Thomas H. Jagger, Ph.D. - Publications

Affiliations: 
2000 Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States 
Area:
Statistics, Atmospheric Science Physics

53 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2017 Fricker T, Elsner JB, Mesev V, Jagger TH. A dasymetric method to spatially apportion tornado casualty counts Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk. 8: 1768-1782. DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2017.1386724  0.393
2017 Humphreys JM, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Pau S. A Bayesian geostatistical approach to modeling global distributions of Lygodium microphyllum under projected climate warming Ecological Modelling. 363: 192-206. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2017.09.005  0.417
2017 Fricker T, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Population and energy elasticity of tornado casualties Geophysical Research Letters. 44: 3941-3949. DOI: 10.1002/2017Gl073093  0.305
2017 Trepanier JC, Yuan J, Jagger TH. The combined risk of extreme tropical cyclone winds and storm surges along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 122: 3299-3316. DOI: 10.1002/2016Jd026180  0.443
2016 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Fricker T. Statistical Models for Tornado Climatology: Long and Short-Term Views. Plos One. 11: e0166895. PMID 27875581 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0166895  0.437
2016 Fraza E, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. A space–time statistical climate model for hurricane intensification in the North Atlantic basin Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography. 2: 105-114. DOI: 10.5194/ASCMO-2-105-2016  0.43
2016 Elsner JB, Fricker T, Jagger TH, Mesev V. Statistical models for predicting tornado rates: Case studies from Oklahoma and the Mid South USA International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering. 6: 1-9. DOI: 10.2495/Safe-V6-N1-1-9  0.48
2016 Elsner JB, Fricker T, Widen HM, Castillo CM, Humphreys J, Jung J, Rahman S, Richard A, Jagger TH, Bhatrasataponkul T, Gredzens C, Dixon PG. The relationship between elevation roughness and tornado activity: A spatial statistical model fit to data from the central great plains Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 55: 849-859. DOI: 10.1175/Jamc-D-15-0225.1  0.447
2016 Humphreys JM, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Mahjoor A. Disaggregating the Patchwork: Wetlands. 37: 205-219. DOI: 10.1007/S13157-016-0859-Z  0.395
2015 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Widen HM. A Statistical Model for Regional Tornado Climate Studies. Plos One. 10: e0131876. PMID 26244881 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0131876  0.463
2015 Trepanier JC, Needham HF, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Combining Surge and Wind Risk from Hurricanes Using a Copula Model: An Example from Galveston, Texas Professional Geographer. 67: 52-61. DOI: 10.1080/00330124.2013.866437  0.469
2014 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Elsner IJ. Tornado intensity estimated from damage path dimensions. Plos One. 9: e107571. PMID 25229242 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0107571  0.41
2014 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Widen HM, Chavas DR. Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States Environmental Research Letters. 9. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/2/024018  0.409
2014 Hodges RE, Jagger TH, Elsner JB. The sun-hurricane connection: Diagnosing the solar impacts on hurricane frequency over the North Atlantic basin using a space-time model Natural Hazards. 73: 1063-1084. DOI: 10.1007/S11069-014-1120-9  0.437
2014 Elsner JB, Elsner SC, Jagger TH. The increasing efficiency of tornado days in the United States Climate Dynamics. 45: 651-659. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-014-2277-3  0.345
2014 Fricker T, Elsner JB, Camp P, Jagger TH. Empirical estimates of kinetic energy fromsome recent U.S. tornadoes Geophysical Research Letters. 41: 4340-4346. DOI: 10.1002/2014Gl060441  0.352
2013 Elsner JB, Strazzo SE, Jagger TH, Larow T, Zhao M. Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to SST in the atlantic from observations and GCMs Journal of Climate. 26: 5949-5957. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-12-00433.1  0.416
2013 Nott JF, Jagger TH. Deriving robust return periods for tropical cyclone inundations from sediments Geophysical Research Letters. 40: 370-373. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl054455  0.475
2013 Elsner JB, Murnane RJ, Jagger TH, Widen HM. A Spatial Point Process Model for Violent Tornado Occurrence in the US Great Plains Mathematical Geosciences. 45: 667-679. DOI: 10.1007/S11004-013-9458-1  0.44
2012 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Hurricane clusters in the vicinity of Florida Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 51: 869-877. DOI: 10.1175/Jamc-D-11-0107.1  0.438
2012 Hodges RE, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Predictive models for time to acceptance: An example using "Hurricane" articles in AMS journals Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 93: 879-882. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-11-00133.1  0.371
2012 Elsner JB, Trepanier JC, Strazzo SE, Jagger TH. Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to ocean warmth Geophysical Research Letters. 39. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl053002  0.444
2012 Elsner JB, Hodges RE, Jagger TH. Spatial grids for hurricane climate research Climate Dynamics. 39: 21-36. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-011-1066-5  0.447
2011 Elsner JB, Lewers SW, Malmstadt JC, Jagger TH. Estimating contemporary and future wind-damage losses from hurricanes Affecting Eglin Air Force Base, Florida Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 50: 1514-1526. DOI: 10.1175/2011Jamc2658.1  0.457
2011 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Burch KK. Climate and solar signals in property damage losses from hurricanes affecting the United States Natural Hazards. 58: 541-557. DOI: 10.1007/S11069-010-9685-4  0.423
2011 Scheitlin KN, Elsner JB, Lewers SW, Malmstadt JC, Jagger TH. Risk assessment of hurricane winds for Eglin air force base in northwestern Florida, USA Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 105: 287-296. DOI: 10.1007/S00704-010-0386-4  0.421
2010 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. A consensus model for seasonal hurricane prediction Journal of Climate. 23: 6090-6099. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jcli3686.1  0.504
2010 Malmstadt JC, Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 49: 2121-2132. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jamc2420.1  0.383
2010 Emanuel K, Jagger T. On Estimating Hurricane Return Periods Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 49: 837-844. DOI: 10.1175/2009Jamc2236.1  0.464
2010 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Hodges RE. Daily tropical cyclone intensity response to solar ultraviolet radiation Geophysical Research Letters. 37. DOI: 10.1029/2010Gl043091  0.391
2010 Scheitlin KN, Elsner JB, Malmstadt JC, Hodges RE, Jagger TH. Toward increased utilization of historical hurricane chronologies Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 115. DOI: 10.1029/2009Jd012424  0.423
2010 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Statistical link between united states tropical cyclone activity and the solar cycle Hurricanes and Climate Change. 61-71. DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-09410-6_4  0.343
2009 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Fogarty EA. Visibility network of United States hurricanes Geophysical Research Letters. 36. DOI: 10.1029/2009Gl039129  0.338
2009 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Modeling tropical cyclone intensity with quantile regression International Journal of Climatology. 29: 1351-1361. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.1804  0.524
2008 Elsner JB, Kossin JP, Jagger TH. The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature. 455: 92-5. PMID 18769438 DOI: 10.1038/Nature07234  0.482
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Dickinson M, Rowe D. Improving multiseason forecasts of North Atlantic hurricane activity Journal of Climate. 21: 1209-1219. DOI: 10.1175/2007Jcli1731.1  0.454
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Liu KB. Comparison of hurricane return levels using historical and geological records Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 47: 368-374. DOI: 10.1175/2007Jamc1692.1  0.424
2008 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle Geophysical Research Letters. 35. DOI: 10.1029/2008Gl034431  0.429
2008 Jagger TH, Elsner JB, Saunders MA. Forecasting us insured hurricane losses Climate Extremes and Society. 189-208. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511535840.012  0.407
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Comparison of hindcasts anticipating the 2004 Florida hurricane season Weather and Forecasting. 21: 182-192. DOI: 10.1175/Waf916.1  0.505
2006 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Climatology models for extreme hurricane winds near the United States Journal of Climate. 19: 3220-3236. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3913.1  0.495
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. Prediction models for annual U.S. hurricane counts Journal of Climate. 19: 2935-2952. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3729.1  0.454
2006 Elsner JB, Tsonis AA, Jagger TH. High-frequency variability in hurricane power dissipation and its relationship to global temperature Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 87: 763-768. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-87-6-763  0.352
2006 Elsner JB, Murnane RJ, Jagger TH. Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2006Gl025693  0.501
2006 Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Tsonis AA. Estimated return periods for Hurricane Katrina Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2005Gl025452  0.464
2006 Fogarty EA, Elsner JB, Jagger TH, Liu KB, Louie KS. Variations in typhoon landfalls over China Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 23: 665-677. DOI: 10.1007/S00376-006-0665-2  0.462
2005 Tsonis AA, Elsner JB, Hunt AG, Jagger TH. Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO Geophysical Research Letters. 32: 1-4. DOI: 10.1029/2005Gl022875  0.378
2004 Elsner JB, Jagger TH. A hierarchical Bayesian approach to seasonal hurricane modeling Journal of Climate. 17: 2813-2827. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2813:Ahbats>2.0.Co;2  0.5
2004 Elsner JB, Niu X, Jagger TH. Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach Journal of Climate. 17: 2652-2666. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<2652:Dsihru>2.0.Co;2  0.581
2004 Jagger TH, Elsner JB. Extreme hurricane winds in the United States 26th Conference On Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. 611-612.  0.323
2002 Jagger TH, Niu X, Elsner JB. A space-time model for seasonal hurricane prediction International Journal of Climatology. 22: 451-465. DOI: 10.1002/Joc.755  0.579
2001 Jagger T, Elsner JB, Niu X. A dynamic probability model of hurricane winds in coastal counties of the United States Journal of Applied Meteorology. 40: 853-863. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(2001)040<0853:Adpmoh>2.0.Co;2  0.609
2000 Elsner JB, Jagger T, Niu XF. Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century Geophysical Research Letters. 27: 1743-1746. DOI: 10.1029/2000Gl011453  0.534
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