Alun L. Lloyd - Publications

Affiliations: 
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 
Area:
Mathematics, Epidemiology

75 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2016 Okamoto KW, Gould F, Lloyd AL. Integrating Transgenic Vector Manipulation with Clinical Interventions to Manage Vector-Borne Diseases. Plos Computational Biology. 12: e1004695. PMID 26962871 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004695  0.52
2016 Breen M, Villeneuve DL, Ankley GT, Bencic D, Breen MS, Watanabe KH, Lloyd AL, Conolly RB. Computational model of the fathead minnow hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal Axis: Incorporating protein synthesis in improving predictability of responses to Endocrine Active Chemicals. Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology. Toxicology & Pharmacology : Cbp. PMID 26875912 DOI: 10.1016/j.cbpc.2016.02.002  0.52
2016 Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Perkins TA, Waller LA, Lloyd AL, Reiner RC, Scott TW, Kitron U. Coupled Heterogeneities and Their Impact on Parasite Transmission and Control. Trends in Parasitology. PMID 26850821 DOI: 10.1016/j.pt.2016.01.001  0.52
2015 Lessler J, Edmunds WJ, Halloran ME, Hollingsworth TD, Lloyd AL. Seven challenges for model-driven data collection in experimental and observational studies. Epidemics. 10: 78-82. PMID 25843389 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.12.002  0.52
2015 Britton T, House T, Lloyd AL, Mollison D, Riley S, Trapman P. Five challenges for stochastic epidemic models involving global transmission. Epidemics. 10: 54-7. PMID 25843384 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.05.002  0.52
2015 Hollingsworth TD, Pulliam JR, Funk S, Truscott JE, Isham V, Lloyd AL. Seven challenges for modelling indirect transmission: vector-borne diseases, macroparasites and neglected tropical diseases. Epidemics. 10: 16-20. PMID 25843376 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.007  0.52
2015 Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, et al. Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.). 347: aaa4339. PMID 25766240 DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa4339  0.52
2014 Robert MA, Okamoto KW, Gould F, Lloyd AL. Antipathogen genes and the replacement of disease-vectoring mosquito populations: a model-based evaluation. Evolutionary Applications. 7: 1238-51. PMID 25558284 DOI: 10.1111/eva.12219  0.52
2014 Okamoto KW, Robert MA, Gould F, Lloyd AL. Feasible introgression of an anti-pathogen transgene into an urban mosquito population without using gene-drive. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 8: e2827. PMID 24992213 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002827  0.52
2014 Guerra CA, Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Lindsay SW, Midega JT, Brady OJ, Barker CM, Reisen WK, Harrington LC, Takken W, Kitron U, Lloyd AL, Hay SI, Scott TW, Smith DL. A global assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform the control of mosquito-borne pathogens. Parasites & Vectors. 7: 276. PMID 24946878 DOI: 10.1186/1756-3305-7-276  0.52
2014 Reiner RC, Stoddard ST, Forshey BM, King AA, Ellis AM, Lloyd AL, Long KC, Rocha C, Vilcarromero S, Astete H, Bazan I, Lenhart A, Vazquez-Prokopec GM, Paz-Soldan VA, McCall PJ, et al. Time-varying, serotype-specific force of infection of dengue virus. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111: E2694-702. PMID 24847073 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1314933111  0.52
2014 Smith DL, Perkins TA, Reiner RC, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam JR, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DA, Garcia AJ, ... ... Lloyd AL, et al. Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 108: 185-97. PMID 24591453 DOI: 10.1093/trstmh/tru026  0.52
2014 Yarmand H, Ivy JS, Denton B, Lloyd AL. Optimal two-phase vaccine allocation to geographically different regions under uncertainty European Journal of Operational Research. 233: 208-219. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2013.08.027  0.52
2013 Okamoto KW, Robert MA, Lloyd AL, Gould F. A reduce and replace strategy for suppressing vector-borne diseases: insights from a stochastic, spatial model. Plos One. 8: e81860. PMID 24376506 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0081860  0.52
2013 Legros M, Xu C, Morrison A, Scott TW, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Modeling the dynamics of a non-limited and a self-limited gene drive system in structured Aedes aegypti populations. Plos One. 8: e83354. PMID 24340097 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083354  0.52
2013 Robert MA, Okamoto K, Lloyd AL, Gould F. A reduce and replace strategy for suppressing vector-borne diseases: insights from a deterministic model. Plos One. 8: e73233. PMID 24023839 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0073233  0.52
2013 Scholle SO, Ypma RJ, Lloyd AL, Koelle K. Viral substitution rate variation can arise from the interplay between within-host and epidemiological dynamics. The American Naturalist. 182: 494-513. PMID 24021402 DOI: 10.1086/672000  0.52
2013 Walsh RK, Aguilar CL, Facchinelli L, Valerio L, Ramsey JM, Scott TW, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Regulation of Aedes aegypti population dynamics in field systems: quantifying direct and delayed density dependence. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 89: 68-77. PMID 23669230 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.12-0378  0.52
2013 Breen M, Villeneuve DL, Ankley GT, Bencic DC, Breen MS, Watanabe KH, Lloyd AL, Conolly RB. Developing predictive approaches to characterize adaptive responses of the reproductive endocrine axis to aromatase inhibition: II. Computational modeling. Toxicological Sciences : An Official Journal of the Society of Toxicology. 133: 234-47. PMID 23475784 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kft067  0.52
2013 Reiner RC, Perkins TA, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, Ellis AM, George DB, Le Menach A, Pulliam JR, Bisanzio D, Buckee C, Chiyaka C, Cummings DA, Garcia AJ, Gatton ML, ... ... Lloyd AL, et al. A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 10: 20120921. PMID 23407571 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0921  0.52
2013 Facchinelli L, Valerio L, Ramsey JM, Gould F, Walsh RK, Bond G, Robert MA, Lloyd AL, James AA, Alphey L, Scott TW. Field cage studies and progressive evaluation of genetically-engineered mosquitoes. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 7: e2001. PMID 23350003 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002001  0.52
2012 Legros M, Xu C, Okamoto K, Scott TW, Morrison AC, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Assessing the feasibility of controlling Aedes aegypti with transgenic methods: a model-based evaluation. Plos One. 7: e52235. PMID 23284949 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0052235  0.52
2012 Robert MA, Legros M, Facchinelli L, Valerio L, Ramsey JM, Scott TW, Gould F, Lloyd AL. Mathematical models as aids for design and development of experiments: the case of transgenic mosquitoes. Journal of Medical Entomology. 49: 1177-88. PMID 23270145 DOI: 10.1603/ME11205  0.52
2012 Capaldi A, Behrend S, Berman B, Smith J, Wright J, Lloyd AL. Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification for an epidemic model. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : Mbe. 9: 553-76. PMID 22881026 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2012.9.553  0.52
2012 Durrett R, Gleeson JP, Lloyd AL, Mucha PJ, Shi F, Sivakoff D, Socolar JE, Varghese C. Graph fission in an evolving voter model. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 109: 3682-7. PMID 22355142 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1200709109  0.52
2011 Huang Y, Lloyd AL, Legros M, Gould F. Gene-drive into insect populations with age and spatial structure: a theoretical assessment. Evolutionary Applications. 4: 415-28. PMID 25567992 DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-4571.2010.00153.x  0.52
2011 Walker T, Johnson PH, Moreira LA, Iturbe-Ormaetxe I, Frentiu FD, McMeniman CJ, Leong YS, Dong Y, Axford J, Kriesner P, Lloyd AL, Ritchie SA, O'Neill SL, Hoffmann AA. The wMel Wolbachia strain blocks dengue and invades caged Aedes aegypti populations. Nature. 476: 450-3. PMID 21866159 DOI: 10.1038/nature10355  0.52
2011 Legros M, Magori K, Morrison AC, Xu C, Scott TW, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Evaluation of location-specific predictions by a detailed simulation model of Aedes aegypti populations. Plos One. 6: e22701. PMID 21799936 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0022701  0.52
2011 Breen M, Breen MS, Terasaki N, Yamazaki M, Lloyd AL, Conolly RB. Mechanistic computational model of steroidogenesis in H295R cells: role of oxysterols and cell proliferation to improve predictability of biochemical response to endocrine active chemical--metyrapone. Toxicological Sciences : An Official Journal of the Society of Toxicology. 123: 80-93. PMID 21725065 DOI: 10.1093/toxsci/kfr167  0.52
2011 Ward CM, Su JT, Huang Y, Lloyd AL, Gould F, Hay BA. Medea selfish genetic elements as tools for altering traits of wild populations: a theoretical analysis. Evolution; International Journal of Organic Evolution. 65: 1149-62. PMID 21062278 DOI: 10.1111/j.1558-5646.2010.01186.x  0.52
2010 Xu C, Legros M, Gould F, Lloyd AL. Understanding uncertainties in model-based predictions of Aedes aegypti population dynamics. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 4: e830. PMID 20927187 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000830  0.52
2010 Arauz LF, Neufeld KN, Lloyd AL, Lloyd PS. Quantitative models for germination and Infection of pseudoperonospora cubensis in response to temperature and duration of leaf wetness Phytopathology. 100: 959-967. PMID 20701494 DOI: 10.1094/PHYTO-100-9-0959  0.52
2010 Conlan AJ, Rohani P, Lloyd AL, Keeling M, Grenfell BT. Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 7: 623-40. PMID 19793743 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2009.0284  0.52
2009 Huang Y, Lloyd AL, Legros M, Gould F. Gene-drive in age-structured insect populations. Evolutionary Applications. 2: 143-59. PMID 25567857 DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-4571.2008.00049.x  0.52
2009 Magori K, Legros M, Puente ME, Focks DA, Scott TW, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Skeeter Buster: a stochastic, spatially explicit modeling tool for studying Aedes aegypti population replacement and population suppression strategies. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 3: e508. PMID 19721700 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000508  0.52
2009 Legros M, Lloyd AL, Huang Y, Gould F. Density-dependent intraspecific competition in the larval stage of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae): revisiting the current paradigm. Journal of Medical Entomology. 46: 409-19. PMID 19496407 DOI: 10.1603/033.046.0301  0.52
2009 Cintrón-Arias A, Castillo-Chávez C, Bettencourt LM, Lloyd AL, Banks HT. The estimation of the effective reproductive number from disease outbreak data. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : Mbe. 6: 261-82. PMID 19364152 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2009.6.261  0.52
2009 Lloyd AL. Sensitivity of model-based epidemiological parameter estimation to model assumptions Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. 123-141. DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-2313-1_6  0.52
2008 Gould F, Huang Y, Legros M, Lloyd AL. A killer-rescue system for self-limiting gene drive of anti-pathogen constructs. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 275: 2823-9. PMID 18765342 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2008.0846  0.52
2007 Huang Y, Magori K, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Introducing transgenes into insect populations using combined gene-drive strategies: modeling and analysis. Insect Biochemistry and Molecular Biology. 37: 1054-63. PMID 17785193 DOI: 10.1016/j.ibmb.2007.06.002  0.52
2007 Bai P, Banks HT, Dediu S, Govan AY, Last M, Lloyd AL, Nguyen HK, Olufsen MS, Rempala G, Slenning BD. Stochastic and deterministic models for agricultural production networks. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering : Mbe. 4: 373-402. PMID 17658932  0.52
2007 Lloyd AL, Zhang J, Root AM. Stochasticity and heterogeneity in host-vector models. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 851-63. PMID 17580290 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2007.1064  0.52
2007 Huang Y, Magori K, Lloyd AL, Gould F. Introducing desirable transgenes into insect populations using Y-linked meiotic drive - a theoretical assessment. Evolution; International Journal of Organic Evolution. 61: 717-26. PMID 17439607 DOI: 10.1111/j.1558-5646.2007.00075.x  0.52
2004 Sabouri AH, Saito M, Lloyd AL, Vine AM, Witkover AW, Furukawa Y, Izumo S, Arimura K, Marshall SE, Usuku K, Bangham CR, Osame M. Polymorphism in the interleukin-10 promoter affects both provirus load and the risk of human T lymphotropic virus type I-associated myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis. The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 190: 1279-85. PMID 15346339 DOI: 10.1086/423942  0.52
2004 Wodarz D, Lloyd AL. Immune responses and the emergence of drug-resistant virus strains in vivo. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 271: 1101-9. PMID 15306358 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2003.2664  0.52
2004 Lloyd AL, Jansen VA. Spatiotemporal dynamics of epidemics: synchrony in metapopulation models. Mathematical Biosciences. 188: 1-16. PMID 14766090 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2003.09.003  0.52
2004 Lloyd AL. Estimating variability in models for recurrent epidemics: assessing the use of moment closure techniques. Theoretical Population Biology. 65: 49-65. PMID 14642344 DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2003.07.002  0.52
2002 Vine AM, Witkover AD, Lloyd AL, Jeffery KJ, Siddiqui A, Marshall SE, Bunce M, Eiraku N, Izumo S, Usuku K, Osame M, Bangham CR. Polygenic control of human T lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I) provirus load and the risk of HTLV-I-associated myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis. The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 186: 932-9. PMID 12232833 DOI: 10.1086/342953  0.52
2002 Gravenor MB, Lloyd AL, Kremsner PG, Missinou MA, English M, Marsh K, Kwiatkowski D. A model for estimating total parasite load in falciparum malaria patients. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 217: 137-48. PMID 12202108 DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.2002.3030  0.52
2001 Lloyd AL. Realistic distributions of infectious periods in epidemic models: Changing patterns of persistence and dynamics Theoretical Population Biology. 60: 59-71. PMID 11589638 DOI: 10.1006/tpbi.2001.1525  0.52
2001 Lloyd AL. Destabilization of epidemic models with the inclusion of realistic distributions of infectious periods Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 268: 985-993. PMID 11370974 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2001.1599  0.52
2001 Lloyd AL, May RM. How viruses spread among computers and people Science. 292: 1316-1317. PMID 11360990 DOI: 10.1126/science.1061076  0.52
2001 Lloyd AL. The dependence of viral parameter estimates on the assumed viral life cycle: Limitations of studies of viral load data Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 268: 847-854. PMID 11345331 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2000.1572  0.52
2001 May RM, Lloyd AL. Infection dynamics on scale-free networks Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics. 64: 066112/1-066112/4.  0.52
2000 Jeffery KJ, Siddiqui AA, Bunce M, Lloyd AL, Vine AM, Witkover AD, Izumo S, Usuku K, Welsh KI, Osame M, Bangham CR. The influence of HLA class I alleles and heterozygosity on the outcome of human T cell lymphotropic virus type I infection. Journal of Immunology (Baltimore, Md. : 1950). 165: 7278-84. PMID 11120862  0.52
2000 Jansen VA, Lloyd AL. Local stability analysis of spatially homogeneous solutions of multi-patch systems. Journal of Mathematical Biology. 41: 232-52. PMID 11072757  0.52
2000 Masel J, Arnaout RA, O'Brien TR, Goedert JJ, Lloyd AL. Fluctuations in HIV-1 viral load are correlated to CD4+ T-lymphocyte count during the natural course of infection. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes (1999). 23: 375-9. PMID 10866229  0.52
2000 Barchet W, Oehen S, Klenerman P, Wodarz D, Bocharov G, Lloyd AL, Nowak MA, Hengartner H, Zinkernagel RM, Ehl S. Direct quantitation of rapid elimination of viral antigen-positive lymphocytes by antiviral CD8(+) T cells in vivo. European Journal of Immunology. 30: 1356-63. PMID 10820382 DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1521-4141(200005)30:5<1356::AID-IMMU1356>3.0.CO;2-K  0.52
1999 Arnaout RA, Lloyd AL, O'Brien TR, Goedert JJ, Leonard JM, Nowak MA. A simple relationship between viral load and survival time in HIV-1 infection. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 96: 11549-53. PMID 10500214 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.96.20.11549  0.52
1999 Jeffery KJ, Usuku K, Hall SE, Matsumoto W, Taylor GP, Procter J, Bunce M, Ogg GS, Welsh KI, Weber JN, Lloyd AL, Nowak MA, Nagai M, Kodama D, Izumo S, et al. HLA alleles determine human T-lymphotropic virus-I (HTLV-I) proviral load and the risk of HTLV-I-associated myelopathy. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 96: 3848-53. PMID 10097126 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.96.7.3848  0.52
1999 Wodarz D, Lloyd AL, Jansen VA, Nowak MA. Dynamics of macrophage and T cell infection by HIV. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 196: 101-13. PMID 9892559 DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.1998.0816  0.52
1999 Lloyd AL, May RM. Synchronicity, chaos and population cycles: Spatial coherence in an uncertain world Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 14: 417-418. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-5347(99)01717-6  0.52
1997 Chun TW, Stuyver L, Mizell SB, Ehler LA, Mican JAM, Baseler M, Lloyd AL, Nowak MA, Fauci AS. Presence of an inducible HIV-1 latent reservoir during highly active antiretroviral therapy Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 94: 13193-13197. PMID 9371822 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.94.24.13193  0.52
1997 Lifson JD, Nowak MA, Goldstein S, Rossio JL, Kinter A, Vasquez G, Wiltrout TA, Brown C, Schneider D, Wahl L, Lloyd AL, Williams J, Elkins WR, Fauci AS, Hirsch VM. The extent of early viral replication is a critical determinant of the natural history of simian immunodeficiency virus infection. Journal of Virology. 71: 9508-14. PMID 9371613 DOI: 10.1128/JVI.71.12.9508-9514.1997  0.52
1997 Nowak MA, Lloyd AL, Vasquez GM, Wiltrout TA, Wahl LM, Bischofberger N, Williams J, Kinter A, Fauci AS, Hirsch VM, Lifson JD. Viral dynamics of primary viremia and antiretroviral therapy in simian immunodeficiency virus infection Journal of Virology. 71: 7518-7525. PMID 9311831 DOI: 10.1128/JVI.71.10.7518-7525.1997  0.52
1996 Lloyd AL, May RM. Spatial heterogeneity in epidemic models Journal of Theoretical Biology. 179: 1-11. PMID 8733427 DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.1996.0042  0.52
1995 Lloyd AL, Lloyd D. Chaos : Its Significance and Detection in Biology Biological Rhythm Research. 26: 233-252. DOI: 10.1080/09291019509360338  0.52
1995 Lloyd AL. The coupled logistic map: a simple model for the effects of spatial heterogeneity on population dynamics Journal of Theoretical Biology. 173: 217-230. DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.1995.0058  0.52
1994 Lloyd D, Lloyd AL. Hypothesis: A controlled chaotic attractor constitutes the central oscillator of the circadian clock Biochemical Society Transactions. 22. PMID 7821581  0.52
1994 Lloyd AL, Gravenor MB. Linear filters and nonlinear forecasting Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 256: 157-161. DOI: 10.1098/rspb.1994.0064  0.52
1994 Lloyd AL. Chaos and forecasting Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 9: 244-245. DOI: 10.1016/0169-5347(94)90288-7  0.52
1993 Mason DJ, Lloyd AL, Lloyd D. An inexpensive infrared growth sensor array for detection of bacterial antibiotic susceptibility Fems Microbiology Letters. 111: 251-254. PMID 8405933  0.52
1993 Lloyd AL, Lloyd D. Hypothesis: the central oscillator of the circadian clock is a controlled chaotic attractor Biosystems. 29: 77-85. PMID 8374069 DOI: 10.1016/0303-2647(93)90085-Q  0.52
1992 Lloyd D, Lloyd AL, Folke Olsen L. The cell division cycle: a physiologically plausible dynamic model can exhibit chaotic solutions Biosystems. 27: 17-24. PMID 1391688 DOI: 10.1016/0303-2647(92)90043-X  0.52
1987 Lloyd D, James CJ, Lloyd AL. The effects of oxygen on fermentation in Tritrichomonas foetus KV1 and its variant 1MR-100 with defective hydrogenosomes Journal of General Microbiology. 133: 1181-1186.  0.52
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