Mercedes Pascual - Publications

Affiliations: 
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI 
Area:
Epidemiology

129 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2024 Li J, Ionides EL, King AA, Pascual M, Ning N. Inference on spatiotemporal dynamics for coupled biological populations. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 21: 20240217. PMID 38981516 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0217  0.577
2024 Chaves LF, Friberg MD, Pascual M, Calzada JE, Luckhart S, Bergmann LR. Community-serving research addressing climate change impacts on vector-borne diseases. The Lancet. Planetary Health. 8: e334-e341. PMID 38729673 DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00049-4  0.546
2023 Santos-Vega M, Lowe R, Anselin L, Desai V, Vaishnav KG, Naik A, Pascual M. Quantifying climatic and socioeconomic drivers of urban malaria in Surat, India: a statistical spatiotemporal modelling study. The Lancet. Planetary Health. 7: e985-e998. PMID 38056969 DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00249-8  0.306
2023 de Roos AM, He Q, Pascual M. An immune memory-structured SIS epidemiological model for hyperdiverse pathogens. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120: e2218499120. PMID 37910552 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2218499120  0.314
2023 Cazelles B, Cazelles K, Tian H, Chavez M, Pascual M. Disentangling local and global climate drivers in the population dynamics of mosquito-borne infections. Science Advances. 9: eadf7202. PMID 37756402 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adf7202  0.336
2023 Brown JJ, Pascual M, Wimberly MC, Johnson LR, Murdock CC. Humidity - The overlooked variable in the thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease. Ecology Letters. 26: 1029-1049. PMID 37349261 DOI: 10.1111/ele.14228  0.312
2022 Romeo-Aznar V, Picinini Freitas L, Gonçalves Cruz O, King AA, Pascual M. Author Correction: Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics. Nature Communications. 13: 1404. PMID 35277517 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29163-1  0.525
2022 Romeo-Aznar V, Picinini Freitas L, Gonçalves Cruz O, King AA, Pascual M. Fine-scale heterogeneity in population density predicts wave dynamics in dengue epidemics. Nature Communications. 13: 996. PMID 35194017 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28231-w  0.586
2020 Subramanian R, Romeo-Aznar V, Ionides E, Codeço CT, Pascual M. Predicting re-emergence times of dengue epidemics at low reproductive numbers: DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro, 1986-1990. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 17: 20200273. PMID 32574544 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2020.0273  0.462
2019 Martinez PP, Mahmud AS, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Ahmed T, Pascual M, Buckee CO. Tube Well Use as Protection Against Rotavirus Infection During the Monsoons in an Urban Setting. The Journal of Infectious Diseases. PMID 31776559 DOI: 10.1093/Infdis/Jiz436  0.336
2019 Castro MC, Baeza A, Codeço CT, Cucunubá ZM, Dal'Asta AP, De Leo GA, Dobson AP, Carrasco-Escobar G, Lana RM, Lowe R, Monteiro AMV, Pascual M, Santos-Vega M. Development, environmental degradation, and disease spread in the Brazilian Amazon. Plos Biology. 17: e3000526. PMID 31730640 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.3000526  0.376
2019 Pilosof S, He Q, Tiedje KE, Ruybal-Pesántez S, Day KP, Pascual M. Competition for hosts modulates vast antigenic diversity to generate persistent strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum. Plos Biology. 17: e3000336. PMID 31233490 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.3000336  0.385
2019 Alonso D, Dobson A, Pascual M. Critical transitions in malaria transmission models are consistently generated by superinfection. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 374: 20180275. PMID 31056048 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2018.0275  0.414
2018 Romeo-Aznar V, Paul R, Telle O, Pascual M. Mosquito-borne transmission in urban landscapes: the missing link between vector abundance and human density. Proceedings. Biological Sciences. 285. PMID 30111594 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2018.0826  0.414
2018 He Q, Pilosof S, Tiedje KE, Ruybal-Pesántez S, Artzy-Randrup Y, Baskerville EB, Day KP, Pascual M. Networks of genetic similarity reveal non-neutral processes shape strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum. Nature Communications. 9: 1817. PMID 29739937 DOI: 10.1038/S41467-018-04219-3  0.369
2018 Rorick MM, Artzy-Randrup Y, Ruybal-Pesántez S, Tiedje KE, Rask TS, Oduro A, Ghansah A, Koram K, Day KP, Pascual M. Signatures of competition and strain structure within the major blood-stage antigen of in a local community in Ghana. Ecology and Evolution. 8: 3574-3588. PMID 29686839 DOI: 10.1002/Ece3.3803  0.347
2018 Du X, Pascual M. Incidence Prediction for the 2017-2018 Influenza Season in the United States with an Evolution-informed Model. Plos Currents. 10. PMID 29588875 DOI: 10.1371/Currents.Outbreaks.6F03B36587Ae74B11353C1127Cbe7D0E  0.312
2017 Michalska-Smith MJ, Sander EL, Pascual M, Allesina S. Understanding the role of parasites in food webs using the group model. The Journal of Animal Ecology. PMID 29119557 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12782  0.341
2017 Perez-Saez J, King AA, Rinaldo A, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Pascual M. Climate-driven endemic cholera is modulated by human mobility in a megacity. Advances in Water Resources. 108: 367-376. PMID 29081572 DOI: 10.1016/J.Advwatres.2016.11.013  0.625
2017 Du X, King AA, Woods RJ, Pascual M. Evolution-informed forecasting of seasonal influenza A (H3N2). Science Translational Medicine. 9. PMID 29070700 DOI: 10.1126/Scitranslmed.Aan5325  0.582
2017 Baeza A, Santos-Vega M, Dobson AP, Pascual M. The rise and fall of malaria under land-use change in frontier regions. Nature Ecology & Evolution. 1: 108. PMID 28812707 DOI: 10.1038/S41559-017-0108  0.393
2017 Pilosof S, Porter MA, Pascual M, Kéfi S. The multilayer nature of ecological networks. Nature Ecology & Evolution. 1: 101. PMID 28812678 DOI: 10.1038/S41559-017-0101  0.322
2017 Tiedje KE, Oduro AR, Agongo G, Anyorigiya T, Azongo D, Awine T, Ghansah A, Pascual M, Koram KA, Day KP. Seasonal Variation in the Epidemiology of Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum Infections across Two Catchment Areas in Bongo District, Ghana. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 97: 199-212. PMID 28719306 DOI: 10.4269/Ajtmh.16-0959  0.332
2017 Day KP, Artzy-Randrup Y, Tiedje KE, Rougeron V, Chen DS, Rask TS, Rorick MM, Migot-Nabias F, Deloron P, Luty AJF, Pascual M. Evidence of strain structure in Plasmodium falciparum var gene repertoires in children from Gabon, West Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 28461509 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1613018114  0.342
2017 Martinez PP, Reiner RC, Cash BA, Rodó X, Shahjahan Mondal M, Roy M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Huq S, King AA, Pascual M. Cholera forecast for Dhaka, Bangladesh, with the 2015-2016 El Niño: Lessons learned. Plos One. 12: e0172355. PMID 28253325 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0172355  0.627
2017 Baracchini T, King AA, Bouma MJ, Rodó X, Bertuzzo E, Pascual M. Seasonality in cholera dynamics: A rainfall-driven model explains the wide range of patterns in endemic areas Advances in Water Resources. 108: 357-366. DOI: 10.1016/J.Advwatres.2016.11.012  0.648
2016 Santos-Vega M, Bouma MJ, Kohli V, Pascual M. Population Density, Climate Variables and Poverty Synergistically Structure Spatial Risk in Urban Malaria in India. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 10: e0005155. PMID 27906962 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0005155  0.389
2016 Santos-Vega M, Martinez PP, Pascual M. Climate forcing and infectious disease transmission in urban landscapes: integrating demographic and socioeconomic heterogeneity. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. PMID 27681053 DOI: 10.1111/Nyas.13229  0.413
2016 Bouma MJ, Siraj A, Rodo X, Pascual M. El Niño‐based malaria epidemic warning for Oromia, Ethiopia, from August 2016 to July 2017 Tropical Medicine & International Health. 21: 1481-1488. PMID 27580403 DOI: 10.1111/Tmi.12776  0.343
2016 Martinez PP, King AA, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Differential and enhanced response to climate forcing in diarrheal disease due to rotavirus across a megacity of the developing world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 27035949 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1518977113  0.633
2016 Golubski AJ, Westlund EE, Vandermeer J, Pascual M. Ecological Networks over the Edge: Hypergraph Trait-Mediated Indirect Interaction (TMII) Structure. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. PMID 26924738 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tree.2016.02.006  0.315
2016 Baracchini T, King AA, Bouma MJ, Rodó X, Bertuzzo E, Pascual M. [Accepted Manuscript] Seasonality in cholera dynamics: A rainfall-driven model explains the wide range of patterns in endemic areas Advances in Water Resources. DOI: 10.1016/J.Advwatres.2016.11  0.455
2015 Siraj AS, Bouma MJ, Santos-Vega M, Yeshiwondim AK, Rothman DS, Yadeta D, Sutton PC, Pascual M. Temperature and population density determine reservoir regions of seasonal persistence in highland malaria. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 282. PMID 26631558 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2015.1383  0.459
2015 Roy M, Bouma M, Dhiman RC, Pascual M. Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability. Malaria Journal. 14: 419. PMID 26502881 DOI: 10.1186/S12936-015-0937-3  0.441
2015 Pascual M. Climate and Population Immunity in Malaria Dynamics: Harnessing Information from Endemicity Gradients. Trends in Parasitology. 31: 532-4. PMID 26422773 DOI: 10.1016/J.Pt.2015.08.009  0.432
2015 D'Souza K, Epureanu BI, Pascual M. Forecasting Bifurcations from Large Perturbation Recoveries in Feedback Ecosystems. Plos One. 10: e0137779. PMID 26356503 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0137779  0.367
2014 Zinder D, Bedford T, Baskerville EB, Woods RJ, Roy M, Pascual M. Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline. Bmc Evolutionary Biology. 14: 272. PMID 25539729 DOI: 10.1186/S12862-014-0272-2  0.419
2014 Cash BA, Rodó X, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Cholera and shigellosis: different epidemiology but similar responses to climate variability. Plos One. 9: e107223. PMID 25229494 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0107223  0.409
2014 Siraj AS, Santos-Vega M, Bouma MJ, Yadeta D, Ruiz Carrascal D, Pascual M. Altitudinal changes in malaria incidence in highlands of Ethiopia and Colombia. Science (New York, N.Y.). 343: 1154-8. PMID 24604201 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1244325  0.428
2014 Roy M, Zinck RD, Bouma MJ, Pascual M. Epidemic cholera spreads like wildfire. Scientific Reports. 4: 3710. PMID 24424273 DOI: 10.1038/Srep03710  0.443
2014 Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dhiman R, Pascual M. Malaria control under unstable dynamics: reactive vs. climate-based strategies. Acta Tropica. 129: 42-51. PMID 23567551 DOI: 10.1016/J.Actatropica.2013.04.001  0.392
2014 Artzy-Randrup Y, Pascual M. Composite temporal strategies in pathogen evolution: balancing invasion and persistence Theoretical Ecology. 7: 325-334. DOI: 10.1007/S12080-014-0221-0  0.357
2013 Rorick MM, Rask TS, Baskerville EB, Day KP, Pascual M. Homology blocks of Plasmodium falciparum var genes and clinically distinct forms of severe malaria in a local population. Bmc Microbiology. 13: 244. PMID 24192078 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2180-13-244  0.316
2013 Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dhiman RC, Baskerville EB, Ceccato P, Yadav RS, Pascual M. Long-lasting transition toward sustainable elimination of desert malaria under irrigation development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 110: 15157-62. PMID 23942131 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1305728110  0.352
2013 Roy M, Bouma MJ, Ionides EL, Dhiman RC, Pascual M. The potential elimination of Plasmodium vivax malaria by relapse treatment: insights from a transmission model and surveillance data from NW India. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 7: e1979. PMID 23326611 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0001979  0.365
2013 Zinder D, Bedford T, Gupta S, Pascual M. The roles of competition and mutation in shaping antigenic and genetic diversity in influenza. Plos Pathogens. 9: e1003104. PMID 23300455 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.1003104  0.377
2013 Cash BA, Rodó X, Ballester J, Bouma MJ, Baeza A, Dhiman R, Pascual M. Malaria epidemics and the influence of the tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoon Nature Climate Change. 3: 502-507. DOI: 10.1038/Nclimate1834  0.426
2013 Rodó X, Pascual M, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Gershunov A, Stone DA, Giorgi F, Hudson PJ, Kinter J, Rodríguez-Arias MA, Stenseth NC, Alonso D, García-Serrano J, Dobson AP. Climate change and infectious diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction? Climatic Change. 118: 625-640. DOI: 10.1007/S10584-013-0744-1  0.438
2012 Scheffer M, Carpenter SR, Lenton TM, Bascompte J, Brock W, Dakos V, van de Koppel J, van de Leemput IA, Levin SA, van Nes EH, Pascual M, Vandermeer J. Anticipating critical transitions. Science (New York, N.Y.). 338: 344-8. PMID 23087241 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1225244  0.453
2012 Reiner RC, King AA, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque AS, Pascual M. Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 109: 2033-6. PMID 22308325 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1108438109  0.667
2011 Pascual M, Roy M, Laneri K. Simple models for complex systems: exploiting the relationship between local and global densities. Theoretical Ecology. 4: 211-222. PMID 25540675 DOI: 10.1007/S12080-011-0116-2  0.406
2011 Zinck RD, Pascual M, Grimm V. Understanding shifts in wildfire regimes as emergent threshold phenomena. The American Naturalist. 178: E149-61. PMID 22089877 DOI: 10.1086/662675  0.4
2011 Bouma MJ, Baeza A, terVeen A, Pascual M. Global malaria maps and climate change: a focus on East African highlands. Trends in Parasitology. 27: 421-2. PMID 21873114 DOI: 10.1016/J.Pt.2011.07.003  0.354
2011 Bedford T, Cobey S, Pascual M. Strength and tempo of selection revealed in viral gene genealogies. Bmc Evolutionary Biology. 11: 220. PMID 21787390 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2148-11-220  0.635
2011 Baeza A, Bouma MJ, Dobson AP, Dhiman R, Srivastava HC, Pascual M. Climate forcing and desert malaria: the effect of irrigation. Malaria Journal. 10: 190. PMID 21756317 DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-10-190  0.407
2011 Bush KF, Luber G, Kotha SR, Dhaliwal RS, Kapil V, Pascual M, Brown DG, Frumkin H, Dhiman RC, Hess J, Wilson ML, Balakrishnan K, Eisenberg J, Kaur T, Rood R, et al. Impacts of climate change on public health in India: future research directions. Environmental Health Perspectives. 119: 765-70. PMID 21273162 DOI: 10.1289/Ehp.1003000  0.357
2011 Cobey S, Pascual M. Consequences of host heterogeneity, epitope immunodominance, and immune breadth for strain competition. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 270: 80-7. PMID 21093455 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2010.11.009  0.638
2011 Kéfi S, Rietkerk M, Roy M, Franc A, de Ruiter PC, Pascual M. Robust scaling in ecosystems and the meltdown of patch size distributions before extinction. Ecology Letters. 14: 29-35. PMID 21070563 DOI: 10.1111/J.1461-0248.2010.01553.X  0.34
2011 Alonso D, Bouma MJ, Pascual M. Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 278: 1661-9. PMID 21068045 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2010.2020  0.404
2011 Bhadra A, Ionides EL, Laneri K, Pascual M, Bouma M, Dhiman RC. Malaria in northwest india: Data analysis via partially observed stochastic differential equation models driven by lévy noise Journal of the American Statistical Association. 106: 440-451. DOI: 10.1198/Jasa.2011.Ap10323  0.41
2010 Warren CP, Pascual M, Lafferty KD, Kuris AM. The inverse niche model for food webs with parasites. Theoretical Ecology. 3: 285-294. PMID 25540673 DOI: 10.1007/S12080-009-0069-X  0.32
2010 Artzy-Randrup Y, Alonso D, Pascual M. Transmission intensity and drug resistance in malaria population dynamics: implications for climate change. Plos One. 5: e13588. PMID 21060886 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0013588  0.383
2010 Laneri K, Bhadra A, Ionides EL, Bouma M, Dhiman RC, Yadav RS, Pascual M. Forcing versus feedback: epidemic malaria and monsoon rains in northwest India. Plos Computational Biology. 6: e1000898. PMID 20824122 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1000898  0.472
2010 Bedford T, Cobey S, Beerli P, Pascual M. Global migration dynamics underlie evolution and persistence of human influenza A (H3N2). Plos Pathogens. 6: e1000918. PMID 20523898 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Ppat.1000918  0.657
2010 Cobey S, Pascual M, Dieckmann U. Ecological factors driving the long-term evolution of influenza's host range. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 277: 2803-10. PMID 20444714 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2010.0519  0.659
2010 Ruiz-Moreno D, Pascual M, Emch M, Yunus M. Spatial clustering in the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic cholera. Bmc Infectious Diseases. 10: 51. PMID 20205935 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-10-51  0.42
2009 Koelle K, Kamradt M, Pascual M. Understanding the dynamics of rapidly evolving pathogens through modeling the tempo of antigenic change: influenza as a case study. Epidemics. 1: 129-37. PMID 21352760 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2009.05.003  0.422
2009 Chaves LF, Kaneko A, Pascual M. Random, top-down, or bottom-up coexistence of parasites: malaria population dynamics in multi-parasitic settings. Ecology. 90: 2414-25. PMID 19769120 DOI: 10.1890/08-1022.1  0.631
2009 Allesina S, Pascual M. Googling food webs: can an eigenvector measure species' importance for coextinctions? Plos Computational Biology. 5: e1000494. PMID 19730676 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1000494  0.302
2009 Pascual M, Dobson AP, Bouma MJ. Underestimating malaria risk under variable temperatures. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 106: 13645-6. PMID 19706496 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0906909106  0.393
2009 Allesina S, Pascual M. Food web models: a plea for groups. Ecology Letters. 12: 652-62. PMID 19453619 DOI: 10.1111/J.1461-0248.2009.01321.X  0.323
2009 Allesina S, Bodini A, Pascual M. Functional links and robustness in food webs. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 364: 1701-9. PMID 19451121 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2008.0214  0.308
2009 Pascual M, Bouma MJ. Do rising temperatures matter? Ecology. 90: 906-12. PMID 19449684 DOI: 10.1890/08-0730.1  0.465
2008 King AA, Ionides EL, Pascual M, Bouma MJ. Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics. Nature. 454: 877-80. PMID 18704085 DOI: 10.1038/Nature07084  0.598
2008 Chaves LF, Kaneko A, Taleo G, Pascual M, Wilson ML. Malaria transmission pattern resilience to climatic variability is mediated by insecticide-treated nets. Malaria Journal. 7: 100. PMID 18518983 DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-7-100  0.649
2008 Lafferty KD, Allesina S, Arim M, Briggs CJ, De Leo G, Dobson AP, Dunne JA, Johnson PT, Kuris AM, Marcogliese DJ, Martinez ND, Memmott J, Marquet PA, McLaughlin JP, Mordecai EA, ... Pascual M, et al. Parasites in food webs: the ultimate missing links. Ecology Letters. 11: 533-46. PMID 18462196 DOI: 10.1111/J.1461-0248.2008.01174.X  0.311
2008 Allesina S, Alonso D, Pascual M. A general model for food web structure. Science (New York, N.Y.). 320: 658-61. PMID 18451301 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1156269  0.332
2008 Chaves LF, Cohen JM, Pascual M, Wilson ML. Social exclusion modifies climate and deforestation impacts on a vector-borne disease. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2: e176. PMID 18265876 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0000176  0.608
2008 Pascual M, Cazelles B, Bouma MJ, Chaves LF, Koelle K. Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 275: 123-32. PMID 17999952 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2007.1068  0.67
2008 Codeço CT, Lele S, Pascual M, Bouma M, Ko AI. A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong nonlinear response to environmental drivers: application to two water-borne diseases. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 5: 247-52. PMID 17698477 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2007.1135  0.417
2008 Pascual M, Chaves LF, Cash B, Rodó X, Yunus M. Predicting endemic cholera: The role of climate variability and disease dynamics Climate Research. 36: 131-140. DOI: 10.3354/Cr00730  0.655
2008 Allesina S, Pascual M. Network structure, predator - Prey modules, and stability in large food webs Theoretical Ecology. 1: 55-64. DOI: 10.1007/S12080-007-0007-8  0.318
2007 Chaves LF, Pascual M. Comparing models for early warning systems of neglected tropical diseases. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 1: e33. PMID 17989780 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pntd.0000033  0.639
2007 Chaves LF, Hernandez MJ, Dobson AP, Pascual M. Sources and sinks: revisiting the criteria for identifying reservoirs for American cutaneous leishmaniasis. Trends in Parasitology. 23: 311-6. PMID 17524806 DOI: 10.1016/J.Pt.2007.05.003  0.621
2007 Aparicio JP, Pascual M. Building epidemiological models from R0: an implicit treatment of transmission in networks. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 274: 505-12. PMID 17476770 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2006.0057  0.344
2007 Alonso D, McKane AJ, Pascual M. Stochastic amplification in epidemics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 575-82. PMID 17251128 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2006.0192  0.427
2007 Chaves LF, Pascual M. Correction: Climate Cycles and Forecasts of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis, a Nonstationary Vector-Borne Disease Plos Medicine. 4: e123. DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pmed.0040123  0.57
2007 Ruiz-Moreno D, Pascual M, Bouma M, Dobson A, Cash B. Cholera seasonality in Madras (1901-1940): Dual role for rainfall in endemic and epidemic regions Ecohealth. 4: 52-62. DOI: 10.1007/S10393-006-0079-8  0.403
2006 Koelle K, Cobey S, Grenfell B, Pascual M. Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans. Science (New York, N.Y.). 314: 1898-903. PMID 17185596 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1132745  0.64
2006 Peacor SD, Allesina S, Riolo RL, Pascual M. Phenotypic plasticity opposes species invasions by altering fitness surface. Plos Biology. 4: e372. PMID 17076585 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.0040372  0.316
2006 Koelle K, Pascual M, Yunus M. Serotype cycles in cholera dynamics. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 273: 2879-86. PMID 17015366 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2006.3668  0.389
2006 Chaves LF, Pascual M. Climate cycles and forecasts of cutaneous leishmaniasis, a nonstationary vector-borne disease. Plos Medicine. 3: e295. PMID 16903778 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pmed.0030295  0.638
2006 Pascual M, Koelle K, Dobson AP. Hyperinfectivity in cholera: a new mechanism for an old epidemiological model? Plos Medicine. 3: e280. PMID 16789802 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pmed.0030280  0.352
2006 Altizer S, Dobson A, Hosseini P, Hudson P, Pascual M, Rohani P. Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases. Ecology Letters. 9: 467-84. PMID 16623732 DOI: 10.1111/J.1461-0248.2005.00879.X  0.476
2006 Pascual M, Ahumada JA, Chaves LF, Rodó X, Bouma M. Malaria resurgence in the East African highlands: temperature trends revisited. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 103: 5829-34. PMID 16571662 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0508929103  0.64
2006 Roy M, Pascual M. On representing network heterogeneities in the incidence rate of simple epidemic models Ecological Complexity. 3: 80-90. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ecocom.2005.09.001  0.415
2005 Pascual M, Guichard F. Criticality and disturbance in spatial ecological systems. Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 20: 88-95. PMID 16701348 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tree.2004.11.012  0.643
2005 Pascual M. Computational ecology: from the complex to the simple and back. Plos Computational Biology. 1: 101-5. PMID 16110332 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.0010018  0.419
2005 Koelle K, Rodó X, Pascual M, Yunus M, Mostafa G. Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics. Nature. 436: 696-700. PMID 16079845 DOI: 10.1038/Nature03820  0.449
2005 Koelle K, Pascual M, Yunus M. Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 272: 971-7. PMID 16024354 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2004.3043  0.45
2005 Boushaba K, Pascual M. Dynamics of the 'echo' effect in a phytoplankton system with nitrogen fixation. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 67: 487-507. PMID 15820739 DOI: 10.1016/J.Bulm.2004.08.004  0.35
2005 Pascual M, Dobson A. Seasonal patterns of infectious diseases. Plos Medicine. 2: e5. PMID 15696215 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pmed.0020005  0.366
2005 Palmer MA, Bernhardt ES, Chornesky EA, Collins SL, Dobson AP, Duke CS, Gold BD, Jacobson RB, Kingsland SE, Kranz RH, Mappin MJ, Martinez ML, Micheli F, Morse JL, Pace ML, ... Pascual M, et al. Ecological science and sustainability for the 21st century Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 3: 4-11. DOI: 10.1890/1540-9295(2005)003[0004:Esasft]2.0.Co;2  0.339
2004 Coulson T, Rohani P, Pascual M. Skeletons, noise and population growth: the end of an old debate? Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 19: 359-64. PMID 16701286 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tree.2004.05.008  0.36
2004 Roy M, Pascual M, Levin SA. Competitive coexistence in a dynamic landscape. Theoretical Population Biology. 66: 341-53. PMID 15560912 DOI: 10.1016/J.Tpb.2004.06.012  0.537
2004 Koelle K, Pascual M. Disentangling extrinsic from intrinsic factors in disease dynamics: a nonlinear time series approach with an application to cholera. The American Naturalist. 163: 901-13. PMID 15266387 DOI: 10.1086/420798  0.431
2004 Palmer M, Bernhardt E, Chornesky E, Collins S, Dobson A, Duke C, Gold B, Jacobson R, Kingsland S, Kranz R, Mappin M, Martinez ML, Micheli F, Morse J, Pace M, ... Pascual M, et al. Ecology. Ecology for a crowded planet. Science (New York, N.Y.). 304: 1251-2. PMID 15166349 DOI: 10.1126/Science.1095780  0.336
2004 Harvell D, Aronson R, Baron N, Connell J, Dobson A, Ellner S, Gerber L, Kim K, Kuris A, McCallum H, Lafferty K, McKay B, Porter J, Pascual M, Smith G, et al. The rising tide of ocean diseases: unsolved problems and research priorities Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 2: 375-382. DOI: 10.1890/1540-9295(2004)002[0375:Trtood]2.0.Co;2  0.557
2003 Pascual M, Mazzega P. Quasicycles revisited: apparent sensitivity to initial conditions. Theoretical Population Biology. 64: 385-95. PMID 14522177 DOI: 10.1016/S0040-5809(03)00086-8  0.398
2003 Roy M, Pascual M, Franc A. Broad scaling region in a spatial ecological system Complexity. 8: 19-27. DOI: 10.1002/Cplx.10096  0.34
2002 Rodo X, Pascual M, Fuchs G, Faruque AS. ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 99: 12901-6. PMID 12228724 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.182203999  0.402
2002 Pascual M, Roy M, Guichard F, Flierl G. Cluster size distributions: signatures of self-organization in spatial ecologies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 357: 657-66. PMID 12079527 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2001.0983  0.605
2002 Pascual M, Bouma MJ, Dobson AP. Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitative evidence. Microbes and Infection / Institut Pasteur. 4: 237-45. PMID 11880057 DOI: 10.1016/S1286-4579(01)01533-7  0.442
2002 Pascual M, Roy M, Franc A. Simple temporal models for ecological systems with complex spatial patterns Ecology Letters. 5: 412-419. DOI: 10.1046/J.1461-0248.2002.00334.X  0.39
2001 Pascual M, Mazzega P, Levin SA. OSCILLATORY DYNAMICS AND SPATIAL SCALE: THE ROLE OF NOISE AND UNRESOLVED PATTERN Ecology. 82: 2357-2369. DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(2001)082[2357:Odasst]2.0.Co;2  0.558
2001 Bouma MJ, Pascual M. Seasonal and interannual cycles of endemic cholera in Bengal 1891-1940 in relation to climate and geography Hydrobiologia. 460: 147-156. DOI: 10.1023/A:1013165215074  0.365
2000 Pascual M, Rodó X, Ellner SP, Colwell R, Bouma MJ. Cholera dynamics and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Science. 289: 1766-1769. PMID 10976073 DOI: 10.1126/Science.289.5485.1766  0.587
2000 Pascual M, Ellner SP. Linking ecological patterns to environmental forcing via nonlinear time series models Ecology. 81: 2767-2780. DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(2000)081[2767:Leptef]2.0.Co;2  0.583
1999 Pascual M, Levin SA. Spatial scaling in a benthic population model with density-dependent disturbance. Theoretical Population Biology. 56: 106-22. PMID 10438672 DOI: 10.1006/Tpbi.1999.1417  0.55
1999 Pascual M, Levin SA. FROM INDIVIDUALS TO POPULATION DENSITIES: SEARCHING FOR THE INTERMEDIATE SCALE OF NONTRIVIAL DETERMINISM Ecology. 80: 2225-2236. DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(1999)080[2225:Fitpds]2.0.Co;2  0.548
1997 Pascual M, Caswell H. From the cell cycle to population cycles in phytoplankton-nutrient interactions Ecology. 78: 897-912. DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(1997)078[0897:Ftcctp]2.0.Co;2  0.351
1997 Pascual M, Caswell H. Environmental heterogeneity and biological pattern in a chaotic predator-prey system Journal of Theoretical Biology. 185: 1-13. DOI: 10.1006/Jtbi.1996.0272  0.344
1996 Kareiva P, Parker IM, Pascual M. Can we use experiments and models in predicting the invasiveness of genetically engineered organisms? Ecology. 77: 1670-1675. DOI: 10.2307/2265771  0.435
1996 Little S, Ellner S, Pascual M, Neubert M, Kaplan D, Sauer T, Caswell H, Solow A. Detecting nonlinear dynamics in spatio-temporal systems, examples from ecological models Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 96: 321-333. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2789(96)00030-9  0.502
1996 Little S, Ellner S, Pascual M, Neubert M, Kaplan D, Sauer T, Caswell H, Solow A. Detecting nonlinear dynamics in spatio-temporal systems, examples from ecological models Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 96: 321-333. DOI: 10.1016/0167-2789(96)00030-9  0.573
1995 Pascual M, Ascioti FA, Caswell H. Intermittency in the plankton: a multifractal analysis of zooplankton biomass variability Journal of Plankton Research. 17: 1209-1232. DOI: 10.1093/Plankt/17.6.1209  0.326
1994 Pascual M. Periodic response to periodic forcing of the Droop equations for phytoplankton growth Journal of Mathematical Biology. 32: 743-759. DOI: 10.1007/Bf00168795  0.369
1993 Pascual M. Diffusion-induced chaos in a spatial predator-prey system Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 251: 1-7. DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.1993.0001  0.338
1991 Pascual M, Caswell H. The dynamics of a size-classified benthic population with reproductive subsidy Theoretical Population Biology. 39: 129-147. DOI: 10.1016/0040-5809(91)90032-B  0.369
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