Tilmann Gneiting - Publications

Affiliations: 
University of Washington, Seattle, Seattle, WA 
Area:
Statistics

66 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2024 Lopez VK, Cramer EY, Pagano R, Drake JM, O'Dea EB, Adee M, Ayer T, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller PP, Xiao J, Bracher J, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, ... ... Gneiting T, et al. Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021. Plos Computational Biology. 20: e1011200. PMID 38709852 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200  0.302
2021 Bracher J, Ray EL, Gneiting T, Reich NG. Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1008618. PMID 33577550 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618  0.338
2021 Vogel P, Knippertz P, Gneiting T, Fink AH, Klar M, Schlueter A. Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa Geophysical Research Letters. 48. DOI: 10.1029/2020gl091022  0.318
2020 Vogel P, Knippertz P, Fink AH, Schlueter A, Gneiting T. Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall in the Tropics Weather and Forecasting. 35: 2367-2385. DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-20-0082.1  0.348
2020 Brehmer JR, Gneiting T. Properization: constructing proper scoring rules via Bayes acts Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. 72: 659-673. DOI: 10.1007/S10463-019-00705-7  0.32
2019 Feldmann K, Richardson D, Gneiting T. Grid‐ vs. station‐based postprocessing of ensemble temperature forecasts Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1029/2019Gl083189  0.303
2018 Vogel P, Knippertz P, Fink AH, Schlueter A, Gneiting T. Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall over Northern Tropical Africa Weather and Forecasting. 33: 369-388. DOI: 10.1175/Waf-D-17-0127.1  0.447
2017 Lerch S, Thorarinsdottir TL, Ravazzolo F, Gneiting T. Forecaster’s Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation Statistical Science. 32: 106-127. DOI: 10.1214/16-Sts588  0.409
2016 Ehm W, Gneiting T, Jordan A, Krüger F. Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Statistical Methodology. 78: 505-562. DOI: 10.1111/Rssb.12154  0.436
2015 Hansen LV, Thorarinsdottir TL, Ovcharov E, Gneiting T, Richards D. Gaussian Random Particles With Flexible Hausdorff Dimension Advances in Applied Probability. 47: 307-327. DOI: 10.1239/Aap/1435236977  0.312
2014 Dueck J, Edelmann D, Gneiting T, Richards D. The affinely invariant distance correlation Bernoulli. 20: 2305-2330. DOI: 10.3150/13-Bej558  0.371
2013 Gneiting T. Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres Bernoulli. 19: 1327-1349. DOI: 10.3150/12-Bejsp06  0.389
2013 Schefzik R, Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T. Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling Statistical Science. 28: 616-640. DOI: 10.1214/13-Sts443  0.477
2013 Gneiting T, Ranjan R. Combining predictive distributions Electronic Journal of Statistics. 7: 1747-1782. DOI: 10.1214/13-Ejs823  0.653
2013 Sloughter MM, Gneiting T, Raftery AE. Probabilistic wind vector forecasting using ensembles and bayesian model averaging Monthly Weather Review. 141: 2107-2119. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-12-00002.1  0.465
2013 Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T, Gissibl N. Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models Siam/Asa Journal On Uncertainty Quantification. 1: 522-534. DOI: 10.1137/130907550  0.431
2012 Ehm W, Gneiting T. Local proper scoring rules of order two Annals of Statistics. 40: 609-637. DOI: 10.1214/12-Aos973  0.369
2012 Gneiting T, Ševčíková H, Percival DB. Estimators of fractal dimension: Assessing the roughness of time series and spatial data Statistical Science. 27: 247-277. DOI: 10.1214/11-Sts370  0.332
2012 Schuhen N, Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T. Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind Vectors Monthly Weather Review. 140: 3204-3219. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-12-00028.1  0.387
2011 Fraley C, Raftery A, Gneiting T, Sloughter M, Berrocal V. Probabilistic weather forecasting in R R Journal. 3: 55-63. DOI: 10.32614/Rj-2011-009  0.487
2011 Gneiting T, Ranjan R. Comparing density forecasts using thresholdand quantile-weighted scoring rules Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. 29: 411-422. DOI: 10.1198/Jbes.2010.08110  0.637
2011 Gneiting T. Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts Journal of the American Statistical Association. 106: 746-762. DOI: 10.1198/Jasa.2011.R10138  0.443
2011 Kleiber W, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. Geostatistical model averaging for locally calibrated probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting Journal of the American Statistical Association. 106: 1291-1303. DOI: 10.1198/Jasa.2011.Ap10433  0.714
2011 Kleiber W, Raftery AE, Baars J, Gneiting T, Mass CF, Grimit E. Locally calibrated probabilistic temperature forecasting using geostatistical model averaging and local bayesian model averaging Monthly Weather Review. 139: 2630-2649. DOI: 10.1175/2010Mwr3511.1  0.696
2011 Gneiting T. Quantiles as optimal point forecasts International Journal of Forecasting. 27: 197-207. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijforecast.2009.12.015  0.422
2010 Gneiting T, Kleiber W, Schlather M. Matérn Cross-Covariance Functions for Multivariate Random Fields Journal of the American Statistical Association. 105: 1167-1177. DOI: 10.1198/Jasa.2010.Tm09420  0.694
2010 Sloughter JM, Gneiting T, Raftery AE. Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging Journal of the American Statistical Association. 105: 25-35. DOI: 10.1198/jasa.2009.ap08615  0.373
2010 Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Steed RC. Probabilistic weather forecasting for winter road maintenance Journal of the American Statistical Association. 105: 522-537. DOI: 10.1198/Jasa.2009.Ap07184  0.405
2010 Bao L, Gneiting T, Grimit EP, Guttorp P, Raftery AE. Bias correction and bayesian model averaging for ensemble forecasts of surface wind direction Monthly Weather Review. 138: 1811-1821. DOI: 10.1175/2009Mwr3138.1  0.429
2010 Fraley C, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. Calibrating multimodel forecast ensembles with exchangeable and missing members using Bayesian model averaging Monthly Weather Review. 138: 190-202. DOI: 10.1175/2009Mwr3046.1  0.441
2010 Ranjan R, Gneiting T. Combining probability forecasts Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology. 72: 71-91. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-9868.2009.00726.X  0.642
2010 Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T. Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series a-Statistics in Society. 173: 371-388. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-985X.2009.00616.X  0.393
2009 Czado C, Gneiting T, Held L. Predictive model assessment for count data. Biometrics. 65: 1254-61. PMID 19432783 DOI: 10.1111/J.1541-0420.2009.01191.X  0.424
2009 Mass CF, Joslyn S, Pyle J, Tewson P, Gneiting T, Raftery A, Baars J, Sloughter JM, Jones D, Fraley C. PROBCAST: A web-based portal to mesoscale probabilistic forecasts Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 90: 1009-1014. DOI: 10.1175/2009Bams2775.1  0.405
2008 Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model Annals of Applied Statistics. 2: 1170-1193. DOI: 10.1214/08-Aoas203  0.447
2008 Gneiting T. Editorial: Probabilistic forecasting Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series a-Statistics in Society. 171: 319-321. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-985X.2007.00522.X  0.408
2008 Percival DB, Rothrock DA, Thorndike AS, Gneiting T. The variance of mean sea-ice thickness: Effect of long-range dependence Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 113. DOI: 10.1029/2007Jc004391  0.32
2007 Gneiting T, Raftery AE. Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation Journal of the American Statistical Association. 102: 359-378. DOI: 10.1198/016214506000001437  0.419
2007 Sloughter JM, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Fraley C. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using bayesian model averaging Monthly Weather Review. 135: 3209-3220. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr3441.1  0.505
2007 Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts Monthly Weather Review. 135: 1386-1402. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr3341.1  0.435
2007 Gneiting T, Balabdaoui F, Raftery AE. Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology. 69: 243-268. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-9868.2007.00587.X  0.48
2006 Grimit EP, Gneiting T, Berrocal VJ, Johnson NA. The continuous ranked probability score for circular variables and its application to mesoscale forecast ensemble verification Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 132: 2925-2942. DOI: 10.1256/Qj.05.235  0.489
2006 Gneiting T, Ševčíková H, Percival DB, Schlather M, Jiang Y. Fast and exact simulation of large gaussian lattice systems in ℝ2: Exploring the limits Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 15: 483-501. DOI: 10.1198/106186006X128551  0.357
2006 Gneiting T, Larson K, Westrick K, Genton MG, Aldrich E. Calibrated probabilistic forecasting at the stateline wind energy center: The regime-switching space-time method Journal of the American Statistical Association. 101: 968-979. DOI: 10.1198/016214506000000456  0.339
2006 Holzmann H, Munk A, Gneiting T. Identifiability of finite mixtures of elliptical distributions Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. 33: 753-763. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-9469.2006.00505.X  0.33
2006 Guttorp P, Gneiting T. Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIX on the Matérn correlation family Biometrika. 93: 989-995. DOI: 10.1093/Biomet/93.4.989  0.321
2006 Schlather M, Gneiting T. Local approximation of variograms by covariance functions Statistics & Probability Letters. 76: 1303-1304. DOI: 10.1016/J.Spl.2006.02.002  0.36
2005 Gneiting T, Raftery AE. Atmospheric science. Weather forecasting with ensemble methods. Science (New York, N.Y.). 310: 248-9. PMID 16224011 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1115255  0.457
2005 Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Balabdaoui F, Polakowski M. Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles Monthly Weather Review. 133: 1155-1174. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr2906.1  0.514
2005 Gneiting T, Raftery AE, Westveld AH, Goldman T. Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation Monthly Weather Review. 133: 1098-1118. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr2904.1  0.508
2004 Gel Y, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting Journal of the American Statistical Association. 99: 575-583. DOI: 10.1198/016214504000000872  0.494
2004 Gneiting T, Schlather M. Stochastic Models That Separate Fractal Dimension and the Hurst Effect Siam Review. 46: 269-282. DOI: 10.1137/S0036144501394387  0.343
2004 Ehm W, Gneiting T, Richards D. Convolution roots of radial positive definite functions with compact support Transactions of the American Mathematical Society. 356: 4655-4685. DOI: 10.1090/S0002-9947-04-03502-0  0.306
2003 Mitra S, Gneiting T, 'ari Z'S. Polynomial covariance functions on intervals Bernoulli. 9: 229-241. DOI: 10.3150/Bj/1068128976  0.388
2003 Ehm W, Genton MG, Gneiting T. Stationary covariances associated with exponentially convex functions Bernoulli. 9: 607-615. DOI: 10.3150/Bj/1066223271  0.407
2002 Gneiting T. Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space–Time Data Journal of the American Statistical Association. 97: 590-600. DOI: 10.1198/016214502760047113  0.443
2002 Gneiting T. Compactly Supported Correlation Functions Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 83: 493-508. DOI: 10.1006/Jmva.2001.2056  0.384
2001 Gneiting T, Sasvári Z, Schlather M. Analogies and correspondences between variograms and covariance functions Advances in Applied Probability. 33: 617-630. DOI: 10.1239/Aap/1005091356  0.385
2001 Dreier I, Ehm W, Gneiting T, Richards D. Improved Bounds for Laue's Constant and Multivariate Extensions Mathematische Nachrichten. 228: 109-122. DOI: 10.1002/1522-2616(200108)228:1<109::Aid-Mana109>3.0.Co;2-V  0.327
1999 Gneiting T. ISOTROPIC CORRELATION FUNCTIONS ON d-DIMENSIONAL BALLS Advances in Applied Probability. 31: 625-631. DOI: 10.1239/Aap/1029955195  0.301
1999 Gneiting T, Sasvári Z. The characterization problem for isotropic covariance functions Mathematical Geosciences. 31: 105-111. DOI: 10.1023/A:1007597415185  0.389
1999 Gneiting T. Radial Positive Definite Functions Generated by Euclid's Hat Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 69: 88-119. DOI: 10.1006/Jmva.1998.1800  0.335
1999 Gneiting T. Correlation functions for atmospheric data analysis Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 125: 2449-2464. DOI: 10.1002/Qj.49712555906  0.428
1998 Gneiting T. Closed Form Solutions of the Two-Dimensional Turning Bands Equation Mathematical Geosciences. 30: 379-390. DOI: 10.1023/A:1021792107170  0.332
1998 Gneiting T. Simple tests for the validity of correlation function models on the circle Statistics & Probability Letters. 39: 119-122. DOI: 10.1016/S0167-7152(98)00042-X  0.349
1997 Gneiting T. Normal scale mixtures and dual probability densities Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation. 59: 375-384. DOI: 10.1080/00949659708811867  0.321
Show low-probability matches.