Philip E. Tetlock, Ph.D. - Publications

2010- Psychology University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
 2010- Management University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
integrative complexity, wisdom of crowds, prediction

133 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2019 Mellers BA, Tetlock PE. From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science: Producing better probability estimates for policy makers. The American Psychologist. 74: 290-300. PMID 30945892 DOI: 10.1037/amp0000429  0.6
2017 Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Scoblic JP. Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments. Science (New York, N.Y.). 355: 481-483. PMID 28154049 DOI: 10.1126/science.aal3147  0.6
2016 Patil SV, Tetlock PE, Mellers BA. Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. DOI: 10.1002/bdm.1933  1
2016 McGraw AP, Davis DF, Scott SE, Tetlock PE. The price of not putting a price on love Judgment and Decision Making. 11: 40-47.  1
2015 Self WT, Mitchell G, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE, Hildreth JA. Balancing Fairness and Efficiency: The Impact of Identity-Blind and Identity-Conscious Accountability on Applicant Screening. Plos One. 10: e0145208. PMID 26660723 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0145208  0.6
2015 Dhami MK, Mandel DR, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE. Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science. Perspectives On Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association For Psychological Science. 10: 753-7. PMID 26581731 DOI: 10.1177/1745691615598511  1
2015 Mellers B, Stone E, Murray T, Minster A, Rohrbaugh N, Bishop M, Chen E, Baker J, Hou Y, Horowitz M, Ungar L, Tetlock P. Identifying and cultivating superforecasters as a method of improving probabilistic predictions. Perspectives On Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association For Psychological Science. 10: 267-81. PMID 25987508 DOI: 10.1177/1745691615577794  1
2015 Mellers B, Stone E, Atanasov P, Rohrbaugh N, Metz SE, Ungar L, Bishop MM, Horowitz M, Merkle E, Tetlock P. The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Applied. 21: 1-14. PMID 25581088 DOI: 10.1037/xap0000040  1
2015 Fincher KM, Tetlock PE. Brutality Under Cover of Ambiguity: Activating, Perpetuating, and Deactivating Covert Retributivism Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 41: 629-642. DOI: 10.1177/0146167215571090  1
2015 Oswald FL, Mitchell G, Blanton H, Jaccard J, Tetlock PE. Using the IAT to predict ethnic and racial discrimination: Small effect sizes of unknown societal significance Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 108: 562-571. DOI: 10.1037/pspa0000023  1
2015 Blanton H, Jaccard J, Strauts E, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Toward a Meaningful Metric of Implicit Prejudice Journal of Applied Psychology. DOI: 10.1037/a0038379  1
2015 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. Why so Few Conservatives and Should we Care? Society. 52: 28-34. DOI: 10.1007/s12115-014-9850-6  1
2014 Tetlock P, Mellers B. Judging political judgment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111: 11574-5. PMID 25077975 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1412524111  1
2014 Duarte JL, Crawford JT, Stern C, Haidt J, Jussim L, Tetlock PE. Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science. The Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 1-54. PMID 25036715 DOI: 10.1017/S0140525X14000430  1
2014 Mellers B, Ungar L, Baron J, Ramos J, Gurcay B, Fincher K, Scott SE, Moore D, Atanasov P, Swift SA, Murray T, Stone E, Tetlock PE. Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament. Psychological Science. 25: 1106-15. PMID 24659192 DOI: 10.1177/0956797614524255  1
2014 Baron J, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE, Stone E, Ungar LH. Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme Decision Analysis. 11: 133-145. DOI: 10.1287/deca.2014.0293  1
2014 Satopää VA, Jensen ST, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE, Ungar LH. Probability aggregation in time-series: Dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs Annals of Applied Statistics. 8: 1256-1280. DOI: 10.1214/14-AOAS739  1
2014 Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Rohrbaugh N, Chen E. Forecasting Tournaments: Tools for Increasing Transparency and Improving the Quality of Debate Current Directions in Psychological Science. 23: 290-295. DOI: 10.1177/0963721414534257  1
2014 Tetlock PE, Metz SE, Scott SE, Suedfeld P. Integrative Complexity Coding Raises Integratively Complex Issues Political Psychology. 35: 625-634. DOI: 10.1111/pops.12207  1
2014 Suedfeld P, Tetlock PE. Integrative Complexity at Forty: Steps Toward Resolving the Scoring Dilemma Political Psychology. 35: 597-601. DOI: 10.1111/pops.12206  1
2014 Patil SV, Tetlock PE. Punctuated incongruity: A new approach to managing trade-offs between conformity and deviation Research in Organizational Behavior. 34: 155-171. DOI: 10.1016/j.riob.2014.08.002  1
2014 Satopää VA, Baron J, Foster DP, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE, Ungar LH. Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model International Journal of Forecasting. 30: 344-356. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.09.009  1
2013 Oswald FL, Mitchell G, Blanton H, Jaccard J, Tetlock PE. Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: A meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 105: 171-192. PMID 23773046 DOI: 10.1037/a0032734  1
2013 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G, Jason Anastasopoulos L. Detecting and punishing unconscious bias Journal of Legal Studies. 42: 83-110. DOI: 10.1086/668403  1
2013 Tetlock PE, Vieider FM, Patil SV, Grant AM. Accountability and ideology: When left looks right and right looks left Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 122: 22-35. DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2013.03.007  1
2013 Atanasov P, Rescober P, Stone E, Servan-Schreiber E, Mellers B, Tetlock P, Ungar L. The marketcast method for aggregating prediction market forecasts Lecture Notes in Computer Science (Including Subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics). 7812: 28-37. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-37210-0_4  1
2012 Schoemaker PJH, Tetlock PE. Taboo scenarios: How to think about the unthinkable California Management Review. 54: 5-24. DOI: 10.1525/cmr.2012.54.2.5  1
2012 Tetlock PE. Rational Versus Irrational Prejudices: How Problematic Is the Ideological Lopsidedness of Social Psychology? Perspectives On Psychological Science. 7: 519-521. DOI: 10.1177/1745691612454305  1
2012 McGraw AP, Schwartz JA, Tetlock PE. From the Commercial to the Communal: Reframing Taboo Trade-offs in Religious and Pharmaceutical Marketing Journal of Consumer Research. 39: 157-173. DOI: 10.1086/662070  1
2012 Tetlock PE, Horowitz MC, Herrmann R. SHOULD "SYSTEMS THINKERS" ACCEPT THE LIMITS ON POLITICAL FORECASTING OR PUSH THE LIMITS? Critical Review. 24: 375-391. DOI: 10.1080/08913811.2012.767047  1
2012 Singh R, Simons JJP, Self WT, Tetlock PE, Bell PA, May J, Crisp RJ, Kaur S, Benfield JA, Sziemko WJ. From wrongdoing to imprisonment: Test of a causal-moral model Iimb Management Review. 24: 73-78. DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2012.02.001  1
2012 Ungar L, Mellors B, Satopaä̈ V, Baron J, Tetlock P, Ramos J, Swift S. The good judgment project: A large scale test of different methods of combining expert predictions Aaai Fall Symposium - Technical Report. 37-42.  1
2011 Tetlock PE, Mellers BA. Intelligent Management of Intelligence Agencies: Beyond Accountability Ping-Pong American Psychologist. 66: 542-554. PMID 21823782 DOI: 10.1037/a0024285  1
2011 Wong EM, Ormiston ME, Tetlock PE. The effects of top management team integrative complexity and decentralized decision making on corporate social performance Academy of Management Journal. 54: 1207-1228. DOI: 10.5465/amj.2008.0762  1
2011 Tetlock PE. Vying for rhetorical high ground in accountability debates: It is easy to look down on those who look soft on Administration and Society. 43: 693-703. DOI: 10.1177/0095399711426848  1
2011 Baker MD, Hughes HR, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Proactive responses to second-generation risks in labor and employment cases Employee Relations Law Journal. 37: 28-53.  1
2010 Mellers BA, Haselhuhn MP, Tetlock PE, Silva JC, Isen AM. Predicting Behavior in Economic Games by Looking Through the Eyes of the Players Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. 139: 743-755. PMID 20853991 DOI: 10.1037/a0020280  1
2010 Kray LJ, George LG, Liljenquist KA, Galinsky AD, Tetlock PE, Roese NJ. From what might have been to what must have been: counterfactual thinking creates meaning. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 98: 106-18. PMID 20053036 DOI: 10.1037/a0017905  1
2010 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. Situated social identities constrain morally defensible choices: Commentary on Bennis, Medin, & Bartels (2010) Perspectives On Psychological Science. 5: 206-208. DOI: 10.1177/1745691610362359  1
2010 Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Cognitive Style and Judging The Psychology of Judicial Decision Making. DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0017  1
2010 Tetlock PE. Second thoughts about expert political judgment: Reply to the symposium Critical Review. 22: 467-488. DOI: 10.1080/08913811.2010.542634  1
2010 Tetlock PE, Self WT, Singh R. The punitiveness paradox: When is external pressure exculpatory - And when a signal just to spread blame? Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 46: 388-395. DOI: 10.1016/j.jesp.2009.11.013  1
2010 Tetlock PE. Experts all the way down National Interest. 76-86.  1
2009 Blanton H, Jaccard J, Klick J, Mellers B, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Strong Claims and Weak Evidence: Reassessing the Predictive Validity of the IAT Journal of Applied Psychology. 94: 567-582. PMID 19449998 DOI: 10.1037/a0014665  1
2009 Tadmor CT, Tetlock PE, Peng K. Acculturation strategies and integrative complexity: The cognitive implications of biculturalism Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 40: 105-139. DOI: 10.1177/0022022108326279  1
2009 Goldgeier J, Tetlock P. Psychological Approaches The Oxford Handbook of International Relations. DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199219322.003.0027  1
2009 Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Disentangling Reasons and Rationalizations: Exploring Perceived Fairness in Hypothetical Societies Social and Psychological Bases of Ideology and System Justification. DOI: 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195320916.003.006  1
2009 Blanton H, Jaccard J, Klick J, Mellers B, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE. Transparency Should Trump Trust: Rejoinder to McConnell and Leibold (2009) and Ziegert and Hanges (2009) Journal of Applied Psychology. 94: 598-603. DOI: 10.1037/a0014666  1
2009 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. Implicit Bias and Accountability Systems: What Must Organizations Do to Prevent Discrimination? Research in Organizational Behavior. 29: 3-38. DOI: 10.1016/j.riob.2009.10.002  1
2009 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. Adversarial collaboration aborted but our offer still stands Research in Organizational Behavior. 29: 77-79. DOI: 10.1016/j.riob.2009.06.012  1
2009 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. A renewed appeal for adversarial collaboration Research in Organizational Behavior. 29: 71-72. DOI: 10.1016/j.riob.2009.06.011  1
2009 Tetlock PE. Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know? Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? 1
2008 Arrow KJ, Forsythe R, Gorham M, Hahn R, Hanson R, Ledyard JO, Levmore S, Litan R, Milgrom P, Nelson FD, Neumann GR, Ottaviani M, Schelling TC, Shiller RJ, Smith VL, ... ... Tetlock PC, ... ... Tetlock PE, et al. Economics. The promise of prediction markets. Science (New York, N.Y.). 320: 877-8. PMID 18487176 DOI: 10.1126/science.1157679  1
2008 Tetlock PE, Oppenheimer M. The boundaries of the thinkable Daedalus. 137: 59-70. DOI: 10.1162/daed.2008.137.2.59  1
2008 Tetlock PE, Mitchell G. Calibrating prejudice in milliseconds Social Psychology Quarterly. 71: 12-16.  1
2007 Suedfeld P, Tetlock PE, Jhangiani R. The new psychology of alliances Understanding the Bush Doctrine: Psychology and Strategy in An Age of Terrorism. 105-128. DOI: 10.4324/9780203943755  1
2007 Reich DA, Green MC, Brock TC, Tetlock PE. Biases in research evaluation: Inflated assessment, oversight, or error-type weighting? Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 43: 633-640. DOI: 10.1016/j.jesp.2006.06.001  1
2007 Tetlock PE, Visser PS, Singh R, Polifroni M, Scott A, Elson SB, Mazzocco P, Rescober P. People as intuitive prosecutors: The impact of social-control goals on attributions of responsibility Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 43: 195-209. DOI: 10.1016/j.jesp.2006.02.009  1
2007 Suedfeld P, Tetlock PE. Individual Differences in Information Processing Blackwell Handbook of Social Psychology: Intraindividual Processes. 284-304. DOI: 10.1002/9780470998519.ch13  1
2007 Tetlock PE. Comment: Factors promoting forecasting accuracy among experts: Some multimethod convergence Interfaces. 37: 297-299.  1
2007 Tetlock P. Perchance to scream Tls - the Times Literary Supplement. 23.  1
2006 Tadmor CT, Tetlock PE. Biculturalism: A model of the effects of second-culture exposure on acculturation and integrative complexity Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology. 37: 173-190. DOI: 10.1177/0022022105284495  1
2006 Tadmor CT, Tetlock PE, Peng K. Biculturalism and integrative complexity: Testing the Acculturation Complexity Model Academy of Management 2006 Annual Meeting: Knowledge, Action and the Public Concern, Aom 2006 1
2006 Bazerman MH, Moore DA, Tetlock PE, Tanlu L. Reports of solving the conflicts of interest in auditing are highly exaggerated Academy of Management Review. 31: 43-49.  1
2006 Moore DA, Tetlock PE, Tanlu L, Bazerman MH. Conflicts of interest and the case of auditor independence: Moral seduction and strategic issue cycling Academy of Management Review. 31: 10-29.  1
2005 Tetlock PE. Gauging the heuristic value of heuristics Behavioral and Brain Sciences. 28: 562-563. DOI: 10.1017/S0140525X05430095  1
2005 McGraw AP, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE. Expectations and emotions of Olympic athletes Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 41: 438-446. DOI: 10.1016/j.jesp.2004.09.001  1
2005 Tetlock PE. Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World Politics Thinking: Psychological Perspectives On Reasoning, Judgment and Decision Making. 233-250. DOI: 10.1002/047001332X.ch12  1
2005 McGraw AP, Tetlock PE. Taboo trade-offs, relational framing, and the acceptability of exchanges Journal of Consumer Psychology. 15: 2-15.  1
2005 Tetlock PE, McGraw AP. Theoretically framing relational framing Journal of Consumer Psychology. 15: 35-37.  1
2004 Rucker DD, Polifroni M, Tetlock PE, Scott AL. On the assignment of punishment: The impact of general-societal threat and the moderating role of severity Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 30: 673-684. PMID 15155032 DOI: 10.1177/0146167203262849  1
2004 Tetlock PE, Arkes HR. The implicit prejudice exchange: Islands of consensus in a sea of controversy Psychological Inquiry. 15: 311-321. DOI: 10.1207/s15327965pli1504_03  1
2004 Arkes HR, Tetlock PE. Attributions of implicit prejudice, or "would Jesse Jackson 'fail' the implicit association test?" Psychological Inquiry. 15: 257-278. DOI: 10.1207/s15327965pli1504_01  1
2003 McGraw AP, Tetlock PE, Kristel OV. The Limits of Fungibility: Relational Schemata and the Value of Things Journal of Consumer Research. 30: 219-229. DOI: 10.1086/376805  1
2003 Tetlock PE. Thinking the unthinkable: Sacred values and taboo cognitions Trends in Cognitive Sciences. 7: 320-324. DOI: 10.1016/S1364-6613(03)00135-9  1
2003 Mitchell G, Tetlock PE, Newman DG, Lerner JS. Experiments behind the veil: Structural influences on judgments of social justice Political Psychology. 24: 519-547.  1
2002 Tetlock PE. Social functionalist frameworks for judgment and choice: Intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors Psychological Review. 109: 451-471. PMID 12088240 DOI: 10.1037//0033-295X.109.3.451  1
2001 Goldgeier JM, Tetlock PE. Psychology and international relations theory Annual Review of Political Science. 4: 67-92. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.polisci.4.1.67  1
2001 Tetlock PE, Lebow RN. Poking counterfactual holes in covering laws: Cognitive styles and historical reasoning American Political Science Review. 95: 829-843.  1
2001 Herrmann RK, Tetlock PE, Diascro MN. How Americans think about trade: Reconciling conflicts among money, power, and principles International Studies Quarterly. 45: 191-218.  1
2000 Markman KD, Tetlock PE. 'I couldn't have known': accountability, foreseeability and counterfactual denials of responsibility. The British Journal of Social Psychology / the British Psychological Society. 39: 313-25. PMID 11041004 DOI: 10.1348/014466600164499  1
2000 Tetlock PE, Visser PS. Thinking about Russia: plausible pasts and probable futures. The British Journal of Social Psychology / the British Psychological Society. 39: 173-96. PMID 10907094  1
2000 Tetlock PE, Kristel OV, Elson SB, Green MC, Lerner JS. The psychology of the unthinkable: taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 78: 853-70. PMID 10821194  1
2000 Markman KD, Tetlock PE. 'I couldn't have known': Accountability, foreseeability and counterfactual denials of responsibility British Journal of Social Psychology. 39: 313-325.  1
2000 Tetlock PE, Visser PS. Thinking about Russia: Plausible pasts and probable futures British Journal of Social Psychology. 39: 173-196.  1
2000 Green MC, Visser PS, Tetlock PE. Coping with accountability cross-pressures: Low-effort evasive tactics and high-effort quests for complex compromises Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 26: 1380-1391.  1
2000 Markman KD, Tetlock PE. Accountability and close-call counterfactuals: The loser who nearly won and the winner who nearly lost Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 26: 1213-1224.  1
2000 Sniderman PM, Fletcher JF, Russell PH, Tetlock PE, Prior M. The theory of democratic elitism revisited: A response to Vengroff and Morton Canadian Journal of Political Science. 33: 569-586.  1
2000 Tetlock PE. Cognitive biases and organizational correctives: Do both disease and cure depend on the politics of the beholder? Administrative Science Quarterly. 45: 293-326.  1
2000 Tetlock PE, Goldgeier JM. Human nature and world politics: Cognition, identity, and influence International Journal of Psychology. 35: 87-96.  1
1999 Lerner JS, Tetlock PE. Accounting for the effects of accountability. Psychological Bulletin. 125: 255-75. PMID 10087938  1
1999 Herrmann RK, Tetlock PE, Visser PS. Mass public decisions to go to war: A cognitive-interactionist framework American Political Science Review. 93: 553-573.  1
1999 Goldberg JH, Lerner JS, Tetlock PE. Rage and reason: The psychology of the intuitive prosecutor European Journal of Social Psychology. 29: 781-795.  1
1999 Tetlock PE. Theory-driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics: Are we prisoners of our preconceptions? American Journal of Political Science. 43: 335-366.  1
1998 Peterson RS, Owens PD, Tetlock PE, Fan ET, Martorana P. Group dynamics in top management teams: Groupthink, vigilance, and alternative models of organizational failure and success Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 73: 272-305. DOI: 10.1006/obhd.1998.2763  1
1998 Tetlock PE. The ever-shifting psychological foundations of democratic theory: Do citizens have the right stuff? Critical Review. 12: 545-561.  1
1998 Lerner JS, Goldberg JH, Tetlock PE. Sober second thought: The effects of accountability, anger, and authoritarianism on attributions of responsibility Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin. 24: 563-574.  1
1998 Tetlock PE. Close-Call Counterfactuals and Belief-System Defenses: I Was Not Almost Wrong but I Was Almost Right Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 75: 639-652.  1
1997 Fiske AP, Tetlock PE. Taboo trade-offs: Reactions to transactions that transgress the spheres of justice Political Psychology. 18: 255-297.  1
1997 Kuklinski JH, Sniderman PM, Knight K, Piazza T, Tetlock PE, Lawrence GR, Mellers B. Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action American Journal of Political Science. 41: 402-419.  1
1996 Buchman TA, Tetlock PE, Reed RO. Accountability and auditors' judgments about contingent events Journal of Business Finance and Accounting. 23: 379-398. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-5957.1996.tb01128.x  1
1996 Tetlock PE, Lerner JS, Boettger R. The dilution effect: Judgmental bias, conversational convention, or a bit of both? European Journal of Social Psychology. 26: 915-934. DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0992(199611)26:6<915::AID-EJSP797>3.0.CO;2-W  1
1996 Tetlock PE, Tyler A. Churchill's cognitive and rhetorical style: The debates over Nazi intentions and self-government for India Political Psychology. 17: 149-170.  1
1994 Tetlock PE, Armor D, Peterson RS. The Slavery Debate in Antebellum America: Cognitive Style, Value Conflict, and the Limits of Compromise Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 66: 115-126. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.66.1.115  1
1993 Skitka LJ, Tetlock PE. Providing Public Assistance: Cognitive and Motivational Processes Underlying Liberal and Conservative Policy Preferences Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 65: 1205-1223.  1
1993 Mitchell G, Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Ordóñez LD. Judgments of Social Justice: Compromises Between Equality and Efficiency Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 65: 629-639.  1
1993 Tetlock PE, Peterson RS, Berry JM. Flattering and Unflattering Personality Portraits of Integratively Simple and Complex Managers Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 64: 500-511.  1
1992 Tetlock PE, Peterson RS, McGuire C, Chang Sj, Feld P. Assessing Political Group Dynamics: A Test of the Groupthink Model Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 63: 403-425. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.63.3.403  1
1992 Tetlock PE. The Impact of Accountability on Judgment and Choice: Toward A Social Contingency Model Advances in Experimental Social Psychology. 25: 331-376. DOI: 10.1016/S0065-2601(08)60287-7  1
1992 Skitka LJ, Tetlock PE. Allocating scarce resources: A contingency model of distributive justice Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 28: 491-522. DOI: 10.1016/0022-1031(92)90043-J  1
1991 Sniderman PM, Fletcher JF, Russell PH, Tetlock PE, Gaines BJ. The Fallacy of Democratic Elitism: Elite Competition and Commitment to Civil Liberties British Journal of Political Science. 21: 349-370. DOI: 10.1017/S0007123400006190  1
1991 Tetlock PE, McGuire CB, Mitchell G. Psychological perspectives on nuclear deterrence Annual Review of Psychology. 42: 239-276.  1
1990 Tetlock PE. Some Thoughts on Fourth-Generational Models of Social Cognition Psychological Inquiry. 1: 212-214. DOI: 10.1207/s15327965pli0103_9  1
1990 Tetlock PE. Some Pessimistic Ruminations on Disentangling Causal Processes in Presidential Elections Psychological Inquiry. 1: 75-76. DOI: 10.1207/s15327965pli0101_20  1
1989 Tetlock PE, Skitka L, Boettger R. Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 57: 632-40. PMID 2795435  1
1989 Tetlock PE, Boettger R. Accountability: a social magnifier of the dilution effect. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 57: 388-98. PMID 2778629  1
1989 Manstead ASR, Tetlock PE. Cognitive appraisals and emotional experience: Further evidence Cognition and Emotion. 3: 225-239. DOI: 10.1080/02699938908415243  1
1988 Tetlock PE. Integrative complexity of text and of reader as moderators of aesthetic evaluations Poetics. 17: 357-366. DOI: 10.1016/0304-422X(88)90040-X  1
1987 Tetlock PE, Kim JI. Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 52: 700-9. PMID 3572733  1
1986 Tetlock PE. A Value Pluralism Model of Ideological Reasoning Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 50: 819-827. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.50.4.819  1
1986 Tetlock PE. Psychological Advice on Foreign Policy. What Do We Have to Contribute? American Psychologist. 41: 557-567. DOI: 10.1037/0003-066X.41.5.557  1
1985 Tetlock PE, Manstead ASR. Impression Management Versus Intrapsychic Explanations in Social Psychology. A Useful Dichotomy? Psychological Review. 92: 59-77. DOI: 10.1037/0033-295X.92.1.59  1
1985 Tetlock PE. Integrative Complexity of American and Soviet Foreign Policy Rhetoric. A Time-Series Analysis Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 49: 1565-1585. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.49.6.1565  1
1985 Tetlock PE, Bernzweig J, Gallant JL. Supreme Court Decision Making. Cognitive Style as a Predictor of Ideological Consistency of Voting Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 48: 1227-1239. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.48.5.1227  1
1984 Tetlock PE, Hannum KA, Micheletti PM. Stability and change in the complexity of senatorial debate: Testing the cognitive versus rhetorical style hypotheses Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 46: 979-990. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.46.5.979  1
1984 Tetlock PE. Cognitive style and political belief systems in the British House of Commons Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 46: 365-375. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.46.2.365  1
1983 Tetlock PE. Accountability and complexity of thought Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 45: 74-83. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.45.1.74  1
1983 Tetlock PE. Cognitive style and political ideology Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 45: 118-126. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.45.1.118  1
1982 Tetlock PE, Levi A. Attribution bias: On the inconclusiveness of the cognition-motivation debate Journal of Experimental Social Psychology. 18: 68-88. DOI: 10.1016/0022-1031(82)90082-8  1
1981 Tetlock PE. Personality and isolationism: Content analysis of senatorial speeches Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 41: 737-743. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.41.4.737  1
1981 Tetlock PE. Pre- to postelection shifts in presidential rhetoric: Impression management or cognitive adjustment Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 41: 207-212. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.41.2.207  1
1979 Tetlock PE. Identifying victims of groupthink from public statements of decision makers Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 37: 1314-1324. DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.37.8.1314  1
1976 Tetlock PE, Suedfeld P. Inducing belief instability without a persuasive message: The roles of attitude centrality, individual cognitive differences, and sensory deprivation Canadian Journal of Behavioural Science. 8: 324-333.  1
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