Paul Windschitl, Ph.D. - Publications

Affiliations: 
University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 

43 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2024 Strueder JD, Miller JE, Yu X, Windschitl PD. Eliciting Risk Perceptions: Does Conditional Question Wording Have a Downside? Medical Decision Making : An International Journal of the Society For Medical Decision Making. 272989X231223491. PMID 38235561 DOI: 10.1177/0272989X231223491  0.577
2023 Stuart JO, Windschitl PD, Bossard E, Bruchmann K, Smith AR, Rose JP, Suls J. Which measures of perceived vulnerability predict protective intentions-and when? Journal of Behavioral Medicine. PMID 37558773 DOI: 10.1007/s10865-023-00439-1  0.568
2022 Park I, Windschitl PD, Miller JE, Smith AR, Stuart JO, Biangmano M. People express more bias in their predictions than in their likelihood judgments. Journal of Experimental Psychology. General. PMID 36048058 DOI: 10.1037/xge0001258  0.672
2022 Windschitl PD, Miller JE, Park I, Rule S, Clary A, Smith AR. The desirability bias in predictions under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Cognition. 229: 105254. PMID 36029552 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105254  0.644
2021 Miller JE, Park I, Smith AR, Windschitl PD. Do People Prescribe Optimism, Overoptimism, or Neither? Psychological Science. 9567976211004545. PMID 34473591 DOI: 10.1177/09567976211004545  0.647
2021 Park I, Windschitl PD, Smith AR, Rule S, Scherer AM, Stuart JO. Context dependency in risky decision making: Is there a description-experience gap? Plos One. 16: e0245969. PMID 33571207 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0245969  0.522
2019 Miller JE, Windschitl PD, Treat TA, Scherer AM. Unhealthy and unaware? Misjudging social comparative standing for health-relevant behavior Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 85: 103873. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jesp.2019.103873  0.666
2017 Windschitl PD, Smith AR, Scherer AM, Suls J. Risk it? Direct and collateral impacts of peers' verbal expressions about hazard likelihoods Thinking & Reasoning. 23: 259-291. DOI: 10.1080/13546783.2017.1307785  0.533
2016 Scherer AM, Bruchmann K, Windschitl PD, Rose JP, Smith AR, Koestner B, Snetselaar L, Suls J. Sources of Bias in Peoples' Social-Comparative Estimates of Food Consumption. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Applied. PMID 27054551 DOI: 10.1037/Xap0000081  0.624
2015 Scherer AM, Windschitl PD, Graham J. An Ideological House of Mirrors: Political Stereotypes as Exaggerations of Motivated Social Cognition Differences Social Psychological and Personality Science. 6: 201-209. DOI: 10.1177/1948550614549385  0.504
2015 Stuart JOR, Windschitl PD, Smith AR, Scherer AM. Behaving Optimistically: How the (Un)Desirability of an Outcome Can Bias People's Preparations for It Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. DOI: 10.1002/Bdm.1918  0.578
2013 Suls J, Rose JP, Windschitl PD, Smith AR. Optimism following a tornado disaster. Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin. 39: 691-702. PMID 23456561 DOI: 10.1177/0146167213477457  0.516
2013 Bruchmann K, Suls J, Lee S, Rose JP, Krizan Z, Windschitl PD. Searching for the Limits and Explanations of the Nonselective Superiority Bias Social Psychological and Personality Science. 4: 124-130. DOI: 10.1177/1948550612443387  0.687
2013 Windschitl PD, Bruchmann K, Scherer AM, McEvoy S. Egocentrism in Judging the Effectiveness of Treatments Basic and Applied Social Psychology. 35: 325-333. DOI: 10.1080/01973533.2013.785405  0.411
2013 Windschitl PD, Scherer AM, Smith AR, Rose JP. Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 120: 73-86. DOI: 10.1016/J.Obhdp.2012.10.002  0.684
2013 Scherer AM, Windschitl PD, Smith AR. Hope to be right: Biased information seeking following arbitrary and informed predictions Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 49: 106-112. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jesp.2012.07.012  0.544
2012 Scherer AM, Windschitl PD, O'Rourke J, Smith AR. Hoping for more: the influence of outcome desirability on information seeking and predictions about relative quantities. Cognition. 125: 113-7. PMID 22832177 DOI: 10.1016/J.Cognition.2012.06.013  0.544
2012 Rose JP, Windschitl PD, Smith AR. Debiasing egocentrism and optimism biases in repeated competitions Judgment and Decision Making. 7: 761-767.  0.48
2011 Rose JP, Suls J, Windschitl PD. When and why people are comparatively optimistic about future health risks: The role of direct and indirect comparison measures. Psychology, Health & Medicine. 16: 475-83. PMID 21749244 DOI: 10.1080/13548506.2011.555772  0.524
2011 Rose JP, Windschitl PD, Jenson ME. The joint influence of consensus information and situational information on trait inferences for targets and populations Social Cognition. 29: 147-165. DOI: 10.1521/Soco.2011.29.2.147  0.736
2010 Windschitl PD, Smith AR, Rose JP, Krizan Z. The desirability bias in predictions: Going optimistic without leaving realism Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 111: 33-47. DOI: 10.1016/J.Obhdp.2009.08.003  0.739
2009 Chambers JR, Windschitl PD. Evaluating one performance among others: the influence of rank and degree of exposure to comparison referents. Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin. 35: 776-92. PMID 19307433 DOI: 10.1177/0146167209333044  0.542
2009 Krizan Z, Windschitl PD. Wishful Thinking about the Future: Does Desire Impact Optimism? Social and Personality Psychology Compass. 3: 227-243. DOI: 10.1111/J.1751-9004.2009.00169.X  0.658
2008 Windschitl PD, Rose JP, Stalkfleet MT, Smith AR. Are people excessive or judicious in their egocentrism? A modeling approach to understanding bias and accuracy in people's optimism. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 95: 253-73. PMID 18665701 DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.95.2.253  0.599
2008 Rose JP, Endo Y, Windschitl PD, Suls J. Cultural differences in unrealistic optimism and pessimism: the role of egocentrism and direct versus indirect comparison measures. Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin. 34: 1236-48. PMID 18587057 DOI: 10.1177/0146167208319764  0.523
2008 Chambers JR, Epley N, Savitsky K, Windschitl PD. Knowing too much: using private knowledge to predict how one is viewed by others. Psychological Science. 19: 542-8. PMID 18578843 DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-9280.2008.02121.X  0.561
2008 Windschitl PD, Conybeare D, Krizan Z. Direct-comparison judgments: when and why above- and below-average effects reverse. Journal of Experimental Psychology. General. 137: 182-200. PMID 18248136 DOI: 10.1037/0096-3445.137.1.182  0.626
2008 Rose JP, Windschitl PD. How egocentrism and optimism change in response to feedback in repeated competitions Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 105: 201-220. DOI: 10.1016/J.Obhdp.2007.08.003  0.546
2008 Kruger J, Windschitl PD, Burrus J, Fessel F, Chambers JR. The rational side of egocentrism in social comparisons Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 44: 220-232. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jesp.2007.04.001  0.537
2007 Krizan Z, Windschitl PD. The influence of outcome desirability on optimism. Psychological Bulletin. 133: 95-121. PMID 17201572 DOI: 10.1037/0033-2909.133.1.95  0.646
2007 Krizan Z, Windschitl PD. Team allegiance can lead to both optimistic and pessimistic predictions Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 43: 327-333. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jesp.2006.02.011  0.659
2005 Windschitl PD, Krizan Z. Contingent approaches to making likelihood judgments about polychotomous cases: The influence of task factors Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. 18: 281-303. DOI: 10.1002/Bdm.505  0.627
2004 Chambers JR, Windschitl PD. Biases in social comparative judgments: the role of nonmotivated factors in above-average and comparative-optimism effects. Psychological Bulletin. 130: 813-38. PMID 15367082 DOI: 10.1037/0033-2909.130.5.813  0.56
2004 Windschitl PD, Chambers JR. The dud-alternative effect in likelihood judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory, and Cognition. 30: 198-215. PMID 14736307 DOI: 10.1037/0278-7393.30.1.198  0.555
2003 Chambers JR, Windschitl PD, Suls J. Egocentrism, event frequency, and comparative optimism: when what happens frequently is "more likely to happen to me". Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin. 29: 1343-56. PMID 15189574 DOI: 10.1177/0146167203256870  0.554
2003 Windschitl PD, Kruger J, Simms EN. The influence of egocentrism and focalism on people's optimism in competitions: when what affects us equally affects me more. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 85: 389-408. PMID 14498778 DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.85.3.389  0.315
2002 Windschitl PD, Young ME, Jenson ME. Likelihood judgment based on previously observed outcomes: the alternative-outcomes effect in a learning paradigm. Memory & Cognition. 30: 469-77. PMID 12061767 DOI: 10.3758/Bf03194947  0.711
2000 Windschitl PD. The Binary Additivity of Subjective Probability Does not Indicate the Binary Complementarity of Perceived Certainty. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 81: 195-225. PMID 10706814 DOI: 10.1006/obhd.1999.2876  0.321
1999 Wells GL, Windschitl PD. Stimulus sampling and social psychological experimentation Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 25: 1115-1125.  0.414
1996 Windschitl PD, Wells GL. Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 19: 40-41. DOI: 10.1017/s0140525x00041443  0.459
1996 Windschitl PD, Wells GL. Measuring Psychological Uncertainty: Verbal Versus Numeric Methods Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied. 2: 343-364.  0.421
1994 Wells GL, Luus CE, Windschitl PD. Maximizing the Utility of Eyewitness Identification Evidence Current Directions in Psychological Science. 3: 194-198. DOI: 10.1111/1467-8721.ep10770833  0.421
1993 Wells GL, Windschitl PD. What's in a Question? Contemporary Psychology: a Journal of Reviews. 38: 383-385. DOI: 10.1037/033227  0.416
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