Bryan Grenfell - Publications

Zoology University of Cambridge, Cambridge, England, United Kingdom 
Population Biology

213 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2021 Park SW, Sun K, Champredon D, Li M, Bolker BM, Earn DJD, Weitz JS, Grenfell BT, Dushoff J. Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 118. PMID 33361331 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2011548118  1
2020 Park SW, Bolker BM, Champredon D, Earn DJD, Li M, Weitz JS, Grenfell BT, Dushoff J. Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 17: 20200144. PMID 32693748 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2020.0144  1
2016 Basta NE, Mahmoud AA, Wolfson J, Ploss A, Heller BL, Hanna S, Johnsen P, Izzo R, Grenfell BT, Findlow J, Bai X, Borrow R. Immunogenicity of a Meningococcal B Vaccine during a University Outbreak. The New England Journal of Medicine. 375: 220-228. PMID 27468058 DOI: 10.1056/Nejmoa1514866  1
2016 Pitzer VE, Aguas R, Riley S, Loeffen WL, Wood JL, Grenfell BT. High turnover drives prolonged persistence of influenza in managed pig herds. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 13. PMID 27358277 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2016.0138  1
2016 Paireau J, Chen A, Broutin H, Grenfell B, Basta NE. Seasonal dynamics of bacterial meningitis: a time-series analysis. The Lancet. Global Health. 4: e370-7. PMID 27198841 DOI: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30064-X  1
2016 Van Boeckel TP, Takahashi S, Liao Q, Xing W, Lai S, Hsiao V, Liu F, Zheng Y, Chang Z, Yuan C, Metcalf CJ, Yu H, Grenfell BT. Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Critical Community Size and Spatial Vaccination Strategies. Scientific Reports. 6: 25248. PMID 27125917 DOI: 10.1038/srep25248  1
2016 Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, Ferguson NM, Burke DS, Grenfell BT. Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease. Lancet (London, England). PMID 27059886 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30164-7  1
2016 Wu JT, Jit M, Zheng Y, Leung K, Xing W, Yang J, Liao Q, Cowling BJ, Yang B, Lau EH, Takahashi S, Farrar JJ, Grenfell BT, Leung GM, Yu H. Routine Pediatric Enterovirus 71 Vaccination in China: a Cost-Effectiveness Analysis. Plos Medicine. 13: e1001975. PMID 26978565 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001975  1
2016 Takahashi S, Liao Q, Van Boeckel TP, Xing W, Sun J, Hsiao VY, Metcalf CJ, Chang Z, Liu F, Zhang J, Wu JT, Cowling BJ, Leung GM, Farrar JJ, van Doorn HR, ... Grenfell BT, et al. Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Modeling Epidemic Dynamics of Enterovirus Serotypes and Implications for Vaccination. Plos Medicine. 13: e1001958. PMID 26882540 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001958  1
2015 Metcalf CJ, Ferrari M, Graham AL, Grenfell BT. Understanding Herd Immunity. Trends in Immunology. 36: 753-5. PMID 26683689 DOI: 10.1016/J.It.2015.10.004  1
2015 Reperant LA, Grenfell BT, Osterhaus AD. Quantifying the risk of pandemic influenza virus evolution by mutation and re-assortment. Vaccine. PMID 26603954 DOI: 10.1016/J.Vaccine.2015.10.056  1
2015 Morris SE, Zelner JL, Fauquier DA, Rowles TK, Rosel PE, Gulland F, Grenfell BT. Partially observed epidemics in wildlife hosts: modelling an outbreak of dolphin morbillivirus in the northwestern Atlantic, June 2013-2014. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 12. PMID 26577594 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2015.0676  1
2015 Thompson CN, Zelner JL, Nhu Tdo H, Phan MV, Hoang Le P, Nguyen Thanh H, Vu Thuy D, Minh Nguyen N, Ha Manh T, Van Hoang Minh T, Lu Lan V, Nguyen Van Vinh C, Tran Tinh H, von Clemm E, Storch H, ... ... Grenfell BT, et al. The impact of environmental and climatic variation on the spatiotemporal trends of hospitalized pediatric diarrhea in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Health & Place. 35: 147-54. PMID 26402922 DOI: 10.1016/J.Healthplace.2015.08.001  1
2015 Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJ, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee CO. Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: 11114-9. PMID 26283349 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1423542112  1
2015 Zelner JL, Murray MB, Becerra MC, Galea J, Lecca L, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang Z, Manjourides J, Grenfell BT, Cohen T. Identifying Hotspots of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Transmission Using Spatial and Molecular Genetic Data. The Journal of Infectious Diseases. PMID 26175455 DOI: 10.1093/Infdis/Jiv387  1
2015 Geoghegan JL, Tan LV, Kühnert D, Halpin RA, Lin X, Simenauer A, Akopov A, Das SR, Stockwell TB, Shrivastava S, Ngoc NM, Uyen LT, Tuyen NT, Thanh TT, Hang VT, ... ... Grenfell BT, et al. Phylodynamics of Enterovirus A71-Associated Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in Viet Nam. Journal of Virology. PMID 26085170 DOI: 10.1128/Jvi.00706-15  1
2015 Birger RB, Kouyos RD, Cohen T, Griffiths EC, Huijben S, Mina M, Volkova V, Grenfell B, Metcalf CJ. The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance. Trends in Microbiology. PMID 26028590 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tim.2015.05.002  1
2015 Faust C, Zelner J, Brasseur P, Vaillant M, Badiane M, Cisse M, Grenfell B, Olliaro P. Assessing Drivers of Full Adoption of Test and Treat Policy for Malaria in Senegal. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. PMID 25962776 DOI: 10.4269/Ajtmh.14-0595  1
2015 Mina MJ, Metcalf CJ, de Swart RL, Osterhaus AD, Grenfell BT. Vaccines. Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality. Science (New York, N.Y.). 348: 694-9. PMID 25954009 DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa3662  1
2015 Metcalf CJ, Andreasen V, Bjørnstad ON, Eames K, Edmunds WJ, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, Lessler J, Viboud C, Grenfell BT. Seven challenges in modeling vaccine preventable diseases. Epidemics. 10: 11-5. PMID 25843375 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2014.08.004  1
2015 Tian HY, Yu PB, Luis AD, Bi P, Cazelles B, Laine M, Huang SQ, Ma CF, Zhou S, Wei J, Li S, Lu XL, Qu JH, Dong JH, Tong SL, ... ... Grenfell B, et al. Changes in rodent abundance and weather conditions potentially drive hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome outbreaks in Xi'an, China, 2005-2012. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 9: e0003530. PMID 25822936 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0003530  1
2015 Van Boeckel TP, Brower C, Gilbert M, Grenfell BT, Levin SA, Robinson TP, Teillant A, Laxminarayan R. Global trends in antimicrobial use in food animals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: 5649-54. PMID 25792457 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1503141112  1
2015 Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, et al. Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.). 347: aaa4339. PMID 25766240 DOI: 10.1126/Science.Aaa4339  1
2015 Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola. Science (New York, N.Y.). 347: 1240-2. PMID 25766232 DOI: 10.1126/Science.Aaa3438  1
2015 Perkins TA, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT, Tatem AJ. Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the americas. Plos Currents. 7. PMID 25737803 DOI: 10.1371/Currents.Outbreaks.A4C7B6Ac10E0420B1788C9767946D1Fc  1
2015 Morris SE, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Metcalf CJ, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Demographic buffering: titrating the effects of birth rate and imperfect immunity on epidemic dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 12: 20141245. PMID 25589567 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2014.1245  1
2015 Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Alonso WJ, Wilcox T, Metcalf CJ, Steiner CA, Haynes AK, Grenfell BT. Environmental drivers of the spatiotemporal dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in the United States. Plos Pathogens. 11: e1004591. PMID 25569275 DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1004591  1
2015 Tian H, Zhou S, Dong L, Van Boeckel TP, Cui Y, Wu Y, Cazelles B, Huang S, Yang R, Grenfell BT, Xu B. Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: 172-7. PMID 25535385 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1405216112  1
2015 Caudron Q, Mahmud AS, Metcalf CJ, Gottfreðsson M, Viboud C, Cliff AD, Grenfell BT. Predictability in a highly stochastic system: final size of measles epidemics in small populations. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 12: 20141125. PMID 25411411 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2014.1125  1
2015 Metcalf CJ, Tatem A, Bjornstad ON, Lessler J, O'Reilly K, Takahashi S, Cutts F, Grenfell BT. Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa. Epidemiology and Infection. 143: 1457-66. PMID 25119237 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268814001988  1
2015 Tian H, Zhou S, Dong L, Van Boeckel TP, Cui Y, Newman SH, Takekawa JY, Prosser DJ, Xiao X, Wu Y, Cazelles B, Huang S, Yang R, Grenfell BT, Xu B. Correction: "Avian influenza H5N1 viral and bird migration networks in Asia" Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 112: E2980. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1505041112  1
2015 GARNIER R, GRENFELL BT, NISBET AJ, MATTHEWS JB, GRAHAM AL. Integrating immune mechanisms to model nematode worm burden: an example in sheep Parasitology. DOI: 10.1017/S0031182015000992  1
2015 Tian H, Zhou S, Dong L, Van Boeckel TP, Pei Y, Wu Q, Yuan W, Guo Y, Huang S, Chen W, Lu X, Liu Z, Bai Y, Yue T, Grenfell B, et al. Climate change suggests a shift of H5N1 risk in migratory birds Ecological Modelling. 306: 6-15. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2014.08.005  1
2014 Van Bressem MF, Duignan PJ, Banyard A, Barbieri M, Colegrove KM, De Guise S, Di Guardo G, Dobson A, Domingo M, Fauquier D, Fernandez A, Goldstein T, Grenfell B, Groch KR, Gulland F, et al. Cetacean morbillivirus: current knowledge and future directions. Viruses. 6: 5145-81. PMID 25533660 DOI: 10.3390/V6125145  1
2014 Duignan PJ, Van Bressem MF, Baker JD, Barbieri M, Colegrove KM, De Guise S, de Swart RL, Di Guardo G, Dobson A, Duprex WP, Early G, Fauquier D, Goldstein T, Goodman SJ, Grenfell B, et al. Phocine distemper virus: current knowledge and future directions. Viruses. 6: 5093-134. PMID 25533658 DOI: 10.3390/V6125093  1
2014 Dalziel BD, Huang K, Geoghegan JL, Arinaminpathy N, Dubovi EJ, Grenfell BT, Ellner SP, Holmes EC, Parrish CR. Contact heterogeneity, rather than transmission efficiency, limits the emergence and spread of canine influenza virus. Plos Pathogens. 10: e1004455. PMID 25340642 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.1004455  1
2014 Kouyos RD, Metcalf CJ, Birger R, Klein EY, Abel zur Wiesch P, Ankomah P, Arinaminpathy N, Bogich TL, Bonhoeffer S, Brower C, Chi-Johnston G, Cohen T, Day T, Greenhouse B, Huijben S, ... ... Grenfell B, et al. The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment? Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 281: 20140566. PMID 25253451 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2014.0566  1
2014 Zelner JL, Murray MB, Becerra MC, Galea J, Lecca L, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang Z, Grenfell BT, Cohen T. Age-specific risks of tuberculosis infection from household and community exposures and opportunities for interventions in a high-burden setting. American Journal of Epidemiology. 180: 853-61. PMID 25190676 DOI: 10.1093/Aje/Kwu192  1
2014 Viboud C, Charu V, Olson D, Ballesteros S, Gog J, Khan F, Grenfell B, Simonsen L. Demonstrating the use of high-volume electronic medical claims data to monitor local and regional influenza activity in the US. Plos One. 9: e102429. PMID 25072598 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0102429  1
2014 Hayward AD, Garnier R, Watt KA, Pilkington JG, Grenfell BT, Matthews JB, Pemberton JM, Nussey DH, Graham AL. Heritable, heterogeneous, and costly resistance of sheep against nematodes and potential feedbacks to epidemiological dynamics. The American Naturalist. 184: S58-76. PMID 25061678 DOI: 10.1086/676929  1
2014 Van Boeckel TP, Gandra S, Ashok A, Caudron Q, Grenfell BT, Levin SA, Laxminarayan R. Global antibiotic consumption 2000 to 2010: an analysis of national pharmaceutical sales data. The Lancet. Infectious Diseases. 14: 742-50. PMID 25022435 DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70780-7  1
2014 Axelsen JB, Yaari R, Grenfell BT, Stone L. Multiannual forecasting of seasonal influenza dynamics reveals climatic and evolutionary drivers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111: 9538-42. PMID 24979763 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1321656111  1
2014 Gog JR, Ballesteros S, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Bjornstad ON, Shaman J, Chao DL, Khan F, Grenfell BT. Spatial Transmission of 2009 Pandemic Influenza in the US. Plos Computational Biology. 10: e1003635. PMID 24921923 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1003635  1
2014 Garske T, Van Kerkhove MD, Yactayo S, Ronveaux O, Lewis RF, Staples JE, Perea W, Ferguson NM. Yellow Fever in Africa: estimating the burden of disease and impact of mass vaccination from outbreak and serological data. Plos Medicine. 11: e1001638. PMID 24800812 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001638  1
2014 Reperant LA, Kuiken T, Grenfell BT, Osterhaus AD. The immune response and within-host emergence of pandemic influenza virus. Lancet (London, England). 384: 2077-81. PMID 24767965 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62425-3  1
2014 Zelner JL, Murray MB, Becerra MC, Galea J, Lecca L, Calderon R, Yataco R, Contreras C, Zhang Z, Grenfell BT, Cohen T. Bacillus Calmette-Guérin and isoniazid preventive therapy protect contacts of patients with tuberculosis. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 189: 853-9. PMID 24592878 DOI: 10.1164/Rccm.201310-1896Oc  1
2014 Xiao H, Tian HY, Gao LD, Liu HN, Duan LS, Basta N, Cazelles B, Li XJ, Lin XL, Wu HW, Chen BY, Yang HS, Xu B, Grenfell B. Animal reservoir, natural and socioeconomic variations and the transmission of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Chenzhou, China, 2006-2010. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 8: e2615. PMID 24421910 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002615  1
2014 Pitzer VE, Bowles CC, Baker S, Kang G, Balaji V, Farrar JJ, Grenfell BT. Predicting the impact of vaccination on the transmission dynamics of typhoid in South Asia: a mathematical modeling study. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 8: e2642. PMID 24416466 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002642  1
2014 Birger RB, Hallett TB, Sinha A, Grenfell BT, Hodder SL. Modeling the impact of interventions along the HIV continuum of care in Newark, New Jersey. Clinical Infectious Diseases : An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. 58: 274-84. PMID 24140971 DOI: 10.1093/cid/cit687  1
2014 Jandarov R, Haran M, Bjørnstad O, Grenfell B. Emulating a gravity model to infer the spatiotemporal dynamics of an infectious disease Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics. 63: 423-444. DOI: 10.1111/Rssc.12042  1
2014 Birger R, Kouyos R, Dushoff J, Grenfell B. Modeling the effect of HIV coinfection on clearance and sustained virologic response during treatment for hepatitis C virus Epidemics. DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.04.001  1
2014 Arinaminpathy N, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. Viral dynamics and mathematical models Viral Infections of Humans: Epidemiology and Control. 81-96. DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4899-7448-8_5  1
2013 Dorélien AM, Ballesteros S, Grenfell BT. Impact of birth seasonality on dynamics of acute immunizing infections in Sub-Saharan Africa. Plos One. 8: e75806. PMID 24204580 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075806  1
2013 Metcalf CJ, Hampson K, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON. Persistence in epidemic metapopulations: quantifying the rescue effects for measles, mumps, rubella and whooping cough. Plos One. 8: e74696. PMID 24040325 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0074696  1
2013 Rozhnova G, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 10: 20130643. PMID 24026472 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2013.0643  1
2013 Zelner JL, Lopman BA, Hall AJ, Ballesteros S, Grenfell BT. Linking time-varying symptomatology and intensity of infectiousness to patterns of norovirus transmission. Plos One. 8: e68413. PMID 23894302 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0068413  1
2013 Ferrari MJ, Grenfell BT, Strebel PM. Think globally, act locally: the role of local demographics and vaccination coverage in the dynamic response of measles infection to control. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 368: 20120141. PMID 23798689 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0141  1
2013 Kouyos R, Klein E, Grenfell B. Hospital-community interactions foster coexistence between methicillin-resistant strains of Staphylococcus aureus. Plos Pathogens. 9: e1003134. PMID 23468619 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.1003134  1
2013 Murcia PR, Baillie GJ, Stack JC, Jervis C, Elton D, Mumford JA, Daly J, Kellam P, Grenfell BT, Holmes EC, Wood JL. Evolution of equine influenza virus in vaccinated horses. Journal of Virology. 87: 4768-71. PMID 23388708 DOI: 10.1128/Jvi.03379-12  1
2013 Metcalf CJ, Cohen C, Lessler J, McAnerney JM, Ntshoe GM, Puren A, Klepac P, Tatem A, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON. Implications of spatially heterogeneous vaccination coverage for the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in South Africa. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 10: 20120756. PMID 23152104 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2012.0756  1
2013 Stack JC, Murcia PR, Grenfell BT, Wood JL, Holmes EC. Inferring the inter-host transmission of influenza A virus using patterns of intra-host genetic variation. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 280: 20122173. PMID 23135678 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2012.2173  1
2013 Pepin KM, Riley S, Grenfell BT. Effects of influenza antivirals on individual and population immunity over many epidemic waves. Epidemiology and Infection. 141: 366-76. PMID 22459665 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268812000477  1
2012 Arinaminpathy N, Lavine JS, Grenfell BT. Self-boosting vaccines and their implications for herd immunity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 109: 20154-9. PMID 23169630 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1209683109  1
2012 Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Rodrigues A, Palma PP, Grais RF, Banga CN, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. Urban cholera transmission hotspots and their implications for reactive vaccination: evidence from Bissau city, Guinea bissau. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 6: e1901. PMID 23145204 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0001901  1
2012 Stack JC, Bansal S, Kumar VS, Grenfell B. Inferring population-level contact heterogeneity from common epidemic data. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. PMID 23034353 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0578  1
2012 Saenz RA, Essen SC, Brookes SM, Iqbal M, Wood JL, Grenfell BT, McCauley JW, Brown IH, Gog JR. Quantifying transmission of highly pathogenic and low pathogenicity H7N1 avian influenza in turkeys. Plos One. 7: e45059. PMID 23028760 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0045059  1
2012 Reperant LA, Kuiken T, Grenfell BT, Osterhaus AD, Dobson AP. Linking influenza virus tissue tropism to population-level reproductive fitness. Plos One. 7: e43115. PMID 22952637 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0043115  1
2012 Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data? Expert Review of Vaccines. 11: 747-9. PMID 22913249 DOI: 10.1586/Erv.12.47  1
2012 Pitzer VE, Atkins KE, de Blasio BF, Van Effelterre T, Atchison CJ, Harris JP, Shim E, Galvani AP, Edmunds WJ, Viboud C, Patel MM, Grenfell BT, Parashar UD, Lopman BA. Direct and indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination: comparing predictions from transmission dynamic models. Plos One. 7: e42320. PMID 22912699 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0042320  1
2012 Klepac P, Bjørnstad ON, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. Optimizing reactive responses to outbreaks of immunizing infections: balancing case management and vaccination. Plos One. 7: e41428. PMID 22899996 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0041428  1
2012 Lopman BA, Pitzer VE, Sarkar R, Gladstone B, Patel M, Glasser J, Gambhir M, Atchison C, Grenfell BT, Edmunds WJ, Kang G, Parashar UD. Understanding reduced rotavirus vaccine efficacy in low socio-economic settings. Plos One. 7: e41720. PMID 22879893 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0041720  1
2012 Lin WH, Kouyos RD, Adams RJ, Grenfell BT, Griffin DE. Prolonged persistence of measles virus RNA is characteristic of primary infection dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 109: 14989-94. PMID 22872860 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1211138109  1
2012 Cutts FT, Metcalf CJ, Lessler J, Grenfell BT. Rubella vaccination: must not be business as usual. Lancet (London, England). 380: 217-8. PMID 22817974 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61215-X  1
2012 Murcia PR, Hughes J, Battista P, Lloyd L, Baillie GJ, Ramirez-Gonzalez RH, Ormond D, Oliver K, Elton D, Mumford JA, Caccamo M, Kellam P, Grenfell BT, Holmes EC, Wood JL. Evolution of an Eurasian avian-like influenza virus in naïve and vaccinated pigs. Plos Pathogens. 8: e1002730. PMID 22693449 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.1002730  1
2012 Metcalf CJ, Lessler J, Klepac P, Cutts F, Grenfell BT. Impact of birth rate, seasonality and transmission rate on minimum levels of coverage needed for rubella vaccination. Epidemiology and Infection. 140: 2290-301. PMID 22335852 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268812000131  1
2012 Arinaminpathy N, Ratmann O, Koelle K, Epstein SL, Price GE, Viboud C, Miller MA, Grenfell BT. Impact of cross-protective vaccines on epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of influenza. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 109: 3173-7. PMID 22323589 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1113342109  1
2012 Metcalf CJ, Lessler J, Klepac P, Morice A, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON. Structured models of infectious disease: inference with discrete data. Theoretical Population Biology. 82: 275-82. PMID 22178687 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tpb.2011.12.001  1
2012 Bharti N, Broutin H, Grais RF, Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT. Spatial dynamics of meningococcal meningitis in Niger: observed patterns in comparison with measles. Epidemiology and Infection. 140: 1356-65. PMID 22009033 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268811002032  1
2011 Bharti N, Tatem AJ, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. Explaining seasonal fluctuations of measles in Niger using nighttime lights imagery. Science (New York, N.Y.). 334: 1424-7. PMID 22158822 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1210554  1
2011 Pitzer VE, Patel MM, Lopman BA, Viboud C, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. Modeling rotavirus strain dynamics in developed countries to understand the potential impact of vaccination on genotype distributions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 108: 19353-8. PMID 22084114 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1110507108  1
2011 Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. Plos Medicine. 8: e1001110. PMID 22039353 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pmed.1001110  1
2011 Metcalf CJ, Graham AL, Huijben S, Barclay VC, Long GH, Grenfell BT, Read AF, Bjørnstad ON. Partitioning regulatory mechanisms of within-host malaria dynamics using the effective propagation number. Science (New York, N.Y.). 333: 984-8. PMID 21852493 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1204588  1
2011 Klepac P, Laxminarayan R, Grenfell BT. Synthesizing epidemiological and economic optima for control of immunizing infections. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 108: 14366-70. PMID 21825129 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1101694108  1
2011 Grenfell B. Boosting understanding of pertussis outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 108: 7279-80. PMID 21508325 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1103408108  1
2011 Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Lopman BA, Patel MM, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. Influence of birth rates and transmission rates on the global seasonality of rotavirus incidence. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 8: 1584-93. PMID 21508015 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0062  1
2011 Metcalf CJ, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Klepac P, Bharti N, Lopez-Gatell H, Grenfell BT. The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation. Epidemiology and Infection. 139: 1029-38. PMID 20843389 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268810002165  1
2011 Metcalf CJ, Munayco CV, Chowell G, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON. Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in Peru. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 8: 369-76. PMID 20659931 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2010.0320  1
2011 Metcalf CJ, Klepac P, Ferrari M, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. Modelling the first dose of measles vaccination: the role of maternal immunity, demographic factors, and delivery systems. Epidemiology and Infection. 139: 265-74. PMID 20525415 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268810001329  1
2010 Arinaminpathy N, Grenfell B. Dynamics of glycoprotein charge in the evolutionary history of human influenza. Plos One. 5: e15674. PMID 21209885 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0015674  1
2010 Pepin KM, Volkov I, Banavar JR, Wilke CO, Grenfell BT. Phenotypic differences in viral immune escape explained by linking within-host dynamics to host-population immunity. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 265: 501-10. PMID 20570681 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2010.05.036  1
2010 Christensen C, Albert I, Grenfell B, Albert R. Disease Dynamics in a Dynamic Social Network. Physica A. 389: 2663-2674. PMID 20563303 DOI: 10.1016/J.Physa.2010.02.034  1
2010 Broutin H, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Miller MA, Rohani P. Impact of vaccination and birth rate on the epidemiology of pertussis: a comparative study in 64 countries. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 277: 3239-45. PMID 20534609 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2010.0994  1
2010 Murcia PR, Baillie GJ, Daly J, Elton D, Jervis C, Mumford JA, Newton R, Parrish CR, Hoelzer K, Dougan G, Parkhill J, Lennard N, Ormond D, Moule S, Whitwham A, ... ... Grenfell BT, et al. Intra- and interhost evolutionary dynamics of equine influenza virus. Journal of Virology. 84: 6943-54. PMID 20444896 DOI: 10.1128/Jvi.00112-10  1
2010 Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Grais RF, Bharti N, Grenfell BT, Bjornstad ON. Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 277: 2775-82. PMID 20427338 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2010.0536  1
2010 Volkov I, Pepin KM, Lloyd-Smith JO, Banavar JR, Grenfell BT. Synthesizing within-host and population-level selective pressures on viral populations: the impact of adaptive immunity on viral immune escape. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 7: 1311-8. PMID 20335194 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2009.0560  1
2010 Bansal S, Pourbohloul B, Hupert N, Grenfell B, Meyers LA. The shifting demographic landscape of pandemic influenza. Plos One. 5: e9360. PMID 20195468 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0009360  1
2010 Shaman J, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Lipsitch M. Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States. Plos Biology. 8: e1000316. PMID 20186267 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1000316  1
2010 Stack JC, Welch JD, Ferrari MJ, Shapiro BU, Grenfell BT. Protocols for sampling viral sequences to study epidemic dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 7: 1119-27. PMID 20147314 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2009.0530  1
2010 Saenz RA, Quinlivan M, Elton D, Macrae S, Blunden AS, Mumford JA, Daly JM, Digard P, Cullinane A, Grenfell BT, McCauley JW, Wood JL, Gog JR. Dynamics of influenza virus infection and pathology. Journal of Virology. 84: 3974-83. PMID 20130053 DOI: 10.1128/JVI.02078-09  1
2010 Bharti N, Djibo A, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Tatem AJ, McCabe CA, Bjornstad ON, Grenfell BT. Measles hotspots and epidemiological connectivity. Epidemiology and Infection. 138: 1308-16. PMID 20096146 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809991385  1
2010 Mantilla-Beniers NB, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT, Rohani P. Decreasing stochasticity through enhanced seasonality in measles epidemics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 7: 727-39. PMID 19828508 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2009.0317  1
2010 Conlan AJ, Rohani P, Lloyd AL, Keeling M, Grenfell BT. Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 7: 623-40. PMID 19793743 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2009.0284  1
2010 Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Grais RF, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON. Episodic outbreaks bias estimates of age-specific force of infection: a corrected method using measles as an example. Epidemiology and Infection. 138: 108-16. PMID 19538818 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809990173  1
2010 Deardon R, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Woolhouse MEJ. Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations Statistica Sinica. 20: 239-261.  1
2009 Shaman J, Pitzer V, Viboud C, Lipsitch M, Grenfell B. Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental US. Plos Currents. 2: RRN1138. PMID 20066155 DOI: 10.1371/currents.RRN1138  1
2009 Bansal S, Pourbohloul B, Hupert N, Grenfell B, Meyers LA. The shifting demographic landscape of influenza. Plos Currents. 1: RRN1047. PMID 20029616 DOI: 10.1371/Currents.Rrn1047  1
2009 Lloyd-Smith JO, George D, Pepin KM, Pitzer VE, Pulliam JR, Dobson AP, Hudson PJ, Grenfell BT. Epidemic dynamics at the human-animal interface. Science (New York, N.Y.). 326: 1362-7. PMID 19965751 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1177345  1
2009 Park AW, Daly JM, Lewis NS, Smith DJ, Wood JL, Grenfell BT. Quantifying the impact of immune escape on transmission dynamics of influenza. Science (New York, N.Y.). 326: 726-8. PMID 19900931 DOI: 10.1126/science.1175980  1
2009 Holmes EC, Grenfell BT. Discovering the phylodynamics of RNA viruses. Plos Computational Biology. 5: e1000505. PMID 19855824 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1000505  1
2009 Metcalf CJ, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT, Andreasen V. Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 276: 4111-8. PMID 19740885 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2009.1058  1
2009 Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Steiner C, Panozzo CA, Alonso WJ, Miller MA, Glass RI, Glasser JW, Parashar UD, Grenfell BT. Demographic variability, vaccination, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of rotavirus epidemics. Science (New York, N.Y.). 325: 290-4. PMID 19608910 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1172330  1
2008 Bharti N, Xia Y, Bjornstad ON, Grenfell BT. Measles on the edge: coastal heterogeneities and infection dynamics. Plos One. 3: e1941. PMID 18398467 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0001941  1
2008 Lloyd-Smith JO, Poss M, Grenfell BT. HIV-1/parasite co-infection and the emergence of new parasite strains. Parasitology. 135: 795-806. PMID 18371236 DOI: 10.1017/S0031182008000292  1
2008 Tildesley MJ, Deardon R, Savill NJ, Bessell PR, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 275: 1459-68. PMID 18364313 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2008.0006  1
2008 Lavine JS, Poss M, Grenfell BT. Directly transmitted viral diseases: modeling the dynamics of transmission. Trends in Microbiology. 16: 165-72. PMID 18356058 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tim.2008.01.007  1
2008 Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Bharti N, Conlan AJ, Bjørnstad ON, Wolfson LJ, Guerin PJ, Djibo A, Grenfell BT. The dynamics of measles in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature. 451: 679-84. PMID 18256664 DOI: 10.1038/nature06509  1
2008 Grais RF, Conlan AJ, Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Le Menach A, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Time is of the essence: exploring a measles outbreak response vaccination in Niamey, Niger. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 5: 67-74. PMID 17504737 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2007.1038  1
2008 Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Hazards, spatial transmission and timing of outbreaks in epidemic metapopulations Environmental and Ecological Statistics. 15: 265-277. DOI: 10.1007/s10651-007-0059-3  1
2007 Finkelman BS, Viboud C, Koelle K, Ferrari MJ, Bharti N, Grenfell BT. Global patterns in seasonal activity of influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B from 1997 to 2005: viral coexistence and latitudinal gradients. Plos One. 2: e1296. PMID 18074020 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0001296  1
2007 Lloyd-Smith JO, Greig DJ, Hietala S, Ghneim GS, Palmer L, St Leger J, Grenfell BT, Gulland FM. Cyclical changes in seroprevalence of leptospirosis in California sea lions: endemic and epidemic disease in one host species? Bmc Infectious Diseases. 7: 125. PMID 17986335 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-7-125  1
2007 Bansal S, Grenfell BT, Meyers LA. When individual behaviour matters: homogeneous and network models in epidemiology. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 879-91. PMID 17640863 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2007.1100  1
2007 Simonsen L, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Dushoff J, Jennings L, Smit M, Macken C, Hata M, Gog J, Miller MA, Holmes EC. The genesis and spread of reassortment human influenza A/H3N2 viruses conferring adamantane resistance. Molecular Biology and Evolution. 24: 1811-20. PMID 17522084 DOI: 10.1093/Molbev/Msm103  1
2007 Conlan AJ, Grenfell BT. Seasonality and the persistence and invasion of measles. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 274: 1133-41. PMID 17327206 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2006.0030  1
2007 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 235-41. PMID 17251150 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2006.0178  1
2007 Restif O, Grenfell BT. Vaccination and the dynamics of immune evasion. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 143-53. PMID 17210532 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2006.0167  1
2007 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse MEJ, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Veterinary epidemiology: Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease (reply) Nature. 445: E12-E13. DOI: 10.1038/Nature05605  1
2006 Koelle K, Cobey S, Grenfell B, Pascual M. Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans. Science (New York, N.Y.). 314: 1898-903. PMID 17185596 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1132745  1
2006 Nelson MI, Simonsen L, Viboud C, Miller MA, Taylor J, George KS, Griesemer SB, Ghedin E, Ghedi E, Sengamalay NA, Spiro DJ, Volkov I, Grenfell BT, Lipman DJ, Taubenberger JK, et al. Stochastic processes are key determinants of short-term evolution in influenza a virus. Plos Pathogens. 2: e125. PMID 17140286 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.0020125  1
2006 Viboud C, Miller MA, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Simonsen L. Air travel and the spread of influenza: important caveats. Plos Medicine. 3: e503; author reply e. PMID 17132057 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.0030503  1
2006 Brown SP, Cornell SJ, Sheppard M, Grant AJ, Maskell DJ, Grenfell BT, Mastroeni P. Intracellular demography and the dynamics of Salmonella enterica infections. Plos Biology. 4: e349. PMID 17048989 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.0040349  1
2006 Howat TJ, Barreca C, O'Hare P, Gog JR, Grenfell BT. Modelling dynamics of the type I interferon response to in vitro viral infection. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 3: 699-709. PMID 16971338 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2006.0136  1
2006 Kuiken T, Holmes EC, McCauley J, Rimmelzwaan GF, Williams CS, Grenfell BT. Host species barriers to influenza virus infections. Science (New York, N.Y.). 312: 394-7. PMID 16627737 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1122818  1
2006 Restif O, Grenfell BT. Integrating life history and cross-immunity into the evolutionary dynamics of pathogens. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 273: 409-16. PMID 16615206 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2005.3335  1
2006 Viboud C, Bjørnstad ON, Smith DL, Simonsen L, Miller MA, Grenfell BT. Synchrony, waves, and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza. Science (New York, N.Y.). 312: 447-51. PMID 16574822 DOI: 10.1126/science.1125237  1
2006 Grais RF, Ferrari MJ, Dubray C, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT, Djibo A, Fermon F, Guerin PJ. Estimating transmission intensity for a measles epidemic in Niamey, Niger: lessons for intervention Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 100: 867-873. PMID 16540134 DOI: 10.1016/j.trstmh.2005.10.014  1
2006 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature. 440: 83-6. PMID 16511494 DOI: 10.1038/Nature04324  1
2006 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. Bmc Veterinary Research. 2: 3. PMID 16412245 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-2-3  1
2006 Grenfell BT, Williams CS, Bjørnstad ON, Banavar JR. Simplifying biological complexity Nature Physics. 2: 212-214. DOI: 10.1038/nphys231  1
2006 Keeling M, Tildesley M, Savill N, Woolhouse M, Shaw D, Deardon R, Brooks S, Grenfell B. Dr. Matt Keeling and collegues comment [3] Veterinary Record. 158: 707.  1
2005 Holmes EC, Taubenberger JK, Grenfell BT. Heading off an influenza pandemic. Science (New York, N.Y.). 309: 989. PMID 16099952 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1117128  1
2005 Holmes EC, Ghedin E, Miller N, Taylor J, Bao Y, St George K, Grenfell BT, Salzberg SL, Fraser CM, Lipman DJ, Taubenberger JK. Whole-genome analysis of human influenza A virus reveals multiple persistent lineages and reassortment among recent H3N2 viruses. Plos Biology. 3: e300. PMID 16026181 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.0030300  1
2005 Broutin H, Mantilla-Beniers NB, Simondon F, Aaby P, Grenfell BT, Guégan JF, Rohani P. Epidemiological impact of vaccination on the dynamics of two childhood diseases in rural Senegal Microbes and Infection. 7: 593-599. PMID 15820150 DOI: 10.1016/J.Micinf.2004.12.018  1
2005 Grenfell B, Bjørnstad O. Sexually transmitted diseases: Epidemic cycling and immunity Nature. 433: 366-367. PMID 15674273 DOI: 10.1038/433366a  1
2005 Xia Y, Gog JR, Grenfell BT. Semiparametric estimation of the duration of immunity from infectious disease time series: Influenza as a case-study Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics. 54: 659-672. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2005.05383.x  1
2004 Stenseth NC, Chan KS, Tavecchia G, Coulson T, Mysterud A, Clutton-Brock T, Grenfell B. Modelling non-additive and nonlinear signals from climatic noise in ecological time series: Soay sheep as an example. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 271: 1985-93. PMID 15451687 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2004.2794  1
2004 Braisher TL, Gemmell NJ, Grenfell BT, Amos W. Host isolation and patterns of genetic variability in three populations of Teladorsagia from sheep. International Journal For Parasitology. 34: 1197-204. PMID 15380691 DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijpara.2004.06.005  1
2004 Glass K, Grenfell BT. Waning immunity and subclinical measles infections in England Vaccine. 22: 4110-4116. PMID 15364464 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2004.02.047  1
2004 Glass K, Kappey J, Grenfell BT. The effect of heterogeneity in measles vaccination on population immunity Epidemiology and Infection. 132: 675-683. PMID 15310169 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268804002080  1
2004 Cornell SJ, Isham VS, Grenfell BT. Stochastic and spatial dynamics of nematode parasites in farmed ruminants Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 271: 1243-1250. PMID 15306348 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2004.2744  1
2004 Park AW, Wood JLN, Daly JM, Newton JR, Glass K, Henley W, Mumford JA, Grenfell BT. The effects of strain heterology on the epidemiology of equine influenza in a vaccinated population Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 271: 1547-1555. PMID 15306299 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2004.2766  1
2004 Xia Y, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Measles metapopulation dynamics: A gravity model for epidemiological coupling and dynamics American Naturalist. 164: 267-281. PMID 15278849 DOI: 10.1086/422341  1
2004 Hallett TB, Coulson T, Pilkington JG, Clutton-Brock TH, Pemberton JM, Grenfell BT. Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather. Nature. 430: 71-5. PMID 15229599 DOI: 10.1038/Nature02708  1
2004 Broutin H, Simondon F, Rohani P, Guégan JF, Grenfell BT. Loss of immunity to pertussis in a rural community in Senegal [2] Vaccine. 22: 594-596. PMID 14994740 DOI: 10.1016/J.Vaccine.2003.07.018  1
2004 Grenfell BT, Pybus OG, Gog JR, Wood JLN, Daly JM, Mumford JA, Holmes EC. Unifying the Epidemiological and Evolutionary Dynamics of Pathogens Science. 303: 327-332. PMID 14726583 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1090727  1
2004 Keeling MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Metapopulation Dynamics of Infectious Diseases Ecology, Genetics and Evolution of Metapopulations. 415-445. DOI: 10.1016/B978-012323448-3/50019-2  1
2003 Ferguson NM, Keeling MJ, Edmunds WJ, Gani R, Grenfell BT, Anderson RM, Leach S. Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature. 425: 681-5. PMID 14562094 DOI: 10.1038/nature02007  1
2003 Gog JR, Rimmelzwaan GF, Osterhaus ADME, Grenfell BT. Population dynamics of rapid fixation in cytotoxic T lymphocyte escape mutants of influenza A Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 100: 11143-11147. PMID 12954978 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1830296100  1
2003 Ovaskainen OT, Grenfell BT. Mathematical tools for planning effective intervention scenarios for sexually transmitted diseases Sexually Transmitted Diseases. 30: 388-394. PMID 12916128 DOI: 10.1097/00007435-200305000-00003  1
2003 Park AW, Wood JLN, Newton JR, Daly J, Mumford JA, Grenfell BT. Optimising vaccination strategies in equine influenza Vaccine. 21: 2862-2870. PMID 12798628 DOI: 10.1016/S0264-410X(03)00156-7  1
2003 Glass K, Xia Y, Grenfell BT. Interpreting time-series analyses for continuous-time biological models - Measles as a case study Journal of Theoretical Biology. 223: 19-25. PMID 12782113 DOI: 10.1016/S0022-5193(03)00031-6  1
2003 Cornell SJ, Isham VS, Smith G, Grenfell BT. Spatial parasite transmission, drug resistance, and the spread of rare genes Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 100: 7401-7405. PMID 12771377 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0832206100  1
2003 Rohani P, Green CJ, Mantilla-Beniers NB, Grenfell BT. Ecological interference between fatal diseases Nature. 422: 885-888. PMID 12712203 DOI: 10.1038/Nature01542  1
2003 Glass K, Grenfell BT. Antibody dynamics in childhood diseases: Waning and boosting of immunity and the impact of vaccination Journal of Theoretical Biology. 221: 121-131. PMID 12634049 DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.2003.3181  1
2003 Keeling MJ, Woolhouse MEJ, May RM, Davies G, Grenfell BT. Modelling vaccination strategies against foot-and-mouth disease Nature. 421: 136-142. PMID 12508120 DOI: 10.1038/nature01343  1
2003 Alexander ND, Moyeed RA, Hyun PJ, Dimber ZB, Bockarie MJ, Stander J, Grenfell BT, Kazura JW, Alpers MP. Spatial variation of Anopheles-transmitted Wuchereria bancrofti and Plasmodium falciparum infection densities in Papua New Guinea Filaria Journal. 2. DOI: 10.1186/1475-2883-2-14  1
2003 Leung B, Grenfell BT. A spatial stochastic model simulating a scabies epidemic and coyote population dynamics Ecological Modelling. 166: 41-52. DOI: 10.1016/S0304-3800(03)00117-0  1
2002 Rohani P, Keeling MJ, Grenfell BT. The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases. The American Naturalist. 159: 469-81. PMID 18707430 DOI: 10.1086/339467  1
2002 Gog JR, Grenfell BT. Dynamics and selection of many-strain pathogens Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 99: 17209-17214. PMID 12481034 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.252512799  1
2002 Hudson PJ, Dobson AP, Cattadori IM, Newborn D, Haydon DT, Shaw DJ, Benton TG, Grenfell BT. Trophic interactions and population growth rates: describing patterns and identifying mechanisms. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 357: 1259-71. PMID 12396517 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2002.1126  1
2002 Brown SP, Hochberg ME, Grenfell BT. Does multiple infection select for raised virulence? Trends in Microbiology. 10: 401-5. PMID 12217504 DOI: 10.1016/S0966-842X(02)02413-7  1
2002 Glass K, Wood JLN, Mumford JA, Jesset D, Grenfell BT. Modelling equine influenza 1: A stochastic model of within-yard epidemics Epidemiology and Infection. 128: 491-502. PMID 12113495 DOI: 10.1017/S0950268802006829  1
2002 Grenfell B. Rivers dam waves of rabies Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 99: 3365-3367. PMID 11904399 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.062049599  1
2002 Keeling MJ, Grenfell BT. Understanding the persistence of measles: Reconciling theory, simulation and observation Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 269: 335-343. PMID 11886620 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2001.1898  1
2002 Bjørnstad ON, Finkenstädt BF, Grenfell BT. Dynamics of measles epidemics: Estimating scaling of transmission rates using a Time series SIR model Ecological Monographs. 72: 169-184.  1
2002 Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Finkenstädt BF. Dynamics of measles epidemics: Scaling noise, determinism, and predictability with the TSIR model Ecological Monographs. 72: 185-202.  1
2001 Michael E, Ramaiah KD, Hoti SL, Barker G, Paul MR, Yuvaraj J, Das PK, Grenfell BT, Bundy DA. Quantifying mosquito biting patterns on humans by DNA fingerprinting of bloodmeals. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 65: 722-8. PMID 11791964  1
2001 Brown SP, Grenfell BT. An unlikely partnership: Parasites, concomitant immunity and host defence Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 268: 2543-2549. PMID 11749708 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2001.1821  1
2001 Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Kappey J. Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics Nature. 414: 716-723. PMID 11742391 DOI: 10.1038/414716a  1
2001 Brown SP, Loot G, Grenfell BT, Guégan JF. Host manipulation by Ligula intestinalis: Accident or adaptation? Parasitology. 123: 519-529. PMID 11719963 DOI: 10.1017/S0031182001008678  1
2001 Keeling MJ, Woolhouse MEJ, Shaw DJ, Matthews L, Chase-Topping M, Haydon DT, Cornell SJ, Kappey J, Wilesmith J, Grenfell BT. Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: Stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape Science. 294: 813-817. PMID 11679661 DOI: 10.1126/science.1065973  1
2001 Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. Noisy clockwork: Time series analysis of population fluctuations in animals Science. 293: 638-643. PMID 11474099  1
2001 Coulson T, Catchpole EA, Albon SD, Morgan BJ, Pemberton JM, Clutton-Brock TH, Crawley MJ, Grenfell BT. Age, sex, density, winter weather, and population crashes in Soay sheep. Science (New York, N.Y.). 292: 1528-31. PMID 11375487 DOI: 10.1126/Science.292.5521.1528  1
2001 Woolhouse M, Chase-Topping M, Haydon D, Friar J, Matthews L, Hughes G, Shaw D, Wilesmith J, Donaldson A, Cornell S, Keeling M, Grenfell B. Foot-and-mouth disease under control in the UK Nature. 411: 258-259. PMID 11357118 DOI: 10.1038/35077149  1
2001 Grenfell B, Gog J. Pathogen strains: No joke Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 16: 272. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-5347(01)02156-5  1
2001 Keeling MJ, Rohani P, Grenfell BT. Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 148: 317-335. DOI: 10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00187-1  1
2001 Chapman AP, Brook BW, Clutton-Brock TH, Grenfell BT, Frankham R. Population viability analyses on a cycling population: A cautionary tale Biological Conservation. 97: 61-69. DOI: 10.1016/S0006-3207(00)00100-2  1
2000 Cornell SJ, Isham VS, Grenfell BT. Drug-resistant parasites and aggregated infection - Early-season dynamics Journal of Mathematical Biology. 41: 341-360. PMID 11103871  1
2000 Gay NJ, Miller E, Rohani P, Earn DJD, Grenfell BT. Pertussis transmission in England and Wales (multiple letters) Lancet. 355: 1553-1554. PMID 10801196 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)74603-1  1
2000 Keeling MJ, Grenfell BT. Individual-based perspectives on R0 Journal of Theoretical Biology. 203: 51-61. PMID 10677276 DOI: 10.1006/jtbi.1999.1064  1
2000 Rohani P, Earn DJD, Grenfell BT. Impact of immunisation on pertussis transmission in England and Wales Lancet. 355: 285-286. PMID 10675078 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(99)04482-7  1
2000 Earn DJ, Rohani P, Bolker BM, Grenfell BT. A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics. Science (New York, N.Y.). 287: 667-70. PMID 10650003 DOI: 10.1126/Science.287.5453.667  1
2000 Courchamp F, Clutton-Brock T, Grenfell B. Multipack dynamics and the Allee effect in the African wild dog, Lycaon pictus Animal Conservation. 3: 277-285. DOI: 10.1111/J.1469-1795.2000.Tb00113.X  1
2000 Finkenstädt BF, Grenfell BT. Time series modelling of childhood diseases: A dynamical systems approach Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics. 49: 187-205.  1
2000 Courchamp F, Grenfell BT, Clutton-Brock TH. Impact of natural enemies on obligately cooperative breeders Oikos. 91: 311-322.  1
2000 Bobashev GV, Ellner SP, Nychka DW, Grenfell BT. Reconstructing susceptible and recruitment dynamics from measles epidemic data Mathematical Population Studies. 8: 1-29.  1
1999 Rohani P, Earn DJD, Grenfell BT. Opposite patterns of synchrony in sympatric disease metapopulations Science. 286: 968-971. PMID 10542154 DOI: 10.1126/Science.286.5441.968  1
1999 Kleczkowski A, Grenfell BT. Mean-field-type equations for spread of epidemics: The `small world' model Physica a: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications. 274: 355-360. DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(99)00393-3  1
1999 Courchamp F, Clutton-Brock T, Grenfell B. Inverse density dependence and the Allee effect Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 14: 405-410. DOI: 10.1016/S0169-5347(99)01683-3  1
1998 Ellner SP, Bailey BA, Bobashev GV, Gallant AR, Grenfell BT, Nychka DW. Noise and nonlinearity in measles epidemics: combining mechanistic and statistical approaches to population modeling. The American Naturalist. 151: 425-40. PMID 18811317 DOI: 10.1086/286130  1
1998 Shaw DJ, Grenfell BT, Dobson AP. Patterns of macroparasite aggregation in wildlife host populations. Parasitology. 117: 597-610. PMID 9881385 DOI: 10.1017/S0031182098003448  1
1998 Rohani P, Earn DJ, Finkenstadt B, Grenfell BT. Population dynamic interference among childhood diseases Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 265: 2033-2041. PMID 9842732 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1998.0537  1
1998 Earn DJD, Rohani P, Grenfell BT. Persistence, chaos and synchrony in ecology and epidemiology Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 265: 7-10. PMID 9470213 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1998.0256  1
1998 Arneberg P, Skorping A, Grenfell B, Read AF. Host densities as determinants of abundance in parasite communities Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 265: 1283-1289. DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1998.0431  1
1996 Bolker BM, Grenfell BT. Impact of vaccination on the spatial correlation and persistence of measles dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 93: 12648-53. PMID 8901637 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.93.22.12648  1
1996 White KAJ, Grenfell BT, Hendry RJ, Lejeune O, Murray JD. Effect of seasonal host reproduction on host-macroparasite dynamics Mathematical Biosciences. 137: 79-99. PMID 8885624 DOI: 10.1016/S0025-5564(96)00061-2  1
1995 Bolker B, Grenfell B. Space, persistence and dynamics of measles epidemics Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 348: 309-320. PMID 8577828 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.1995.0070  1
1995 Grenfell BT, Kleczkowski A, Gilligan CA, Bolker BM. Spatial heterogeneity, nonlinear dynamics and chaos in infectious diseases. Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 4: 160-83. PMID 7582203 DOI: 10.1177/096228029500400205  1
1995 Grenfell BT, Bolker BM, Kleczkowski A. Seasonality and extinction in chaotic metapopulations Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 259: 97-103. DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1995.0015  1
1993 Bolker BM, Grenfell BT. Chaos and biological complexity in measles dynamics. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 251: 75-81. PMID 8094567 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1993.0011  1
1992 Grenfell BT, Lonergan ME, Harwood J. Quantitative investigations of the epidemiology of phocine distemper virus (PDV) in European common seal populations. The Science of the Total Environment. 115: 15-29. PMID 1594931 DOI: 10.1016/0048-9697(92)90029-R  1
1991 Day KP, Grenfell B, Spark R, Kazura JW, Alpers MP. Age specific patterns of change in the dynamics of Wuchereria bancrofti infection in Papau New Guinea American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 44: 518-527. PMID 2063955 DOI: 10.4269/Ajtmh.1991.44.518  1
1990 Sugihara G, Grenfell B, May RM. Distinguishing error from chaos in ecological time series Philosophical Transactions - Royal Society of London, B. 330: 235-251. DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.1990.0195  1
1990 Harwood J, Grenfell B. Long term risks of recurrent seal plagues Marine Pollution Bulletin. 21: 284-287. DOI: 10.1016/0025-326X(90)90591-U  1
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