Year |
Citation |
Score |
2021 |
Risbey JS, Squire DT, Black AS, DelSole T, Lepore C, Matear RJ, Monselesan DP, Moore TS, Richardson D, Schepen A, Tippett MK, Tozer CR. Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading. Nature Communications. 12: 4346. PMID 34272363 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z |
0.33 |
|
2020 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Comparing climate time series – Part 1: Univariate test Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography. 6: 159-175. DOI: 10.5194/ascmo-6-159-2020 |
0.359 |
|
2020 |
Smith DM, Eade R, Scaife AA, Caron L, Danabasoglu G, DelSole TM, Delworth T, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Dunstone NJ, Hermanson L, Kharin V, Kimoto M, Merryfield WJ, Mochizuki T, Müller WA, et al. Author Correction: Robust skill of decadal climate predictions Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 3. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-0118-0 |
0.312 |
|
2020 |
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK. Comparing Methods of Uncertainty Estimation in Optimal Fingerprinting Geophysical Research Letters. 47. DOI: 10.1029/2020Gl088060 |
0.324 |
|
2019 |
Tippett MK, Ranganathan M, L'Heureux M, Barnston AG, DelSole T. Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble. Climate Dynamics. 53: 7497-7518. PMID 31929688 DOI: 10.1007/S00382-017-3721-Y |
0.473 |
|
2019 |
Buckley MW, DelSole T, Lozier MS, Li L. Predictability of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature and Upper-Ocean Heat Content Journal of Climate. 32: 3005-3023. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-18-0509.1 |
0.444 |
|
2019 |
Pegion K, Kirtman BP, Becker E, Collins DC, LaJoie E, Burgman R, Bell R, DelSole T, Min D, Zhu Y, Li W, Sinsky E, Guan H, Gottschalck J, Metzger EJ, et al. The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 100: 2043-2060. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-18-0270.1 |
0.503 |
|
2019 |
Smith DM, Eade R, Scaife AA, Caron L, Danabasoglu G, DelSole TM, Delworth T, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Dunstone NJ, Hermanson L, Kharin V, Kimoto M, Merryfield WJ, Mochizuki T, Müller WA, et al. Robust skill of decadal climate predictions Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. 2. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y |
0.431 |
|
2019 |
DelSole T, Trenary L, Yan X, Tippett MK. Confidence intervals in optimal fingerprinting Climate Dynamics. 52: 4111-4126. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-018-4356-3 |
0.424 |
|
2019 |
Pegion K, DelSole T, Becker E, Cicerone T. Assessing the fidelity of predictability estimates Climate Dynamics. 53: 7251-7265. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-017-3903-7 |
0.498 |
|
2018 |
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK, Pegion K. Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 10: 1074-1086. PMID 29937973 DOI: 10.1002/2017Ms001204 |
0.403 |
|
2018 |
Bombardi RJ, Trenary L, Pegion K, Cash B, DelSole T, Kinter JL. Seasonal Predictability of Summer Rainfall over South America Journal of Climate. 31: 8181-8195. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-18-0191.1 |
0.429 |
|
2018 |
Tippett MK, Trenary L, DelSole T, Pegion K, L’Heureux ML. Sources of Bias in the Monthly CFSv2 Forecast Climatology Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. 57: 1111-1122. DOI: 10.1175/Jamc-D-17-0299.1 |
0.464 |
|
2018 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Predictability in a changing climate Climate Dynamics. 51: 531-545. DOI: 10.1007/S00382-017-3939-8 |
0.494 |
|
2017 |
DelSole T, Trenary L, Tippett MK. The Weighted-Average Lagged Ensemble. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 9: 2739-2752. PMID 29399270 DOI: 10.1002/2017Ms001128 |
0.341 |
|
2017 |
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK, Pegion K. A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 9: 291-306. PMID 28580050 DOI: 10.1002/2016Ms000838 |
0.424 |
|
2017 |
Srivastava A, DelSole T. Decadal predictability without ocean dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 28193900 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1614085114 |
0.486 |
|
2017 |
DelSole T, Trenary L, Tippett MK, Pegion K. Predictability of Week-3–4 Average Temperature and Precipitation over the Contiguous United States Journal of Climate. 30: 3499-3512. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-16-0567.1 |
0.517 |
|
2017 |
DelSole T, Banerjee A. Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression Journal of Climate. 30: 1345-1361. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-16-0249.1 |
0.511 |
|
2017 |
DelSole T. Decadal Prediction of Temperature: Achievements and Future Prospects Current Climate Change Reports. 3: 99-111. DOI: 10.1007/s40641-017-0066-x |
0.308 |
|
2016 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Forecast Comparison Based on Random Walks Monthly Weather Review. 144: 615-626. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-15-0218.1 |
0.423 |
|
2016 |
Trenary L, DelSole T. Does the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Get Its Predictability from the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Journal of Climate. 29: 5267-5280. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-16-0030.1 |
0.524 |
|
2016 |
LaJoie E, DelSole T. Changes in Internal Variability due to Anthropogenic Forcing: A New Field Significance Test Journal of Climate. 29: 5547-5560. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0718.1 |
0.433 |
|
2016 |
Yan X, DelSole T, Tippett MK. What Surface Observations Are Important for Separating the Influences of Anthropogenic Aerosols from Other Forcings Journal of Climate. 29: 4165-4184. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0667.1 |
0.376 |
|
2016 |
DelSole T, Yan X, Tippett MK. Inferring Aerosol Cooling from Hydrological Sensitivity Journal of Climate. 29: 6167-6178. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0364.1 |
0.462 |
|
2016 |
Trenary L, DelSole T, Tippett MK, Doty B. Extreme Eastern U.S. Winter of 2015 Not Symptomatic of Climate Change Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 97. DOI: 10.1175/Bams-D-16-0156.1 |
0.311 |
|
2015 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Laplacian Eigenfunctions for Climate Analysis Journal of Climate. 28: 7420-7436. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-15-0049.1 |
0.347 |
|
2014 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Comparing Forecast Skill Monthly Weather Review. 142: 4658-4678. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-14-00045.1 |
0.385 |
|
2014 |
Srivastava AK, DelSole T. Robust Forced Response in South Asian Summer Monsoon in a Future Climate Journal of Climate. 27: 7849-7860. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00599.1 |
0.421 |
|
2014 |
Tippett MK, DelSole T, Barnston AG. Reliability of Regression-Corrected Climate Forecasts Journal of Climate. 27: 3393-3404. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00565.1 |
0.458 |
|
2014 |
Feng X, DelSole T, Houser P. Comparison of Seasonal Potential Predictability of Precipitation Journal of Climate. 27: 4094-4110. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00489.1 |
0.643 |
|
2014 |
Jia L, DelSole T, Tippett MK. Can Optimal Projection Improve Dynamical Model Forecasts Journal of Climate. 27: 2643-2655. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00232.1 |
0.657 |
|
2014 |
DelSole T, Yan X, Dirmeyer PA, Fennessy M, Altshuler E. Changes in Seasonal Predictability due to Global Warming Journal of Climate. 27: 300-311. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00026.1 |
0.515 |
|
2014 |
Kumar S, Dirmeyer PA, Lawrence DM, Delsole T, Altshuler EL, Cash BA, Fennessy MJ, Guo Z, Kinter JL, Straus DM. Effects of realistic land surface initializations on subseasonal to seasonal soil moisture and temperature predictability in North America and in changing climate simulated by CCSM4 Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 119: 13250-13270. DOI: 10.1002/2014Jd022110 |
0.52 |
|
2014 |
DelSole T, Nattala J, Tippett MK. Skill improvement from increased ensemble size and model diversity Geophysical Research Letters. 41: 7331-7342. DOI: 10.1002/2014Gl060133 |
0.414 |
|
2013 |
Tippett MK, DelSole T. Constructed Analogs and Linear Regression Monthly Weather Review. 141: 2519-2525. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-12-00223.1 |
0.356 |
|
2013 |
DelSole T, Feng X. The “Shukla–Gutzler” Method for Estimating Potential Seasonal Predictability Monthly Weather Review. 141: 822-831. DOI: 10.1175/Mwr-D-12-00007.1 |
0.586 |
|
2013 |
DelSole T, Jia L, Tippett MK. Scale-Selective Ridge Regression for Multimodel Forecasting Journal of Climate. 26: 7957-7965. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00030.1 |
0.693 |
|
2013 |
Dirmeyer PA, Kumar S, Fennessy MJ, Altshuler EL, Delsole T, Guo Z, Cash BA, Straus D. Model estimates of land-driven predictability in a changing climate from CCSM4 Journal of Climate. 26: 8495-8512. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00029.1 |
0.526 |
|
2013 |
Yang X, Rosati A, Zhang S, Delworth TL, Gudgel RG, Zhang R, Vecchi G, Anderson W, Chang Ys, Delsole T, Dixon K, Msadek R, Stern WF, Wittenberg A, Zeng F. A predictable AMO-like pattern in the GFDL fully coupled ensemble initialization and decadal forecasting system Journal of Climate. 26: 650-661. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-12-00231.1 |
0.519 |
|
2013 |
DelSole T, Yang X, Tippett MK. Is unequal weighting significantly better than equal weighting for multi-model forecasting? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 139: 176-183. DOI: 10.1002/Qj.1961 |
0.358 |
|
2013 |
Feng X, DelSole T, Houser P. Comparison of statistical estimates of potential seasonal predictability Journal of Geophysical Research. 118: 6002-6016. DOI: 10.1002/Jgrd.50498 |
0.646 |
|
2013 |
Kumar S, Dirmeyer PA, Merwade V, Delsole T, Adams JM, Niyogi D. Land use/cover change impacts in CMIP5 climate simulations: A new methodology and 21st century challenges Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 118: 6337-6353. DOI: 10.1002/Jgrd.50463 |
0.399 |
|
2013 |
DelSole T, Kumar A, Jha B. Potential seasonal predictability: Comparison between empirical and dynamical model estimates Geophysical Research Letters. 40: 3200-3206. DOI: 10.1002/Grl.50581 |
0.546 |
|
2013 |
DelSole T, Jia L, Tippett MK. Decadal prediction of observed and simulated sea surface temperatures Geophysical Research Letters. 40: 2773-2778. DOI: 10.1002/Grl.50185 |
0.726 |
|
2012 |
Yilmaz MT, Delsole T. Reducing water imbalance in land data assimilation: Ensemble filtering without perturbed observations Journal of Hydrometeorology. 13: 413-420. DOI: 10.1175/Jhm-D-11-010.1 |
0.308 |
|
2012 |
Guo Z, Dirmeyer PA, Delsole T, Koster RD. Rebound in atmospheric predictability and the role of the land surface Journal of Climate. 25: 4744-4749. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-11-00651.1 |
0.456 |
|
2012 |
Jia L, DelSole T. Optimal Determination of Time-Varying Climate Change Signals Journal of Climate. 25: 7122-7137. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-11-00434.1 |
0.682 |
|
2012 |
Feng X, Delsole T, Houser P. A Method for Estimating Potential Seasonal Predictability: Analysis of Covariance Journal of Climate. 25: 5292-5308. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-11-00342.1 |
0.669 |
|
2012 |
Yang X, DelSole T. Systematic Comparison of ENSO Teleconnection Patterns between Models and Observations Journal of Climate. 25: 425-446. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli-D-11-00175.1 |
0.501 |
|
2012 |
Jia L, DelSole T. Multi-year predictability of temperature and precipitation in multiple climate models Geophysical Research Letters. 39. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl052778 |
0.724 |
|
2012 |
Delsole T, Shukla J. Climate models produce skillful predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall Geophysical Research Letters. 39. DOI: 10.1029/2012Gl051279 |
0.552 |
|
2011 |
Dirmeyer PA, DelSole T, Zhao M. Limits to the Impact of Empirical Correction on Simulation of the Water Cycle Journal of Hydrometeorology. 12: 650-662. DOI: 10.1175/2011Jhm1348.1 |
0.392 |
|
2011 |
Jia L, DelSole T. Diagnosis of Multiyear Predictability on Continental Scales Journal of Climate. 24: 5108-5124. DOI: 10.1175/2011Jcli4098.1 |
0.714 |
|
2011 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK, Shukla J. A Significant Component of Unforced Multidecadal Variability in the Recent Acceleration of Global Warming Journal of Climate. 24: 909-926. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jcli3659.1 |
0.43 |
|
2011 |
Guo Z, Dirmeyer PA, DelSole T. Land surface impacts on subseasonal and seasonal predictability Geophysical Research Letters. 38. DOI: 10.1029/2011Gl049945 |
0.463 |
|
2011 |
Feng X, DelSole T, Houser P. Bootstrap estimated seasonal potential predictability of global temperature and precipitation Geophysical Research Letters. 38. DOI: 10.1029/2010Gl046511 |
0.651 |
|
2010 |
Delsole T, Shukla J. Model fidelity versus skill in seasonal forecasting Journal of Climate. 23: 4794-4806. DOI: 10.1175/2010Jcli3164.1 |
0.408 |
|
2010 |
Tippett MK, Barnston AG, DelSole T. Comments on “Finite Samples and Uncertainty Estimates for Skill Measures for Seasonal Prediction” Monthly Weather Review. 138: 1487-1493. DOI: 10.1175/2009Mwr3214.1 |
0.45 |
|
2010 |
Yilmaz MT, DelSole T. Predictability of seasonal precipitation using joint probabilities Journal of Hydrometeorology. 11: 533-541. DOI: 10.1175/2009Jhm1187.1 |
0.488 |
|
2010 |
DelSole T, Yang X. State and parameter estimation in stochastic dynamical models Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena. 239: 1781-1788. DOI: 10.1016/J.Physd.2010.06.001 |
0.357 |
|
2009 |
DelSole T, Zhao M, Dirmeyer P. A New Method for Exploring Coupled Land–Atmosphere Dynamics Journal of Hydrometeorology. 10: 1040-1050. DOI: 10.1175/2009Jhm1071.1 |
0.413 |
|
2009 |
Narapusetty B, Delsole T, Tippett MK. Optimal estimation of the climatological mean Journal of Climate. 22: 4845-4859. DOI: 10.1175/2009Jcli2944.1 |
0.455 |
|
2009 |
DelSole T, Shukla J. Artificial skill due to predictor screening Journal of Climate. 22: 331-345. DOI: 10.1175/2008Jcli2414.1 |
0.476 |
|
2009 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Average Predictability Time. Part II: Seamless Diagnoses of Predictability on Multiple Time Scales Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 66: 1188-1204. DOI: 10.1175/2008Jas2869.1 |
0.484 |
|
2009 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Average Predictability Time. Part I: Theory Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 66: 1172-1187. DOI: 10.1175/2008Jas2868.1 |
0.449 |
|
2009 |
Dirmeyer PA, Brubaker KL, DelSole T. Import and export of atmospheric water vapor between nations Journal of Hydrology. 365: 11-22. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jhydrol.2008.11.016 |
0.34 |
|
2008 |
Yang X, DelSole T, Pan H. Empirical Correction of the NCEP Global Forecast System Monthly Weather Review. 136: 5224-5233. DOI: 10.1175/2008Mwr2527.1 |
0.412 |
|
2008 |
DelSole T, Zhao M, Dirmeyer PA, Kirtman BP. Empirical correction of a Coupled Land-Atmosphere Model Monthly Weather Review. 136: 4063-4076. DOI: 10.1175/2008Mwr2344.1 |
0.407 |
|
2008 |
Tippett MK, DelSole T, Mason SJ, Barnston AG. Regression-based methods for finding coupled patterns Journal of Climate. 21: 4384-4398. DOI: 10.1175/2008Jcli2150.1 |
0.458 |
|
2008 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Predictable Components and Singular Vectors Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 65: 1666-1678. DOI: 10.1175/2007Jas2401.1 |
0.414 |
|
2008 |
Yang X, Delsole T. Using the ensemble Kalman filter to estimate multiplicative model parameters Tellus A. 61: 601-609. DOI: 10.1111/J.1600-0870.2009.00407.X |
0.362 |
|
2007 |
Vikhliaev Y, Schopf P, Delsole T, Kirtman B. Finding multiple basin modes in a linear ocean model Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology. 24: 1033-1049. DOI: 10.1175/Jtech2020.1 |
0.31 |
|
2007 |
DelSole T. A Bayesian Framework for Multimodel Regression Journal of Climate. 20: 2810-2826. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli4179.1 |
0.441 |
|
2007 |
DelSole T, Tippett MK. Predictability: Recent insights from information theory Reviews of Geophysics. 45. DOI: 10.1029/2006Rg000202 |
0.493 |
|
2006 |
DelSole T. Low-Frequency Variations of Surface Temperature in Observations and Simulations Journal of Climate. 19: 4487-4507. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3879.1 |
0.389 |
|
2006 |
DelSole T, Shukla J. Specification of wintertime North American surface temperature Journal of Climate. 19: 2691-2716. DOI: 10.1175/Jcli3704.1 |
0.49 |
|
2006 |
Shukla J, DelSole T, Fennessy M, Kinter J, Paolino D. Climate model fidelity and projections of climate change Geophysical Research Letters. 33. DOI: 10.1029/2005Gl025579 |
0.434 |
|
2005 |
DelSole T. Predictability and Information Theory. Part II: Imperfect Forecasts Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 62: 3368-3381. DOI: 10.1175/Jas3522.1 |
0.479 |
|
2004 |
DelSole T. Predictability and Information Theory. Part I: Measures of Predictability Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 61: 2425-2440. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<2425:Paitpi>2.0.Co;2 |
0.379 |
|
2004 |
Chang P, Saravanan R, DelSole T, Wang F. Predictability of Linear Coupled Systems. Part I: Theoretical Analyses Journal of Climate. 17: 1474-1486. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1474:Polcsp>2.0.Co;2 |
0.49 |
|
2004 |
Delsole T. Stochastic Models of Quasigeostrophic Turbulence Surveys in Geophysics. 25: 107-149. DOI: 10.1023/B:Geop.0000028160.75549.0D |
0.384 |
|
2003 |
DelSole T, Chang P. Predictable Component Analysis, Canonical Correlation Analysis, and Autoregressive Models Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 60: 409-416. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2003)060<0409:Pcacca>2.0.Co;2 |
0.478 |
|
2002 |
Delsole T. Entropy as a basis for comparing and blending forecasts Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 128: 2469-2496. DOI: 10.1256/Qj.01.176 |
0.503 |
|
2002 |
DelSole T, Shukla J. Linear Prediction of Indian Monsoon Rainfall Journal of Climate. 15: 3645-3658. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3645:Lpoimr>2.0.Co;2 |
0.478 |
|
2001 |
DelSole T. A Theory for the Forcing and Dissipation in Stochastic Turbulence Models Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 58: 3762-3775. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3762:Atftfa>2.0.Co;2 |
0.323 |
|
2001 |
DelSole T. A Simple Model for Transient Eddy Momentum Fluxes in the Upper Troposphere Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 58: 3019-3035. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3019:Asmfte>2.0.Co;2 |
0.352 |
|
2001 |
DelSole T. Optimally Persistent Patterns in Time-Varying Fields Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 58: 1341-1356. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<1341:Oppitv>2.0.Co;2 |
0.348 |
|
2000 |
DelSole T. A Fundamental Limitation of Markov Models Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 57: 2158-2168. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(2000)057<2158:Aflomm>2.0.Co;2 |
0.349 |
|
1999 |
DelSole T, Hou AY. Empirical Correction of a Dynamical Model. Part I: Fundamental Issues Monthly Weather Review. 127: 2533-2545. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<2533:Ecoadm>2.0.Co;2 |
0.406 |
|
1999 |
DelSole T. Stochastic Models of Shear-Flow Turbulence with Enstrophy Transfer to Subgrid Scales Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 56: 3692-3703. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1999)056<3692:Smosft>2.0.Co;2 |
0.314 |
|
1999 |
DelSole T, Hou AY. Empirical Stochastic Models for the Dominant Climate Statistics of a General Circulation Model Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 56: 3436-3456. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1999)056<3436:Esmftd>2.0.Co;2 |
0.428 |
|
1996 |
Delsole T, Farrell BF. The quasi-linear equilibration of a thermally maintained, stochastically excited jet in a quasigeostrophic model Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 53: 1781-1797. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<1781:Tqleoa>2.0.Co;2 |
0.346 |
|
1996 |
DelSole T. Can Quasigeostrophic Turbulence Be Modeled Stochastically Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 53: 1617-1633. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<1617:Cqtbms>2.0.Co;2 |
0.347 |
|
1995 |
DelSole T, Farrell BF. A Stochastically Excited Linear System as a Model for Quasigeostrophic Turbulence:Analytic Results for One- and Two-Layer Fluids Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. 52: 2531-2547. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<2531:Aselsa>2.0.Co;2 |
0.352 |
|
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