Philip E. Tetlock, Ph.D.

2010- Psychology University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
 2010- Management University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
integrative complexity, wisdom of crowds, prediction
"Philip Tetlock"


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Jennifer L. Lerner grad student UC Berkeley (Neurotree)
Linda J. Skitka grad student Penn (Neurotree)
Carmit T. Tadmor grad student 2006 UC Berkeley
Shefali V. Patil grad student 2014 Penn
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Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Scoblic JP. (2017) Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments. Science (New York, N.Y.). 355: 481-483
Patil SV, Tetlock PE, Mellers BA. (2016) Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
McGraw AP, Davis DF, Scott SE, et al. (2016) The price of not putting a price on love Judgment and Decision Making. 11: 40-47
Self WT, Mitchell G, Mellers BA, et al. (2015) Balancing Fairness and Efficiency: The Impact of Identity-Blind and Identity-Conscious Accountability on Applicant Screening. Plos One. 10: e0145208
Dhami MK, Mandel DR, Mellers BA, et al. (2015) Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science. Perspectives On Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association For Psychological Science. 10: 753-7
Mellers B, Stone E, Murray T, et al. (2015) Identifying and cultivating superforecasters as a method of improving probabilistic predictions. Perspectives On Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association For Psychological Science. 10: 267-81
Mellers B, Stone E, Atanasov P, et al. (2015) The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Applied. 21: 1-14
Fincher KM, Tetlock PE. (2015) Brutality Under Cover of Ambiguity: Activating, Perpetuating, and Deactivating Covert Retributivism Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 41: 629-642
Oswald FL, Mitchell G, Blanton H, et al. (2015) Using the IAT to predict ethnic and racial discrimination: Small effect sizes of unknown societal significance Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 108: 562-571
Blanton H, Jaccard J, Strauts E, et al. (2015) Toward a Meaningful Metric of Implicit Prejudice Journal of Applied Psychology
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