Michael Don Ward

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"Michael Ward"
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Publications

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Minhas S, Hoff PD, Ward MD. (2019) Inferential Approaches for Network Analysis: AMEN for Latent Factor Models Political Analysis. 27: 208-222
Hollenbach FM, Bojinov I, Minhas S, et al. (2018) Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas Sociological Methods & Research. 4912411879938
Beger A, Hill DW, Metternich NW, et al. (2017) Splitting It Up: The spduration Split-Population Duration Regression Package for Time-Varying Covariates R Journal. 9: 474-486
Ward MD, Beger A. (2017) Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes Journal of Peace Research. 54: 141-156
Metternich NW, Minhas S, Ward MD. (2017) Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion Journal of Conflict Resolution. 61: 1151-1173
Minhas S, Hoff PD, Ward MD. (2016) A new approach to analyzing coevolving longitudinal networks in international relations Journal of Peace Research. 53: 491-505
Beger A, Dorff CL, Ward MD. (2016) Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models International Journal of Forecasting. 32: 98-111
Minhas S, Ulfelder J, Ward MD. (2015) Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types Research & Politics. 2: 2053168015589217
Chiba D, Metternich NW, Ward MD. (2015) Every Story Has a Beginning, Middle, and an End (But Not Always in That Order): Predicting Duration Dynamics in a Unified Framework Political Science Research and Methods. 3: 515-541
Montgomery JM, Hollenbach FM, Ward MD. (2015) Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences International Journal of Forecasting
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