Alexandra D. Syphard, Ph.D. - Publications

Affiliations: 
2005 University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States 
Area:
Geography, Ecology Biology, Environmental Sciences, Physical Geography

79 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2023 Miranda A, Syphard AD, Berdugo M, Carrasco J, Gómez-González S, Ovalle JF, Delpiano CA, Vargas S, Squeo FA, Miranda MD, Dobbs C, Mentler R, Lara A, Garreaud R. Widespread synchronous decline of Mediterranean-type forest driven by accelerated aridity. Nature Plants. PMID 37845335 DOI: 10.1038/s41477-023-01541-7  0.337
2023 Mockrin MH, Locke DH, Syphard AD, O'Neil-Dunne J. Using high-resolution land cover data to assess structure loss in the 2018 Woolsey Fire in Southern California. Journal of Environmental Management. 347: 118960. PMID 37783075 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118960  0.351
2022 Syphard AD, Brennan TJ, Rustigian-Romsos H, Keeley JE. Fire-driven vegetation type conversion in southern California. Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America. e2626. PMID 35397185 DOI: 10.1002/eap.2626  0.39
2021 Rojas IM, Jennings M, Conlisk E, Syphard AD, Mikesell J, Kinoshita AM, West K, Stow D, Storey E, De Guzman ME, Foote D, Warneke A, Pairis A, Ryan S, Flint LE, et al. A landscape-scale framework to identify refugia from multiple stressors. Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society For Conservation Biology. PMID 34476838 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13834  0.373
2020 Kelly LT, Giljohann KM, Duane A, Aquilué N, Archibald S, Batllori E, Bennett AF, Buckland ST, Canelles Q, Clarke MF, Fortin MJ, Hermoso V, Herrando S, Keane RE, Lake FK, ... ... Syphard AD, et al. Fire and biodiversity in the Anthropocene. Science (New York, N.Y.). 370. PMID 33214246 DOI: 10.1126/science.abb0355  0.329
2020 Syphard AD, Keeley JE. Mapping fire regime ecoregions in California International Journal of Wildland Fire. 29: 595-601. DOI: 10.1071/Wf19136  0.462
2020 Schumann RL, Mockrin M, Syphard AD, Whittaker J, Price O, Gaither CJ, Emrich CT, Butsic V. Wildfire recovery as a “hot moment” for creating fire-adapted communities International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 42: 101354. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijdrr.2019.101354  0.69
2019 Keeley JE, Syphard AD. Twenty-first century California, USA, wildfires: fuel-dominated vs. wind-dominated fires Fire Ecology. 15. DOI: 10.1186/S42408-019-0041-0  0.375
2019 Syphard AD, Rustigian-Romsos H, Mann M, Conlisk E, Moritz MA, Ackerly D. The relative influence of climate and housing development on current and projected future fire patterns and structure loss across three California landscapes Global Environmental Change. 56: 41-55. DOI: 10.1016/J.Gloenvcha.2019.03.007  0.511
2019 Syphard AD, Brennan TJ, Keeley JE. Extent and drivers of vegetation type conversion in Southern California chaparral Ecosphere. 10. DOI: 10.1002/Ecs2.2796  0.497
2018 Tracey JA, Rochester CJ, Hathaway SA, Preston KL, Syphard AD, Vandergast AG, Diffendorfer JE, Franklin J, MacKenzie JB, Oberbauer TA, Tremor S, Winchell CS, Fisher RN. Prioritizing conserved areas threatened by wildfire and fragmentation for monitoring and management. Plos One. 13: e0200203. PMID 30192760 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0200203  0.633
2018 Syphard AD, Sheehan T, Rustigian-Romsos H, Ferschweiler K. Mapping future fire probability under climate change: Does vegetation matter? Plos One. 13: e0201680. PMID 30080880 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0201680  0.468
2018 Radeloff VC, Helmers DP, Kramer HA, Mockrin MH, Alexandre PM, Bar-Massada A, Butsic V, Hawbaker TJ, Martinuzzi S, Syphard AD, Stewart SI. Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 29531054 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1718850115  0.724
2018 Syphard AD, Brennan TJ, Keeley JE. Drivers of chaparral type conversion to herbaceous vegetation in coastal Southern California Diversity and Distributions. 25: 90-101. DOI: 10.1111/Ddi.12827  0.37
2018 Keeley JE, Syphard AD. Historical patterns of wildfire ignition sources in California ecosystems International Journal of Wildland Fire. 27: 781. DOI: 10.1071/Wf18026  0.454
2017 Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Pfaff AH, Ferschweiler K. Human presence diminishes the importance of climate in driving fire activity across the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 114: 13750-13755. PMID 29229850 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1713885114  0.424
2017 Keeley JE, Syphard AD. Different historical fire–climate patterns in California International Journal of Wildland Fire. 26: 253. DOI: 10.1071/Wf16102  0.469
2017 Butsic V, Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Bar-Massada A. Can private land conservation reduce wildfire risk to homes? A case study in San Diego County, California, USA Landscape and Urban Planning. 157: 161-169. DOI: 10.1016/J.Landurbplan.2016.05.002  0.733
2017 Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Abatzoglou JT. Trends and drivers of fire activity vary across California aridland ecosystems Journal of Arid Environments. 144: 110-122. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jaridenv.2017.03.017  0.481
2017 Syphard AD, Brennan TJ, Keeley JE. The importance of building construction materials relative to other factors affecting structure survival during wildfire International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 21: 140-147. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijdrr.2016.11.011  0.355
2016 Alexandre PM, Stewart SI, Keuler NS, Clayton MK, Mockrin MH, Bar-Massada A, Syphard AD, Radeloff VC. Factors related to building loss due to wildfires in the conterminous United States. Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America. 26: 2323-2338. PMID 27755741 DOI: 10.1002/Eap.1376  0.8
2016 Franklin J, Serra-Diaz JM, Syphard AD, Regan HM. Global change and terrestrial plant community dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 26929338 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1519911113  0.587
2016 Syphard AD, Butsic V, Bar-Massada A, Keeley JE, Tracey JA, Fisher RN. Setting priorities for private land conservation in fire-prone landscapes: Are fire risk reduction and biodiversity conservation competing or compatible objectives? Ecology and Society. 21. DOI: 10.5751/Es-08410-210302  0.688
2016 Keeley J, Syphard A. Climate Change and Future Fire Regimes: Examples from California Geosciences. 6: 37. DOI: 10.3390/Geosciences6030037  0.46
2016 Franklin J, Serra-Diaz JM, Syphard AD, Regan HM. Big data for forecasting the impacts of global change on plant communities Global Ecology and Biogeography. 26: 6-17. DOI: 10.1111/Geb.12501  0.585
2016 Serra-Diaz JM, Franklin J, Dillon WW, Syphard AD, Davis FW, Meentemeyer RK. California forests show early indications of both range shifts and local persistence under climate change Global Ecology and Biogeography. 25: 164-175. DOI: 10.1111/Geb.12396  0.616
2016 Syphard AD, Keeley JE. Historical reconstructions of California wildfires vary by data source International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25: 1221. DOI: 10.1071/Wf16050  0.432
2016 Alexandre PM, Stewart SI, Mockrin MH, Keuler NS, Syphard AD, Bar-Massada A, Clayton MK, Radeloff VC. The relative impacts of vegetation, topography and spatial arrangement on building loss to wildfires in case studies of California and Colorado Landscape Ecology. 31: 415-430. DOI: 10.1007/S10980-015-0257-6  0.79
2016 Davis FW, Sweet LC, Serra‐Diaz JM, Franklin J, McCullough I, Flint A, Flint L, Dingman JR, Regan HM, Syphard AD, Hannah L, Redmond K, Moritz MA. Shrinking windows of opportunity for oak seedling establishment in southern California mountains Ecosphere. 7. DOI: 10.1002/Ecs2.1573  0.642
2015 Hannah L, Flint L, Syphard AD, Moritz MA, Buckley LB, McCullough IM. Place and process in conservation planning for climate change: a reply to Keppel and Wardell-Johnson. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 30: 234-5. PMID 25837916 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tree.2015.03.008  0.37
2015 Serra-Diaz JM, Franklin J, Sweet LC, Mccullough IM, Syphard AD, Regan HM, Flint LE, Flint AL, Dingman JR, Moritz MA, Redmond K, Hannah L, Davis FW. Averaged 30 year climate change projections mask opportunities for species establishment Ecography. DOI: 10.1111/Ecog.02074  0.528
2015 Keeley JE, Syphard AD. Different fire-climate relationships on forested and non-forested landscapes in the Sierra Nevada ecoregion International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24: 27-36. DOI: 10.1071/Wf14102  0.48
2015 Syphard AD, Keeley JE. Location, timing and extent of wildfire vary by cause of ignition International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24: 37-47. DOI: 10.1071/Wf14024  0.419
2015 Conlisk E, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Regan HM. Predicting the impact of fire on a vulnerable multi-species community using a dynamic vegetation model Ecological Modelling. 301: 27-39. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2015.02.004  0.615
2015 McCullough IM, Davis FW, Dingman JR, Flint LE, Flint AL, Serra-Diaz JM, Syphard AD, Moritz MA, Hannah L, Franklin J. High and dry: high elevations disproportionately exposed to regional climate change in Mediterranean-climate landscapes Landscape Ecology. 1-13. DOI: 10.1007/S10980-015-0318-X  0.57
2015 Serra-Diaz JM, Scheller RM, Syphard AD, Franklin J. Disturbance and climate microrefugia mediate tree range shifts during climate change Landscape Ecology. 30: 1039-1053. DOI: 10.1007/S10980-015-0173-9  0.585
2014 Moritz MA, Batllori E, Bradstock RA, Gill AM, Handmer J, Hessburg PF, Leonard J, McCaffrey S, Odion DC, Schoennagel T, Syphard AD. Learning to coexist with wildfire. Nature. 515: 58-66. PMID 25373675 DOI: 10.1038/Nature13946  0.426
2014 Penman TD, Collins L, Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Bradstock RA. Influence of fuels, weather and the built environment on the exposure of property to wildfire. Plos One. 9: e111414. PMID 25360741 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0111414  0.428
2014 Hannah L, Flint L, Syphard AD, Moritz MA, Buckley LB, McCullough IM. Fine-grain modeling of species' response to climate change: holdouts, stepping-stones, and microrefugia. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 29: 390-7. PMID 24875589 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tree.2014.04.006  0.419
2014 Bonebrake TC, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Anderson KE, Akçakaya HR, Mizerek T, Winchell C, Regan HM. Fire management, managed relocation, and land conservation options for long-lived obligate seeding plants under global changes in climate, urbanization, and fire regime. Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society For Conservation Biology. 28: 1057-67. PMID 24606578 DOI: 10.1111/Cobi.12253  0.654
2014 Conlisk E, Lawson D, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Flint L, Flint A, Regan HM. Correction: The Roles of Dispersal, Fecundity, and Predation in the Population Persistence of an Oak (Quercus engelmannii) under Global Change Plos One. 9. DOI: 10.1371/Annotation/819Da56B-1C8F-445F-80Fc-E8D741Dc2262  0.522
2014 Serra-Diaz JM, Franklin J, Ninyerola M, Davis FW, Syphard AD, Regan HM, Ikegami M. Bioclimatic velocity: The pace of species exposure to climate change Diversity and Distributions. 20: 169-180. DOI: 10.1111/Ddi.12131  0.58
2014 Bonebrake TC, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Anderson KE, Akçakaya HR, Mizerek T, Winchell C, Regan HM. Fire management, managed relocation, and land conservation options for long-lived obligate seeding plants under global changes in climate, urbanization, and fire regime Conservation Biology. 28: 1057-1067. DOI: 10.1111/cobi.12253  0.511
2014 Beltrán BJ, Franklin J, Syphard AD, Regan HM, Flint LE, Flint AL. Effects of climate change and urban development on the distribution and conservation of vegetation in a Mediterranean type ecosystem International Journal of Geographical Information Science. 28: 1561-1589. DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2013.846472  0.652
2014 Syphard AD, Brennan TJ, Keeley JE. The role of defensible space for residential structure protection during wildfires International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23: 1165-1175. DOI: 10.1071/Wf13158  0.406
2014 Franklin J, Regan HM, Syphard AD. Linking spatially explicit species distribution and population models to plan for the persistence of plant species under global change Environmental Conservation. 41: 97-109. DOI: 10.1017/S0376892913000453  0.63
2013 Syphard AD, Bar Massada A, Butsic V, Keeley JE. Land use planning and wildfire: development policies influence future probability of housing loss. Plos One. 8: e71708. PMID 23977120 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0071708  0.74
2013 Conlisk E, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Flint L, Flint A, Regan H. Uncertainty in assessing the impacts of global change with coupled dynamic species distribution and population models. Global Change Biology. 19: 858-69. PMID 23504842 DOI: 10.1111/Gcb.12090  0.605
2013 Franklin J, Davis FW, Ikegami M, Syphard AD, Flint LE, Flint AL, Hannah L. Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be? Global Change Biology. 19: 473-83. PMID 23504785 DOI: 10.1111/Gcb.12051  0.603
2013 Syphard AD, Regan HM, Franklin J, Swab RM, Bonebrake TC. Does functional type vulnerability to multiple threats depend on spatial context in mediterranean-climate regions? Diversity and Distributions. 19: 1263-1274. DOI: 10.1111/Ddi.12076  0.658
2013 Bar Massada A, Syphard AD, Stewart SI, Radeloff VC. Wildfire ignition-distribution modelling: A comparative study in the Huron-Manistee National Forest, Michigan, USA International Journal of Wildland Fire. 22: 174-183. DOI: 10.1071/Wf11178  0.61
2012 Price OF, Bradstock RA, Keeley JE, Syphard AD. The impact of antecedent fire area on burned area in southern California coastal ecosystems. Journal of Environmental Management. 113: 301-7. PMID 23064248 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jenvman.2012.08.042  0.496
2012 Conlisk E, Lawson D, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Flint L, Flint A, Regan HM. The roles of dispersal, fecundity, and predation in the population persistence of an oak (Quercus engelmannii) under global change. Plos One. 7: e36391. PMID 22623955 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0036391  0.612
2012 Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Massada AB, Brennan TJ, Radeloff VC. Housing arrangement and location determine the likelihood of housing loss due to wildfire. Plos One. 7: e33954. PMID 22470499 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0033954  0.757
2012 Regan HM, Syphard AD, Franklin J, Swab RM, Markovchick L, Flint AL, Flint LE, Zedler PH. Evaluation of assisted colonization strategies under global change for a rare, fire-dependent plant Global Change Biology. 18: 936-947. DOI: 10.1111/J.1365-2486.2011.02586.X  0.588
2011 Syphard AD, Clarke KC, Franklin J, Regan HM, McGinnis M. Forecasts of habitat loss and fragmentation due to urban growth are sensitive to source of input data. Journal of Environmental Management. 92: 1882-93. PMID 21477919 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jenvman.2011.03.014  0.648
2011 Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Brennan TJ. Factors affecting fuel break effectiveness in the control of large fires on the Los Padres National Forest, California International Journal of Wildland Fire. 20: 764-775. DOI: 10.1071/Wf10065  0.393
2011 Syphard AD, Scheller RM, Ward BC, Spencer WD, Strittholt JR. Simulating landscape-scale effects of fuels treatments in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA International Journal of Wildland Fire. 20: 364-383. DOI: 10.1071/Wf09125  0.389
2011 Syphard AD, Keeley JE, Brennan TJ. Comparing the role of fuel breaks across southern California national forests Forest Ecology and Management. 261: 2038-2048. DOI: 10.1016/J.Foreco.2011.02.030  0.426
2011 Bar Massada A, Syphard AD, Hawbaker TJ, Stewart SI, Radeloff VC. Effects of ignition location models on the burn patterns of simulated wildfires Environmental Modelling and Software. 26: 583-592. DOI: 10.1016/J.Envsoft.2010.11.016  0.733
2011 Scheller RM, Spencer WD, Rustigian-Romsos H, Syphard AD, Ward BC, Strittholt JR. Using stochastic simulation to evaluate competing risks of wildfires and fuels management on an isolated forest carnivore Landscape Ecology. 26: 1491-1504. DOI: 10.1007/S10980-011-9663-6  0.453
2010 Syphard AD, Franklin J. Species traits affect the performance of species distribution models for plants in southern California Journal of Vegetation Science. 21: 177-189. DOI: 10.1111/J.1654-1103.2009.01133.X  0.558
2009 Syphard AD, Radeloff VC, Hawbaker TJ, Stewart SI. Conservation threats due to human-caused increases in fire frequency in Mediterranean-climate ecosystems. Conservation Biology : the Journal of the Society For Conservation Biology. 23: 758-69. PMID 22748094 DOI: 10.1111/J.1523-1739.2009.01223.X  0.764
2009 Syphard AD, Franklin J. Differences in spatial predictions among species distribution modeling methods vary with species traits and environmental predictors Ecography. 32: 907-918. DOI: 10.1111/J.1600-0587.2009.05883.X  0.599
2009 Syphard AD, Franklin J. Expanding the evaluation of species distribution models to guide their assessment of climate impacts Iop Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science. 6: 312028. DOI: 10.1088/1755-1307/6/31/312028  0.484
2009 Syphard AD, Stewart SI, Mckeefry J, Hammer RB, Fried JS, Holcomb S, Radeloff VC. Assessing housing growth when census boundaries change International Journal of Geographical Information Science. 23: 859-876. DOI: 10.1080/13658810802359877  0.578
2009 Sturtevant BR, Scheller RM, Miranda BR, Shinneman D, Syphard A. Simulating dynamic and mixed-severity fire regimes: A process-based fire extension for LANDIS-II Ecological Modelling. 220: 3380-3393. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2009.07.030  0.457
2008 Syphard AD, Radeloff VC, Keuler NS, Taylor RS, Hawbaker TJ, Stewart SI, Clayton MK. Predicting spatial patterns of fire on a southern California landscape International Journal of Wildland Fire. 17: 602-613. DOI: 10.1071/Wf07087  0.767
2008 Hawbaker TJ, Radeloff VC, Syphard AD, Zhu Z, Stewart SI. Detection rates of the MODIS active fire product in the United States Remote Sensing of Environment. 112: 2656-2664. DOI: 10.1016/J.Rse.2007.12.008  0.698
2007 Syphard AD, Radeloff VC, Keeley JE, Hawbaker TJ, Clayton MK, Stewart SI, Hammer RB. Human influence on California fire regimes. Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America. 17: 1388-402. PMID 17708216 DOI: 10.1890/06-1128.1  0.775
2007 Syphard AD, Yang J, Franklin J, He HS, Keeley JE. Calibrating a forest landscape model to simulate frequent fire in Mediterranean-type shrublands Environmental Modelling and Software. 22: 1641-1653. DOI: 10.1016/J.Envsoft.2007.01.004  0.593
2007 Syphard AD, Clarke KC, Franklin J. Simulating fire frequency and urban growth in southern California coastal shrublands, USA Landscape Ecology. 22: 431-445. DOI: 10.1007/S10980-006-9025-Y  0.666
2006 Syphard AD, Franklin J, Keeley JE. Simulating the effects of frequent fire on southern California coastal shrublands. Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America. 16: 1744-56. PMID 17069368 DOI: 10.1890/1051-0761(2006)016[1744:Steoff]2.0.Co;2  0.635
2005 Akçakaya HR, Franklin J, Syphard AD, Stephenson JR. Viability Of Bell'S Sage Sparrow (Amphispiza Belli Ssp. Belli): Altered Fire Regimes Ecological Applications. 15: 521-531. DOI: 10.1890/03-5378  0.617
2005 Syphard AD, Clarke KC, Franklin J. Using a cellular automaton model to forecast the effects of urban growth on habitat pattern in southern California Ecological Complexity. 2: 185-203. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecocom.2004.11.003  0.633
2005 Franklin J, Syphard AD, He HS, Mladenoff DJ. Altered fire regimes affect landscape patterns of plant succession in the foothills and mountains of southern California Ecosystems. 8: 885-898. DOI: 10.1007/S10021-005-0017-6  0.733
2004 Syphard AD, Franklin J. Spatial aggregation effects on the simulation of landscape pattern and ecological processes in southern California plant communities Ecological Modelling. 180: 21-40. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecolmodel.2004.01.017  0.595
2001 Syphard AD, Garcia MW. Human- and beaver-induced wetland changes in the Chickahominy river watershed from 1953 to 1994 Wetlands. 21: 342-353. DOI: 10.1672/0277-5212(2001)021[0342:Habiwc]2.0.Co;2  0.488
2001 Franklin J, Syphard AD, Mladenoff DJ, He HS, Simons DK, Martin RP, Deutschman D, O'Leary JF. Simulating the effects of different fire regimes on plant functional groups in Southern California Ecological Modelling. 142: 261-283. DOI: 10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00286-1  0.706
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