabozzi FJ, Shiller RJ, Tunaru RS. A Pricing Framework for Real Estate Derivatives European Financial Management. 18: 762-789. DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-036X.2011.00635.X  0.92
2012 Shiller RJ, Frey BS, Osterloh M, Sala E, Gibney B, Howery K, Gustafson E, Majumdar A, Easterbrook G, Searls D, Goodman E, Porter W, Hill LA, Lineback K, Khanna P, et al. The HBR list of audacious ideas Harvard Business Review. 90.  0.92
2011 Shiller RJ, Shiller VM. Economists as worldly philosophers American Economic Review. 101: 171-175. DOI: 10.2139/Ssrn.1783743  0.92
2011 Shiller RJ. Model Comparisons and Appraisals 1 Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models. DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195057720.003.0012  0.92
2011 Akerlof GA, Shiller RJ. How human psychology drives the economy, and why it matters for global capitalism Privredna Kretanja I Ekonomska Politika. 21: 95-101.  0.92
2010 Shiller RJ. Crisis and innovation Journal of Portfolio Management. 36: 14-19. DOI: 10.3905/Jpm.2010.36.3.014  0.92
2010 Kamstra MJ, Shiller RJ. Trills instead of T-Bills: It's time to replace part of government debt with shares in GDP Economists' Voice. 7. DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1782  0.92
2010 Fabozzi FJ, Shiller RJ, Tunaru RS. Property derivatives for managing European real-estate risk European Financial Management. 16: 8-26. DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-036X.2009.00528.X  0.92
2010 French KR, Baily MN, Campbell JY, Cochrane JH, Diamond DW, Duffie D, Kashyap AK, Mishkin FS, Rajan RG, Scharfstein DS, Shiller RJ, Shin HS, Slaughter MJ, Stein JC, Stulz RM. The Squam Lake report: Fixing the financial system The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System. 1-167.  0.92
2010 Akerlof GA, Shiller RJ. Animal spirits: How human psychology drives the economy, and why it matters for global capitalism Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters For Global Capitalism. 1-230.  0.92
2009 Fabozzi FJ, Shiller RJ, Tunaru RS. Hedging real estate risk Journal of Portfolio Management. 35: 92-103+8. DOI: 10.3905/Jpm.2009.35.5.092  0.92
2009 Shiller RJ. Policies to deal with the implosion in the mortgage market B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy. 9. DOI: 10.2202/1935-1682.2222  0.92
2009 Shiller RJ. Unlearned lessons from the housing bubble Economists' Voice. 6. DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1616  0.92
2009 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ, Viceira LM. Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets National Bureau of Economic Research. 40: 79-138. DOI: 10.2139/Ssrn.1408247  1
2009 Roubini N, Roach SS, Smick DM, Shiller RJ, Baker D. The worst is yet to come Foreign Policy. 62-68.  0.92
2009 Akerlof GA, Shiller RJ. How 'animal spirits' destabilize economies McKinsey Quarterly. 127-135.  0.92
2009 Shiller RJ. Irrational exuberance: (Second edition) Irrational Exuberance: (Second Edition) 0.92
2009 Shiller RJ. The new financial order: Risk in the 21st century The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century 0.92
2009 Shiller RJ. Irrational exuberance: Second edition Irrational Exuberance: Second Edition. 1-304.  0.92
2008 Arrow KJ, Forsythe R, Gorham M, Hahn R, Hanson R, Ledyard JO, Levmore S, Litan R, Milgrom P, Nelson FD, Neumann GR, Ottaviani M, Schelling TC, Shiller RJ, Smith VL, et al. Economics. The promise of prediction markets. Science (New York, N.Y.). 320: 877-8. PMID 18487176 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1157679  0.92
2008 Shiller RJ. Historic turning points in real estate Eastern Economic Journal. 34: 1-13. DOI: 10.1057/Palgrave.Eej.9050001  0.92
2007 Shiller RJ. Low interest rates and high asset prices: An interpretation in terms of changing popular economic models Brookings Papers On Economic Activity. 111-132. DOI: 10.1353/Eca.2008.0020  0.92
2006 Shiller RJ. Designing indexed units of account Long-Run Growth and Short-Run Stabilization: Essays in Memory of Albert Ando. 288-302. DOI: 10.4337/9781781950500.00016  0.92
2006 Shiller RJ. Long-term perspectives on the current boom in home prices Economists' Voice. 3: 1-11. DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1145  0.92
2006 Mayer C, Shiller RJ. Comments and discussion Brookings Papers On Economic Activity. 51-67. DOI: 10.1080/07474938908800168  0.92
2006 Shiller RJ. Life-cycle personal accounts proposal for Social Security: An evaluation of President Bush's proposal Journal of Policy Modeling. 28: 427-444. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jpolmod.2005.10.010  0.92
2005 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook: An update Advances in Behavioral Finance. 2: 173-201. DOI: 10.3386/W8221  0.92
2005 Shiller RJ. Behavioral economics and institutional innovation Southern Economic Journal. 72: 269-283. DOI: 10.2307/20062111  0.92
2005 Case KE, Quigley JM, Shiller RJ. Comparing wealth effects: The stock market versus the housing market Advances in Macroeconomics. 5. DOI: 10.2202/1534-6013.1235  0.92
2005 Shiller RJ. Comments on John Geanakoplos's "the ideal inflation-indexed bond and Irving Fisher's impatience theory of interest with overlapping generations" American Journal of Economics and Sociology. 64: 307-310. DOI: 10.1111/J.1536-7150.2005.00364.X  0.92
2005 Jung J, Shiller RJ. Samuelson's dictum and the stock market Economic Inquiry. 43: 221-228. DOI: 10.1093/Ei/Cbi015  0.92
2003 Shiller RJ. From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance Journal of Economic Perspectives. 17: 83-104. DOI: 10.1257/089533003321164967  0.92
2003 Shiller RJ. Social security and individual accounts as elements of overall risk-sharing American Economic Review. 93: 343-347. DOI: 10.1257/000282803321947326  0.92
2003 Case KE, Shiller RJ, Mayer C, Quigley JM. Is There a Bubble in the Housing Market? Brookings Papers On Economic Activity. 299-362.  0.92
2002 Shiller RJ. Bubbles, Human Judgment, and Expert Opinion Financial Analysts Journal. 58: 18-26. DOI: 10.2469/Faj.V58.N3.2535  0.92
2002 Athanasoulis SG, Shiller RJ. Defining residual risk-sharing opportunities: Pooling world income components Research in Economics. 56: 61-84. DOI: 10.2139/Ssrn.275023  0.92
2001 Athanasoulis SG, Shiller RJ. World income components: Measuring and exploiting risk-sharing opportunities American Economic Review. 91: 1031-1054. DOI: 10.1257/Aer.91.4.1031  0.92
2001 Shiller RJ. Exuberant reporting: Media and misinformation in the markets Harvard International Review. 23: 60.  0.92
2000 Shiller RJ, Weiss AN. Moral Hazard in Home Equity Conversion Real Estate Economics. 28: 1-31. DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00791  0.92
2000 Athanasoulis SG, Shiller RJ. The significance of the market portfolio Review of Financial Studies. 13: 301-329. DOI: 10.1093/Rfs/13.2.301  0.92
1999 Shiller RJ, Weiss AN. Home Equity Insurance Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. 19: 21-47. DOI: 10.1023/A:1007779229387  0.92
1999 Shiller RJ, Weiss AN. Evaluating Real Estate Valuation Systems Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. 18: 147-161. DOI: 10.1023/A:1007756607862  0.92
1999 Shiller RJ. Chapter 20 Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system Handbook of Macroeconomics. 1: 1305-1340. DOI: 10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10033-8  0.92
1998 Shiller RJ, Schneider R. Labor income indices designed for use in contracts promoting income risk management Review of Income and Wealth. 44: 163-182. DOI: 10.1111/J.1475-4991.1998.Tb00266.X  0.92
1998 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook: Ratios are extraordinarily bearish Journal of Portfolio Management. 24: 11-26.  0.92
1997 Shiller RJ. Public resistance to indexation: A puzzle Brookings Papers On Economic Activity. 159-228.  0.92
1996 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt Nber Macroeconomics Annual. 11: X3-197. DOI: 10.1086/654299  1
1996 Shiller RJ, Kon-Ya F, Tsutsui Y. Why did the nikkei crash? Expanding the scope of expectations data collection Review of Economics and Statistics. 78: 156-164. DOI: 10.1007/978-4-431-55501-8_12  0.92
1995 Shiller RJ. Aggregate income risks and hedging mechanisms Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. 35: 119-152. DOI: 10.1016/1062-9769(95)90018-7  0.92
1993 Beltratti AE, Shiller RJ. Actual and warranted relations between asset prices Oxford Economic Papers. 45: 387-402. DOI: 10.3386/W3640  0.92
1992 Shiller RJ, Beltratti AE. Stock prices and bond yields. Can their comovements be explained in terms of present value models? Journal of Monetary Economics. 30: 25-46. DOI: 10.1016/0304-3932(92)90042-Z  0.92
1991 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. Yield spreads and interest rate movements: A bird’s eye view Review of Economic Studies. 58: 495-514. DOI: 10.2307/2298008  1
1991 Shiller RJ. Arithmetic repeat sales price estimators Journal of Housing Economics. 1: 110-126. DOI: 10.1016/S1051-1377(05)80028-2  0.92
1991 Shiller RJ, Kon-Ya F, Tsutsui Y. Investor behavior in the october 1987 stock market crash: The case of Japan Journal of the Japanese and International Economies. 5: 1-13. DOI: 10.1016/S0889-1583(05)80002-4  0.92
1990 Shiller RJ, Huston McCulloch J. Chapter 13 The term structure of interest rates Handbook of Monetary Economics. 1: 627-722. DOI: 10.1016/S1573-4498(05)80016-5  0.92
1989 Case KE, Shiller RJ. The efficiency of the market for single-family homes American Economic Review. 79: 125-137. DOI: 10.3386/W2506  0.92
1989 Shiller RJ. Business cycles, financial crises, and stock volatility. A comment Carnegie-Rochester Confer. Series On Public Policy. 31: 127-132. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2231(89)90007-9  0.92
1989 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. The dividend ratio model and small sample bias. A Monte Carlo study Economics Letters. 29: 325-331. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1765(89)90211-5  0.92
1988 Shiller RJ. The volatility debate American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 70: 1057-1063. DOI: 10.2307/1241736  0.92
1988 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. Interpreting cointegrated models Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 12: 505-522. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1889(88)90053-X  0.92
1987 Shiller RJ. The volatility of stock market prices Science. 235: 33-37. DOI: 10.1126/Science.235.4784.33  0.92
1987 Grossman SJ, Melino A, Shiller RJ. Estimating the continuous-time consumption-based asset-pricing model Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 5: 315-327. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1987.10509594  0.92
1985 Shiller RJ, Perron P. Testing the random walk hypothesis. Power versus frequency of observation Economics Letters. 18: 381-386. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1765(85)90058-8  0.92
1984 Shiller RJ. Smoothness priors and nonlinear regression Journal of the American Statistical Association. 79: 609-615. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1984.10478087  0.92
1983 Campbell JY, Shiller RJ. A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-Term Interest Rates The American Economic Review. 74: 44-48. DOI: 10.3386/W1203  1
1982 Grossman SJ, Shiller RJ. Consumption correlatedness and risk measurement in economies with non-traded assets and heterogeneous information Journal of Financial Economics. 10: 195-210. DOI: 10.1016/0304-405X(82)90013-7  0.92
1982 Shiller RJ. Consumption, asset markets and macroeconomic fluctuations Carnegie-Rochester Confer. Series On Public Policy. 17: 203-238. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2231(82)90046-X  0.92
1981 Shiller RJ. Alternative tests of rational expectations models. The case of the term structure Journal of Econometrics. 16: 71-87. DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(81)90076-2  0.92
1979 Shiller RJ, Modigliani F. Coupon and tax effects on new and seasoned bond yields and the measurement of the cost of debt capital Journal of Financial Economics. 7: 297-318. DOI: 10.1016/0304-405X(79)90017-5  0.92
1978 Shiller RJ. Rational expectations and the dynamic structure of macroeconomic models. A critical review Journal of Monetary Economics. 4: 1-44. DOI: 10.1016/0304-3932(78)90032-6  0.92
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